Wave 1: NBA/WNBA settlement — grades settle vs free ESPN game logs

Unblocks the self-learning loop for basketball. Once an NBA/WNBA grade
exists (Wave 0), it now settles against the FREE ESPN per-game log
(espnStatsAdapter.getPlayerGameLog) — the same {found, last10:[{date,stat}]}
contract MLB settlement already consumes. accuracy:{sport} + by_tier
calibration + the Wave-3 TierRecord light up automatically.

- outcomeService/ledgerService: defaultGetPlayerStats routes nba/wnba to
  espnStatsAdapter.getPlayerGameLog; MLB stays on mlbStatsAdapter.
- outcomeService: sport-aware statValue + a SEPARATE NBA_BOX_KEY/NBA_COMBO
  map (S11 three-map-split kept — never merged with MLB_LOG_FIELD). Combos
  (pts_reb_ast, reb_ast, stl_blk, …) sum components; a missing component
  never fabricates a total.
- logRowOnDate: ESPN gamelog rows carry a FULL ISO timestamp (a late tip
  rolls past UTC midnight), so basketball date-matches on UTC OR ET date;
  MLB keeps exact YYYY-MM-DD compare. Outcome `date` is normalized to the
  ET calendar day so the accuracy window filter + idempotency key behave
  identically across sports.
- Final-honesty guard: never settle a basketball row whose ET date is
  today (an in-progress partial box). MLB is final-only + settles same-day,
  so the guard is scoped to basketball. The ledger path is already guarded
  (.lt('game_date', today)) for all sports.
- opsWatch: nba/wnba added to SETTLEABLE_SPORTS; zeroSettleAlarm gates them
  behind a real-finals probe (finalsBySport) so an offseason/off-day's
  stale pendings never false-page "settled 0". snapshotScheduler counts
  yesterday's ESPN state==='post' events and feeds the map; MLB unchanged.
- snapshotScheduler: boot announce per settleable sport
  ([settle:mlb] [settle:nba] [settle:wnba]). Thrown-error paging already
  covers the new sports (settleAll* loop every sport).

Tests: tests/unit/nbaSettlement.test.js (16) — WNBA hit/miss/push, combo
pra, idempotent re-run, unplayed/today game does NOT settle, accuracy:wnba
+ byGrade + by_tier populate, ledger WNBA settle. opsWatch (+5) — finals
off-day no page, finals present DOES page. MLB suites unregressed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Kev
2026-07-13 22:30:50 -04:00
parent cce99709c9
commit 873a92931c
6 changed files with 405 additions and 22 deletions
+13 -5
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@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@
*/
const { nameKey, normalizeName } = require('../utils/playerName');
const { settleResult, statValue } = require('./outcomeService');
const { settleResult, statValue, logRowOnDate } = require('./outcomeService');
const CONFLICT = 'user_id,player_key,stat,line,side,game_id';
const UPSERT_CHUNK = 200;
@@ -330,9 +330,12 @@ async function settleLedger(sport, opts = {}) {
let pending = 0;
for (const row of rows || []) {
const log = logByPlayer[row.player_name] || [];
const gameRow = log.find((r) => r && r.date === row.game_date);
// Sport-aware date match: MLB rows are YYYY-MM-DD, NBA/WNBA ESPN rows are
// ISO timestamps normalized to their ET date. game_date is already < today
// (the .lt('game_date', cutoff) fetch), so an unplayed game never settles.
const gameRow = log.find((r) => logRowOnDate(r, row.game_date, sp));
if (!gameRow) { pending += 1; continue; }
const actual = statValue(gameRow.stat, row.stat);
const actual = statValue(gameRow.stat, row.stat, sp);
if (actual == null) { pending += 1; continue; }
const outcome = settleResult(row.side, actual, row.line);
if (!outcome) { pending += 1; continue; }
@@ -386,10 +389,15 @@ async function settleAllLedgers(opts = {}) {
}
async function defaultGetPlayerStats(name, sport) {
if (String(sport).toLowerCase() === 'mlb') {
const sp = String(sport || '').toLowerCase();
if (sp === 'mlb') {
return require('./adapters/mlbStatsAdapter').getPlayerStats(name);
}
return { found: false }; // no free settled-result feed yet → pending
// Wave 1 — NBA/WNBA settle against the FREE ESPN per-game log.
