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Free proof surface: /record — tier-record-forward, honest CLV building panel

Browse Source 
Presentation over existing endpoints. src/ untouched (git diff empty): no grade,
model or ledger change. Pricing/migration are Builds 2/3.

TIER-RECORD-FORWARD. /record reads the canonical public aggregates (/api/accuracy
+ /api/ledger/model) and prints them as-is. B 60% n512 and C 57% n413 ship with C
honestly BELOW B; A (n2), D (n5) and F (n5) render HOLLOW with their real sample
instead of a rate. Sport slicing (all/mlb/wnba) is client-side because the
endpoints ignore ?sport= — mlb 526 @62%, wnba 411 @54% come from the sports map.

THE LOAD-BEARING RULE, enforced in lib/proofRecord.js and locked by tests: where
the source withholds a percentage it stays null. A is 1/2 and therefore 50% is
derivable — a test asserts we do NOT derive it, because the API withheld it on
purpose (n < 20).

CLV IS AN HONEST ABSENCE, NOT A NUMBER. beat_close_pct is null because
clvCaptureReliable() has not passed. The panel says "NOT PUBLISHED YET" and
explains that any percentage printed today would be measuring our collection gaps
as much as our edge; it surfaces the accruing sample (937) but no rate. Tests
assert the panel never falls back to clv_beat/clv_sample (34/937 = 3.6%) and that
the serialized panel contains no "3.6" — that number is computable and would be
wrong, which is the exact fabrication this surface exists to refuse. The panel is
built to receive a real number later without a redesign.

HELD, and named on the page rather than faked: calibration and accuracy-over-time
are absent because there is no honest source (no claimed-vs-actual endpoint;
window_days fixed at 30 with no series). The page says so, and says it is not
because they are unflattering.

A page-level test asserts no hard-coded percentage exists in the markup, so no
figure can drift from the aggregate, and that the page never touches /api/snapshot
or itemized rows — the Build-1 gate holds and the exploit stays dead.

Floor: 320 suites / 3986 tests green (16 new), web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01QJs13VsyiSKYQP6rj3NNmc
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Kev
2026-07-31 07:53:44 -04:00
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