STATE: Session 77 — dormant adjusters wired; env non-null proven, ledger row pending

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VCNgGSt5qvcLxaeQqa7Zpj

specs/STATE.md

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 # VYNDR — STATE OF THE WORLD
-### As of `6dd6f59` (main, DEPLOYED), 2026-07-21. This file opens every future session. **Start with the CURRENT STATUS + OPEN ITEMS block below.**
+### As of `7b25d97` (main, DEPLOYED), 2026-07-21. This file opens every future session. **Start with the CURRENT STATUS + OPEN ITEMS block below.**
 
 ---
 
@@ -131,6 +131,72 @@ exist locally; harmless, the data restores completely.
 `specs/snapshot-retention.md` (Phase 2 report + schema) ·
 `specs/audit-data/grade-collapse.md` · `specs/audit-data/gate-simulation.md`.
 
+---
+
+# 🟢 SESSION 77 — DORMANT ADJUSTERS WIRED LIVE (2026-07-21)
+The four-order plumbing gap is CLOSED. park + weather + platoon now reach live
+grades. Pure input-wiring — **the 5 adjuster files are byte-identical** (verified
+`git diff --quiet`).
+
+## Phase 0 gate — all three inputs AVAILABLE at build
+| Input | Availability | Source |
+|---|---|---|
+| Venue | **ALWAYS** 15/15 | schedule game object |
+| First-pitch | **ALWAYS** | schedule `gameTime` |
+| Opposing-SP hand | **declared 30/30 this afternoon** (morning locks precede it → platoon absent, correct) | probable `pitcherId` → statsapi hand |
+Batter hand (`statcast.bats`) + MLBAM id were already on each grade.
+
+## What was built
+**`src/services/environmentContext.js`** (the wiring; adjusters untouched).
+Fetches ONCE per snapshot: schedule, probable pitchers, ONE batched handedness
+call, ONE Open-Meteo forecast per home park, batter splits per hitter.
+`PARK_COORDS` (30 parks) lives here as public geometry (like the dome list), NOT
+in an adjuster. Best-effort throughout — any failure → that prop archetype-only,
+never a pipeline break.
+**`attachChallenger` is now async** + takes `contextFor(grade)` → `{environment,
+matchup}` → `adjust()` (which already accepted both).
+
+## Independent attribution (each of 4 measurable separately)
+Ledger columns `env_multiplier / env_park_base / env_weather_mod /
+env_weather_state` + `challenger_adjustments` jsonb keeping archetype /
+environment / matchup as SEPARATE entries. Not one blended delta.
+
+## Combined bound (tested)
+Coors slugger + wind-out + favourable platoon, all at once → **δ < 0.12**. Every
+layer capped, total nudge clamped. Stacks lean, never re-forecast.
+
+## ✅ PASS CONDITION MET — env_multiplier non-null (was 0 for 4 orders)
+Proven END-TO-END on the live slate (buildContext + adjust against real feeds):
+`venues_with_weather 15 · opp_declared 30 · pitchers_with_hand 30`.
+| Park | env | compose |
+|---|---|---|
+| PHI | **1.179** | park 1.09 × wx 1.082 → **δ +0.041** |
+| COL/ATL | >1 | hitter parks |
+| CLE 0.929 · KC 0.937 | <1 | pitcher parks |
+| **TOR/MIL** | park only | `wx 1 [dome_na]` — weather stands down, **park still applies** |
+
+## 🔴 THE ONE HONEST GAP — not yet on a LEDGER ROW
+Immutability refused to rewrite today's already-locked props (`ignoreDuplicates`),
+so re-inducing wrote 0 new rows and **`env_multiplier` is still 0 on ledger rows**.
+The wiring is PROVEN to produce the value (above); it lands on a row at the **next
+NEW MLB lock**. Verify then:
+```sql
+select count(*) filter (where env_multiplier is not null) with_env,
+ count(*) filter (where challenger_adjustments::text like '%matchup%') with_platoon
+from ledger_entries where user_id is null;
+```
+
+## Point-in-time / no lookahead
+Weather = FORECAST for first pitch fetched at projection time. Platoon = split
+entering the game. Neither reads settle-time.
+
+## Still open (unchanged, NOT this order)
+- **No settled row carries `p_win`** — all adjusters still unmeasurable until
+  tonight's locks settle.
+- Read-card triplet gap · mappingHarness nomination flow · A/D emission ·
+  EV overconfidence · zero-push bug · edge_pct surfaces · 3 key rotations.
+
+
 ---
 
 # 🟡 SESSION 76 — PLATOON SPLITS (regressed) (2026-07-21)