if (sp === 'nba' || sp === 'wnba') {
return require('./adapters/espnStatsAdapter').getPlayerGameLog(name, sp);
}
return { found: false }; // soccer — no free settled-result feed yet → pending
}
/**
+31 -5
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@@ -28,9 +28,16 @@
* Everything here is pure or fully injectable — no requires of redis/ntfy.
*/
/** Sports with a real settled-result feed (mlb game logs). Keep in sync with
* outcomeService/ledgerService's MLB-only settlement until Phase 4.5. */
const SETTLEABLE_SPORTS = ['mlb'];
/** Sports with a real settled-result feed. MLB = statsapi game logs; NBA/WNBA =
* ESPN per-game logs (Wave 1). Keep in sync with outcomeService/ledgerService's
* defaultGetPlayerStats. Soccer stays out until it has a settled-result feed. */
const SETTLEABLE_SPORTS = ['mlb', 'nba', 'wnba'];
/** Sports whose zero-settle alarm requires a real-finals probe before paging:
* their slates go dark for months (offseason) and a stale pending row must not
* false-page on a genuine off-day. MLB is exempt (proven daily feed in-season;
* a dark day fetches 0 rows and never alarms). */
const FINALS_GATED_SPORTS = ['nba', 'wnba'];
const PAGE_THRESHOLD = 3;
@@ -79,10 +86,28 @@ function morningHourUtc(hoursUtc) {
* Evaluate the zero-settle signal from settleAllLedgers results.
* alarm === true only when settleable-sport rows EXISTED for settlement
* (fetched from Postgres: settled + pending > 0) and none settled.
*
* Wave 1 — a finals-gated sport (NBA/WNBA) only contributes to the alarm when
* yesterday actually had games: `opts.finalsBySport[sport]` truthy (the caller
* counts ESPN `state==='post'` events). Without that signal its stale pendings
* are excluded, so an offseason/off-day never false-pages "settled 0". MLB is
* always counted (a dark MLB day fetches 0 rows → settled 0 / pending 0 → no
* alarm on its own).
* opts: { settleable, finalsBySport }. A bare array 2nd arg (legacy call:
* `zeroSettleAlarm(results, settleableArray)`) is still honored.
*/
function zeroSettleAlarm(ledgerResults, settleable = SETTLEABLE_SPORTS) {
function zeroSettleAlarm(ledgerResults, opts = {}) {
const o = Array.isArray(opts) ? { settleable: opts } : (opts || {});
const settleable = o.settleable || SETTLEABLE_SPORTS;
const finalsBySport = o.finalsBySport || {};
const rows = (Array.isArray(ledgerResults) ? ledgerResults : [])
.filter((r) => r && settleable.includes(String(r.sport || '').toLowerCase()));
.filter((r) => r && settleable.includes(String(r.sport || '').toLowerCase()))
.filter((r) => {
const sp = String(r.sport || '').toLowerCase();
// Finals-gated sports need a "yesterday had games" signal to count.
if (FINALS_GATED_SPORTS.includes(sp)) return Boolean(finalsBySport[sp]);
return true;
});
const settled = rows.reduce((n, r) => n + (r.settled || 0), 0);
const pending = rows.reduce((n, r) => n + (r.pending || 0), 0);
return { alarm: settled === 0 && pending > 0, settled, pending };
@@ -177,5 +202,6 @@ module.exports = {
buildPulseMessage,
dateET,
SETTLEABLE_SPORTS,
FINALS_GATED_SPORTS,
PAGE_THRESHOLD,
};
+107 -9
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@@ -45,7 +45,53 @@ const MLB_LOG_FIELD = {
doubles: 'doubles', triples: 'triples', outs: 'outs',
};
function statValue(statObj, statType) {
// Wave 1 — NBA/WNBA settlement box-field map. A SEPARATE local map from
// MLB_LOG_FIELD (the S11 three-map-split rule — settlement, features, and live
// tracking each own their own map; never merge). The ESPN gamelog row's `stat`
// object (espnStatsAdapter.getPlayerGameLog) is already keyed by VYNDR stat
// names, so simple stats map 1:1; combo stat_types (pts_reb_ast, …) sum their
// components at read time — mirroring featureCache.statFromGameLog. A stat_type
// absent here does NOT settle (absent beats a fabricated outcome); add a new
// NBA/WNBA stat here (and to featureCache + liveTrackingService) to unlock it.
