Session B (night2): streaks/hot-list engine — producer + form heat + THE LENS

RESURRECT verdict: the Session-23 engine existed, was pure, tested, and
mounted — it starved because every producer was external and unarmed
(tank01-prefetch via n8n, offline Python flow). The snapshot pipeline is
now the producer: each run merges slate players' real game logs (already
fetched for archetypes — zero extra calls) into rosterlogs:{sport}.

- computeFormHeat: hot hitters (7d AVG), hot sluggers (SLG), hot shooters
  (FG%) — correct sum/sum rate math, season baseline else prior stretch,
  min-sample refusals, never extrapolated.
- streakLens: no raw streak renders alone — built-vs opponents, tonight's
  matchup + opposing SP w/ ERA, step-up/step-down difficulty, one-line
  read. Absent context = say less, never invent.
- /api/streaks/:sport: heat merged into the feed, lens applied from cached
  schedule + pitchers (time-bounded, can never hang the route), snapshot
  grade letters joined.
- ACCEPTANCE (live statsapi, real 2026 logs): 32 rows found — Turang
  12-gm on-base, Reynolds 8-gm on-base, Pratt 7-gm on-base + 3-gm
  multi-hit, Meidroth 5-gm on-base, Cortes 5-gm on-base.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Kev
2026-07-11 00:39:18 -04:00
parent 4ddfb84232
commit 2c9cbca7bd
6 changed files with 486 additions and 13 deletions
+114 -3
View File
@@ -191,7 +191,7 @@ function computePlayerStreaks(player, sport, opts = {}) {
continue;
}
const run = consecutiveRun(games, spec.value, spec.threshold);
if (run >= MIN_STREAK) found.push(makeStreak(player, sport, spec, run));
if (run >= MIN_STREAK) found.push(makeStreak(player, sport, spec, run, undefined, games));
}
// Collapse tiered specs (e.g. 25+ and 20+ points) to one entry per
@@ -210,7 +210,12 @@ function computePlayerStreaks(player, sport, opts = {}) {
return Array.from(best.values()).map(({ _collapse, ...rest }) => rest);
}
function makeStreak(player, sport, spec, run, rateValue) {
function makeStreak(player, sport, spec, run, rateValue, games) {
// Session 60 (night2/B) — the opponents the streak was BUILT against
// (unique, streak-window only). Lens fuel: "built vs OAK, LAA, SEA".
const opponents = Array.isArray(games)
? [...new Set(games.slice(0, run).map((g) => g && g.opponent).filter(Boolean))]
: [];
return {
sport,
player: player.name || player.player || null,
@@ -222,6 +227,7 @@ function makeStreak(player, sport, spec, run, rateValue) {
currentStreak: run,
rate: rateValue ?? null,
description: describe(spec, run),
opponents,
active: true,
_collapse: spec.collapse || spec.key, // internal — stripped before return
};
@@ -245,9 +251,114 @@ function computeStreaks(players, sport, opts = {}) {
return all;
}
// ---- Session 60 (night2/B): FORM HEAT — 7-day rate vs baseline ----------
// Hot hitters (AVG), hot sluggers (SLG/ISO), hot shooters (FG%). Rates are
// computed the correct way (Σmakes/Σattempts over the window, NOT a mean of
// per-game rates). Baseline = the player's season rate when the roster blob
// carries one, else the pre-window games — labeled accordingly, never faked.
const fmt3 = (n) => {
const s = n.toFixed(3);
return s.startsWith('0.') ? s.slice(1) : s; // .412, not 0.412
};
function windowSplit(games, now, windowDays = 7) {
const cutoff = (now || Date.now()) - windowDays * 86_400_000;
const dated = games.filter((g) => g && g.date && Number.isFinite(new Date(g.date).getTime()));
if (dated.length === 0) return { recent: games.slice(0, 5), rest: games.slice(5) };
return {
recent: dated.filter((g) => new Date(g.date).getTime() >= cutoff),
rest: dated.filter((g) => new Date(g.date).getTime() < cutoff),
};
}
const sumOf = (rows, ...keys) => rows.reduce((acc, r) => acc + num(r, ...keys), 0);
// Rate over a set of games: { made, att, rate|null }.