const NBA_BOX_KEY = {
points: 'points', rebounds: 'rebounds', assists: 'assists', threes: 'threes',
steals: 'steals', blocks: 'blocks', turnovers: 'turnovers', pra: 'pra',
};
const NBA_COMBO = {
pts_reb_ast: ['points', 'rebounds', 'assists'],
pts_reb: ['points', 'rebounds'],
pts_ast: ['points', 'assists'],
reb_ast: ['rebounds', 'assists'],
stl_blk: ['steals', 'blocks'],
};
// Resolve one NBA/WNBA per-game stat value. Combos require EVERY component to
// be present (a played game reports 0, not absent) — a partial box never
// fabricates a combo total.
function nbaStatValue(statObj, statType) {
if (!statObj) return null;
const st = String(statType || '').toLowerCase();
const combo = NBA_COMBO[st];
if (combo) {
let sum = 0;
for (const c of combo) {
const n = parseFloat(statObj[c]);
if (!Number.isFinite(n)) return null;
sum += n;
}
return sum;
}
const f = NBA_BOX_KEY[st];
if (!f) return null;
const n = parseFloat(statObj[f]);
return Number.isFinite(n) ? n : null;
}
// Sport-aware actual-value resolver. Default (unspecified/mlb) reads the
// statsapi.mlb.com game-log field; nba/wnba read the ESPN gamelog box object.
function statValue(statObj, statType, sport) {
const sp = String(sport || 'mlb').toLowerCase();
if (sp === 'nba' || sp === 'wnba') return nbaStatValue(statObj, statType);
const f = MLB_LOG_FIELD[String(statType || '').toLowerCase()];
if (!f || !statObj) return null;
const n = parseFloat(statObj[f]);
@@ -66,6 +112,32 @@ function dateStrings(ts) {
return [...new Set([utc, et])];
}
// The America/New_York calendar date (YYYY-MM-DD) of an ISO timestamp.
function etDate(ts) {
if (!ts) return null;
const d = new Date(ts);
if (isNaN(d.getTime())) return null;
try {
return new Intl.DateTimeFormat('en-CA', { timeZone: 'America/New_York' }).format(d);
} catch {
return d.toISOString().slice(0, 10);
}
}
/**
* Does a game-log row fall on `targetDate` (YYYY-MM-DD)?
* MLB rows are already plain YYYY-MM-DD → exact compare (unchanged behavior).
* NBA/WNBA rows carry a FULL ISO timestamp from ESPN (e.g. a late tip is
* 00:30Z the next calendar day) → match on either its UTC or ET date so a
* game whose UTC date rolled past midnight still matches its ET slate date.
*/
function logRowOnDate(logRow, targetDate, sport) {
if (!logRow || !logRow.date || !targetDate) return false;
const sp = String(sport || 'mlb').toLowerCase();
if (sp === 'nba' || sp === 'wnba') return dateStrings(logRow.date).includes(targetDate);
return logRow.date === targetDate;
}
const sideOver = (side) => {
const s = String(side || 'over').toLowerCase();
return s === 'over' || s === 'o';
@@ -130,6 +202,8 @@ async function settleSnapshot(sport, opts = {}) {
} catch { logByPlayer[player] = []; }
}
const todayEt = etDate(nowIso);
const isBasketball = sp === 'nba' || sp === 'wnba';
const fresh = [];
let pending = 0;
for (const g of grades) {
@@ -140,16 +214,29 @@ async function settleSnapshot(sport, opts = {}) {
const gradedTs = (g.gradedAt && g.gradedAt.timestamp) || snap.updated_at || nowIso;
const dates = dateStrings(gradedTs);
const log = logByPlayer[player] || [];
// Find the game played on the graded date.
const row = log.find((r) => r && r.date && dates.includes(r.date));
// Find the game played on the graded date (sport-aware date normalization).
const row = log.find((r) => dates.some((d) => logRowOnDate(r, d, sp)));
if (!row) { pending += 1; continue; }
const actual = statValue(row.stat, stat);
// Detect FINAL honestly: a game-log row is a COMPLETED game, but never
// settle a game whose ET date is today (could be an in-progress partial
// row for NBA/WNBA). MLB game logs are final-only + settle same-day, so
// this guard is scoped to basketball — it must not stall MLB afternoons.
if (isBasketball) {
const rowEt = etDate(row.date);
if (!rowEt || rowEt >= todayEt) { pending += 1; continue; }
}
const actual = statValue(row.stat, stat, sp);
if (actual == null) { pending += 1; continue; }
const result = settleResult(side, actual, line);
if (!result) { pending += 1; continue; }
// Store the game's ET calendar date (YYYY-MM-DD). MLB rows are already in
// that form; basketball rows carry a full ISO timestamp → normalize so the
// accuracy 30-day window filter + the idempotency key (both key off `date`)
// behave identically across sports.
const outcomeDate = isBasketball ? (etDate(row.date) || row.date) : row.date;
const outcome = {
player, stat, line, side: sideOver(side) ? 'O' : 'U',
grade: g.grade, actual, result, date: row.date,
grade: g.grade, actual, result, date: outcomeDate,
gradedAt: gradedTs, settledAt: nowIso,
};
const key = outcomeKey(outcome);
@@ -215,10 +302,16 @@ function normalizeLog(raw) {
}
async function defaultGetPlayerStats(name, sport) {
if (String(sport).toLowerCase() === 'mlb') {
const sp = String(sport || '').toLowerCase();
if (sp === 'mlb') {
return require('./adapters/mlbStatsAdapter').getPlayerStats(name);
}
// NBA/WNBA/soccer: no free settled-result feed here → pending.
// Wave 1 — NBA/WNBA settle against the FREE ESPN per-game log (Wave 0's
// getPlayerGameLog returns the same { found, last10:[{date, stat}] } shape).
if (sp === 'nba' || sp === 'wnba') {
return require('./adapters/espnStatsAdapter').getPlayerGameLog(name, sp);
}
// soccer: no free settled-result feed yet → pending.
return { found: false };
}
@@ -293,10 +386,15 @@ module.exports = {
computeAccuracy,
accuracyBuckets,
// Session 58 — settlement primitives shared with ledgerService (single
// source of truth for hit/miss/push + MLB log-field resolution).
// source of truth for hit/miss/push + log-field resolution). Wave 1 —
// logRowOnDate normalizes the ESPN ISO game-log date for NBA/WNBA.
settleResult,
statValue,
logRowOnDate,
SPORTS,
MIN_SAMPLE,
__internals: { settleResult, gradeBucket, dateStrings, statValue, outcomeKey, MLB_LOG_FIELD, TIERS },
__internals: {
settleResult, gradeBucket, dateStrings, etDate, statValue, nbaStatValue,
logRowOnDate, outcomeKey, MLB_LOG_FIELD, NBA_BOX_KEY, NBA_COMBO, TIERS,
},
};
+18 -2
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@@ -69,6 +69,9 @@ function startSnapshotScheduler(opts = {}) {
const healthIssues = opts.healthIssues || require('./services/systemHealth').healthIssues;
const getQuotaStatus = opts.getQuotaStatus || require('./services/quotaTracker').getQuotaStatus;
const countLedgerRows = opts.countLedgerRows || require('./services/ledgerService').countRowsForDate;
// Wave 1 — real-finals probe for the zero-settle alarm (NBA/WNBA only page
// when yesterday actually had games). Reuses the free, cached ESPN scoreboard.