function ratio(rows, madeKeys, attKeys) {
const made = sumOf(rows, ...madeKeys);
const att = sumOf(rows, ...attKeys);
return { made, att, rate: att > 0 ? made / att : null };
}
const HEAT_SPECS = {
mlb: [
{
type: 'hot_hitter', category: 'hits', label: 'AVG',
made: ['hits', 'H', 'h'], att: ['atBats', 'ab', 'AB'],
seasonKey: 'avg', minAtt: 15, minDelta: 0.05, fmt: fmt3,
line: (r, b, src) => `hitting ${fmt3(r)} over the last 7 days (${src} ${fmt3(b)})`,
},
{
type: 'hot_slugger', category: 'total_bases', label: 'SLG',
made: ['totalBases', 'TB', 'total_bases'], att: ['atBats', 'ab', 'AB'],
seasonKey: 'slg', minAtt: 15, minDelta: 0.09, fmt: fmt3,
line: (r, b, src) => `slugging ${fmt3(r)} over the last 7 days (${src} ${fmt3(b)})`,
},
],
wnba: [
{
type: 'hot_shooter', category: 'points', label: 'FG%',
made: ['fgm', 'field_goals_made', 'fieldGoalsMade'], att: ['fga', 'field_goals_attempted', 'fieldGoalsAttempted'],
seasonKey: 'fgPct', minAtt: 20, minDelta: 0.05, fmt: (n) => `${Math.round(n * 100)}%`,
line: (r, b, src) => `shooting ${Math.round(r * 100)}% over the last 7 days (${src} ${Math.round(b * 100)}%)`,
},
],
};
HEAT_SPECS.nba = HEAT_SPECS.wnba;
/**
* Form-heat rows in the streak shape (they merge into the same feed).
* players = [{ name, playerId, team, games, seasonRaw? }] — games
* most-recent-first with date fields.
*/
function computeFormHeat(players, sport, opts = {}) {
const specs = HEAT_SPECS[String(sport || '').toLowerCase()] || [];
if (specs.length === 0 || !Array.isArray(players)) return [];
const out = [];
for (const p of players) {
const games = Array.isArray(p?.games) ? p.games.slice() : [];
if (opts.chronological) games.reverse();
if (games.length === 0) continue;
const { recent, rest } = windowSplit(games, opts.now, opts.windowDays || 7);
for (const spec of specs) {
const cur = ratio(recent, spec.made, spec.att);
if (cur.rate == null || cur.att < spec.minAtt) continue;
// Baseline: season rate from the blob when present, else prior games.
let baseline = null;
let baselineSrc = 'season';
const seasonVal = p.seasonRaw && Number(p.seasonRaw[spec.seasonKey]);
if (Number.isFinite(seasonVal) && seasonVal > 0) baseline = seasonVal;
else {
const prior = ratio(rest, spec.made, spec.att);
if (prior.rate != null && prior.att >= spec.minAtt) { baseline = prior.rate; baselineSrc = 'prior stretch'; }
}
if (baseline == null || cur.rate - baseline < spec.minDelta) continue;
out.push({
sport: String(sport).toLowerCase(),
player: p.name || p.player || null,
playerId: p.playerId ?? p.id ?? null,
team: p.team || null,
type: spec.type,
category: spec.category,
threshold: null,
currentStreak: recent.length,
rate: Math.round(cur.rate * 1000) / 1000,
baseline: Math.round(baseline * 1000) / 1000,
description: spec.line(cur.rate, baseline, baselineSrc),
opponents: [...new Set(recent.map((g) => g && g.opponent).filter(Boolean))],
active: true,
});
}
}
out.sort((a, b) => (b.rate - b.baseline) - (a.rate - a.baseline));
return opts.limit && opts.limit > 0 ? out.slice(0, opts.limit) : out;
}
module.exports = {
computeStreaks,
computePlayerStreaks,
computeFormHeat,
specsFor,
__internals: { consecutiveRun, rateOverWindow, nba, mlb, nfl, soccer, MIN_STREAK },
__internals: { consecutiveRun, rateOverWindow, windowSplit, ratio, nba, mlb, nfl, soccer, MIN_STREAK, HEAT_SPECS },
};