const getSchedule = opts.getSchedule || require('./services/scheduleService').getSchedule;
const failureTracker = opts.failureTracker || opsWatch.createFailureTracker();
let lastFiredSlot = null;
let lastOverdueSlot = null;
@@ -178,7 +181,17 @@ function startSnapshotScheduler(opts = {}) {
// once per ET date; a genuinely empty yesterday (0 rows fetched) never fires.
try {
if (h === opsWatch.morningHourUtc(HOURS_UTC) && ledgerResults) {
const z = opsWatch.zeroSettleAlarm(ledgerResults);
// Wave 1 — probe yesterday's ESPN scoreboard so an NBA/WNBA off-day
// (0 finals) never false-pages "settled 0" on stale pending rows.
const yEt = opsWatch.dateET(new Date(d.getTime() - 24 * 3600 * 1000));
const finalsBySport = {};
for (const fsp of opsWatch.FINALS_GATED_SPORTS) {
try {
const games = await getSchedule(fsp, yEt);
finalsBySport[fsp] = Array.isArray(games) && games.some((g) => g && g.status === 'post');
} catch { finalsBySport[fsp] = false; }
}
const z = opsWatch.zeroSettleAlarm(ledgerResults, { finalsBySport });
if (z.alarm) {
const dk = `ops:settle_zero:${opsWatch.dateET(d)}`;
if (!(await cacheGet(dk))) {
@@ -254,7 +267,10 @@ function startSnapshotScheduler(opts = {}) {
// settleAllLedgers run FIRST at every snapshot slot, before grading). It
// was invisible at boot, which made "is settlement scheduled?" unanswerable
// from logs. This line makes it verifiable forever.
console.log(`[settlement] armed — outcomes + ledger settle pass runs FIRST at each snapshot slot (${HOURS_UTC.join(',')} UTC), idempotent re-runs`);
// Wave 1 — announce settlement PER settleable sport so "does NBA settle?" is
// answerable from boot logs (mlb=statsapi, nba/wnba=ESPN game logs).
const settleTags = require('./services/opsWatch').SETTLEABLE_SPORTS.map((s) => `[settle:${s}]`).join(' ');
console.log(`[settlement] armed — ${settleTags} outcomes + ledger settle pass runs FIRST at each snapshot slot (${HOURS_UTC.join(',')} UTC), idempotent re-runs`);
// Session 8 — same verifiability rule: every watchdog states itself at boot.
console.log(`[opsWatch] armed — settle alarms (throw + morning zero-settle), failure pager (${failureTracker.threshold} consecutive), quota daily check, pulse ${PULSE_HOUR_UTC}:00 UTC`);
return { interval, tick, refreshTick, pulseTick };
+203
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@@ -0,0 +1,203 @@
// Wave 1 (truth-everywhere-train) — NBA/WNBA settlement.
// Locks that once a basketball grade exists, it settles against the FREE ESPN
// per-game log (espnStatsAdapter.getPlayerGameLog), records populate, the run
// is idempotent, and an unplayed/in-progress game NEVER settles. Zero network.
const svc = require('../../src/services/outcomeService');
const ledger = require('../../src/services/ledgerService');
const { statValue, nbaStatValue, logRowOnDate } = svc.__internals;
// ---- in-memory Redis (same helper shape as outcomeService.test.js) --------
function memCache(seed = {}) {
const store = { ...seed };
return {
store,
cacheGet: async (k) => (k in store ? store[k] : null),
cacheSet: async (k, v) => { store[k] = v; return true; },
};
}
// ESPN gamelog rows carry a FULL ISO timestamp (a late tip is 00:xxZ the next
// UTC day) — the exact shape Wave 0's getPlayerGameLog returns.
const NOW = '2026-07-13T15:00:00.000Z'; // 11am ET Jul 13 = "today"
const GRADED_TS = '2026-07-12T23:30:00.000Z'; // 7:30pm ET Jul 12 (locked pre-game)
const GAME_ISO = '2026-07-13T01:00:00.000+00:00'; // 9pm ET Jul 12 → ET date Jul 12
function snapshot(sport, grades) { return { sport, updated_at: GRADED_TS, grades }; }
function grade(over = {}) {
return {
player: over.player || "A'ja Wilson",
stat_type: over.stat || 'points',
line: over.line != null ? over.line : 19.5,
direction: over.side || 'over',
grade: over.grade || 'A',
gradedAt: { line: over.line != null ? over.line : 19.5, odds: -115, timestamp: GRADED_TS },
};
}
// espnStatsAdapter.getPlayerGameLog fixture: { found, id, last10:[{date, stat}] }
function espnLog(statObj, dateIso = GAME_ISO) {
return { found: true, id: '3149391', last10: [{ date: dateIso, opponent: 'IND', isHome: true, stat: statObj }] };
}
describe('statValue — sport-aware (NBA/WNBA box keys, S11 three-map-split kept)', () => {
test('MLB path unchanged when sport unspecified/mlb', () => {
expect(statValue({ homeRuns: 1 }, 'home_runs')).toBe(1);
expect(statValue({ homeRuns: 1 }, 'home_runs', 'mlb')).toBe(1);
});
test('NBA/WNBA simple stats read the ESPN box object', () => {
const box = { points: 24, rebounds: 12, assists: 3, threes: 2, steals: 1, blocks: 1, turnovers: 4 };
expect(statValue(box, 'points', 'wnba')).toBe(24);
expect(statValue(box, 'rebounds', 'nba')).toBe(12);
expect(statValue(box, 'threes', 'wnba')).toBe(2);
expect(statValue(box, 'turnovers', 'nba')).toBe(4);
});
test('combo stat_types sum their components (pts_reb_ast, reb_ast, stl_blk)', () => {
const box = { points: 20, rebounds: 12, assists: 2, steals: 1, blocks: 3 };
expect(nbaStatValue(box, 'pts_reb_ast')).toBe(34);
expect(nbaStatValue(box, 'pts_reb')).toBe(32);
expect(nbaStatValue(box, 'reb_ast')).toBe(14);
expect(nbaStatValue(box, 'stl_blk')).toBe(4);
});
test('a combo with a missing component never fabricates a total', () => {
expect(nbaStatValue({ points: 20, rebounds: 12 }, 'pts_reb_ast')).toBeNull();
});
test('an unmapped NBA stat is unsettleable (absent beats a fabricated outcome)', () => {
expect(statValue({ points: 20 }, 'double_doubles', 'wnba')).toBeNull();
});
});
describe('logRowOnDate — ESPN ISO date normalized to UTC+ET', () => {
test('MLB rows exact-compare YYYY-MM-DD (unchanged)', () => {
expect(logRowOnDate({ date: '2026-07-09' }, '2026-07-09', 'mlb')).toBe(true);
expect(logRowOnDate({ date: '2026-07-09' }, '2026-07-08', 'mlb')).toBe(false);
});
test('NBA/WNBA ISO row matches its ET date (late tip rolled past UTC midnight)', () => {
expect(logRowOnDate({ date: GAME_ISO }, '2026-07-12', 'wnba')).toBe(true); // ET
expect(logRowOnDate({ date: GAME_ISO }, '2026-07-13', 'nba')).toBe(true); // UTC
expect(logRowOnDate({ date: GAME_ISO }, '2026-07-11', 'wnba')).toBe(false);
});
});
describe('settleSnapshot — WNBA grades settle vs the real ESPN game log', () => {
test('a locked WNBA over settles to a hit and populates accuracy:wnba + byGrade', async () => {
const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:wnba:latest': snapshot('wnba', [grade({ stat: 'points', line: 19.5, side: 'over', grade: 'A' })]) });
const getPlayerStats = async () => espnLog({ points: 24, rebounds: 12, assists: 3 });
const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('wnba', { ...cache, getPlayerStats, now: () => NOW });
expect(res.settled).toBe(1);
expect(res.log[0]).toMatchObject({ result: 'hit', actual: 24, grade: 'A', side: 'O' });
expect(cache.store['accuracy:wnba'].byGrade['A'].hits).toBe(1);
expect(cache.store['accuracy:wnba'].overall.pct).toBe(100);
});
test('settles a miss (under, actual above line)', async () => {
const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:wnba:latest': snapshot('wnba', [grade({ stat: 'points', line: 19.5, side: 'under', grade: 'B' })]) });
const getPlayerStats = async () => espnLog({ points: 24 });
const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('wnba', { ...cache, getPlayerStats, now: () => NOW });
expect(res.log[0].result).toBe('miss');
expect(cache.store['accuracy:wnba'].byGrade['B'].misses).toBe(1);
});
test('settles a push (actual equals line)', async () => {
const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:wnba:latest': snapshot('wnba', [grade({ stat: 'points', line: 24, side: 'over', grade: 'C' })]) });
const getPlayerStats = async () => espnLog({ points: 24 });
const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('wnba', { ...cache, getPlayerStats, now: () => NOW });
expect(res.log[0].result).toBe('push');
});
test('a combo prop (pts_reb_ast) settles', async () => {
const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:wnba:latest': snapshot('wnba', [grade({ stat: 'pts_reb_ast', line: 29.5, side: 'over', grade: 'A' })]) });
const getPlayerStats = async () => espnLog({ points: 20, rebounds: 12, assists: 2 }); // 34
const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('wnba', { ...cache, getPlayerStats, now: () => NOW });
expect(res.settled).toBe(1);
expect(res.log[0]).toMatchObject({ result: 'hit', actual: 34, stat: 'pts_reb_ast' });
});
test('idempotent — a second run does not double-count', async () => {
const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:wnba:latest': snapshot('wnba', [grade({ grade: 'A' })]) });
const deps = { ...cache, getPlayerStats: async () => espnLog({ points: 24 }), now: () => NOW };
await svc.settleSnapshot('wnba', deps);
const res2 = await svc.settleSnapshot('wnba', deps);
expect(res2.settled).toBe(0);
expect(res2.log.length).toBe(1);
expect(cache.store['accuracy:wnba'].overall.total).toBe(1);
});
test('an in-progress / today game does NOT settle (final-honesty guard)', async () => {
// Graded today, ESPN returns a row whose ET date is TODAY → never settle it.
const gradedToday = '2026-07-13T14:00:00.000Z'; // 10am ET Jul 13
const todaysGame = '2026-07-13T23:00:00.000+00:00'; // 7pm ET Jul 13 (in progress)
const g = grade({ stat: 'points', line: 19.5, side: 'over', grade: 'A' });
g.gradedAt.timestamp = gradedToday;
const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:wnba:latest': { sport: 'wnba', updated_at: gradedToday, grades: [g] } });
const getPlayerStats = async () => espnLog({ points: 30 }, todaysGame);
const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('wnba', { ...cache, getPlayerStats, now: () => NOW });
expect(res.settled).toBe(0);
expect(res.pending).toBe(1);
});
test('offline ESPN (found:false) → pending, never throws', async () => {
const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:nba:latest': snapshot('nba', [grade()]) });
const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('nba', { ...cache, getPlayerStats: async () => ({ found: false }), now: () => NOW });
expect(res.settled).toBe(0);
expect(res.pending).toBe(1);
});
});
describe('ledgerService.settleLedger — WNBA settles vs the ESPN game log', () => {
// Minimal chainable Supabase stub (same shape as ledgerService.test.js).
function fakeSb() {
const calls = { updates: [] };
const state = { selectResults: [], selectCursor: 0, countResult: 0 };
function builder() {
const b = {
_update: null,
upsert() { return Promise.resolve({ error: null }); },
update(v) { b._update = v; return b; },
select() { return b; }, eq() { return b; }, is() { return b; },
not() { return b; }, lt() { return b; }, gte() { return b; }, order() { return b; },
in(col, ids) {
if (b._update) { calls.updates.push({ values: b._update, ids }); return Promise.resolve({ error: null }); }
return terminal();
},
limit() { return terminal(); },
then(res, rej) { return terminal().then(res, rej); },
};
function terminal() {
if (b._update) { calls.updates.push({ values: b._update }); return Promise.resolve({ error: null }); }
const data = state.selectResults[state.selectCursor] ?? [];
state.selectCursor += 1;
return Promise.resolve({ data, error: null, count: state.countResult });
}
return b;
}
return { from: () => builder(), _calls: calls, _state: state };
}
test('settles a WNBA row (points) via the ESPN gamelog ET-date match', async () => {
const sb = fakeSb();
sb._state.selectResults = [
[{ id: 'r1' }],
[{ id: 'r1', player_name: "A'ja Wilson", stat: 'points', line: 19.5, side: 'over', closing_line: 19.5, game_date: '2026-07-12' }],
];
// ESPN ISO date normalizes to ET 2026-07-12 → matches game_date.
const getPlayerStats = async () => espnLog({ points: 24 });
const res = await ledger.settleLedger('wnba', { sb, getPlayerStats, now: () => NOW, beforeDate: '2026-07-13' });
expect(res.settled).toBe(1);
expect(sb._calls.updates[0].values).toMatchObject({ outcome: 'hit', actual_value: 24, clv: 0, clv_result: 'flat' });
});
test('by_tier populates for WNBA settled rows (records need no new plumbing)', async () => {
const sb = fakeSb();
const rows = [
...Array.from({ length: 14 }, () => ({ outcome: 'hit', clv_result: null, grade: 'A' })),
...Array.from({ length: 6 }, () => ({ outcome: 'miss', clv_result: null, grade: 'A-' })),
];
sb._state.selectResults = [rows];
sb._state.countResult = 0;
// by_tier is sport-agnostic: once WNBA rows carry an outcome + grade they
// flow into the SAME calibration buckets the MLB path uses (no new plumbing).
const agg = await ledger.getModelAggregate({ sb });
expect(agg.by_tier.A.settled).toBe(20);
expect(agg.by_tier.A.hit_pct).toBe(70);
});
});
+33 -1
View File
@@ -80,13 +80,45 @@ describe('zeroSettleAlarm', () => {
expect(zeroSettleAlarm([{ sport: 'mlb', settled: 3, pending: 9 }]).alarm).toBe(false);
});
test('ignores sports without a settled-result feed (WNBA pendings are honest)', () => {
test('WNBA pendings without a finals signal never page (off-day / stale rows)', () => {
// Wave 1 — wnba IS settleable now, but with no finals-probe signal its
// pendings are excluded so an offseason/off-day cannot false-page.
const z = zeroSettleAlarm([
{ sport: 'mlb', settled: 0, pending: 0 },
{ sport: 'wnba', settled: 0, pending: 40 },
]);
expect(z.alarm).toBe(false);
});
test('Wave 1 — WNBA zero-settle WITH finals present DOES page', () => {
const z = zeroSettleAlarm(
[{ sport: 'wnba', settled: 0, pending: 40 }],
{ finalsBySport: { wnba: true } },
);
expect(z.alarm).toBe(true);
expect(z.pending).toBe(40);
});
test('Wave 1 — NBA finals present but SOMETHING settled → no alarm', () => {
const z = zeroSettleAlarm(
[{ sport: 'nba', settled: 5, pending: 30 }],
{ finalsBySport: { nba: true } },
);
expect(z.alarm).toBe(false);
});
test('Wave 1 — NBA finals present but 0 rows to settle → no false alarm', () => {
const z = zeroSettleAlarm(
[{ sport: 'nba', settled: 0, pending: 0 }],
{ finalsBySport: { nba: true } },
);
expect(z.alarm).toBe(false);
});
test('legacy array 2nd arg (settleable list) is still honored', () => {
const z = zeroSettleAlarm([{ sport: 'mlb', settled: 0, pending: 7 }], ['mlb']);
expect(z).toEqual({ alarm: true, settled: 0, pending: 7 });
});
});
describe('morningHourUtc', () => {