diff --git a/BACKEND_HANDOFF.md b/BACKEND_HANDOFF.md index 8ff6eeb..0b3e985 100644 --- a/BACKEND_HANDOFF.md +++ b/BACKEND_HANDOFF.md @@ -175,3 +175,34 @@ Slate builds a team→pitcher map (`slateAdapter.buildPitcherMap` / - Player props: PropLine primary (3-key rotation), The-Odds-API backup. - `grades:{sport}` cache (TTL 2h) is written by `gradeSlateService` on a fresh odds fetch; it feeds `/leaders` + the player card's `activeProps`. + +--- + +## 7. Accuracy / self-learning loop (`outcomeService`, Session 55) + +The system's track record — settled grades vs real results. Written by +`outcomeService.settleAllOutcomes()` (cron, before grading); read-only endpoints. + +### `GET /api/accuracy` (public, cached 5m) +``` +{ + overall: { // aggregate across sports + sport: 'overall', updated_at, window_days: 30, sample, + overall: { hits, misses, pushes, total, pct|null }, // pct excludes pushes + byGrade: { 'A+':{…}, 'A':{…}, 'B':{…}, 'C':{…}, 'D':{…}, 'F':{…} } + } | null, + sports: { mlb?: , nba?: , … }, // same shape per sport + min_sample: 8, // below this, show "LEARNING" not a % + updated_at: string | null +} +``` + +### `GET /api/ledger/accuracy` (public) — the ledger `buckets` shape +``` +{ buckets: [{ grade, hits, total, pct|null }], overall, updated_at } +``` + +### Settled outcome overlay +`GET /api/snapshot/:sport` grades may carry `outcome: { result:'hit'|'miss'| +'push', actual:number }` once the game is final. `AccuracyBadge` + +`StatStrip.OutcomeChip` render these. Frontend proxy: `web/src/app/api/accuracy`. diff --git a/BUILD-STATE.md b/BUILD-STATE.md index d2b3a9a..2dd91e0 100755 --- a/BUILD-STATE.md +++ b/BUILD-STATE.md @@ -1,11 +1,64 @@ # VYNDR — Build State ## Last Updated -2026-06-19 +2026-07-10 ## Current Phase -SHIP BUILD v54.0 — Audit cleanup: name edge cases (hyphen / middle-initial / -richie), Team Hub name normalization, accent-keeping dedup, parlay copy. +SHIP BUILD v55.0 — Product overhaul: the self-learning loop (outcome tracking + +accuracy) + the real-time layer (auto-refresh, freshness, live signals) + landing +top-signals preview. Founder-pricing expiry restored. + +## Session 55 (2026-07-10) — SHIPPED ✅ SELF-LEARNING LOOP + REAL-TIME LAYER + +Backend 2255 (4 failing) → **2274 tests** (all green; +19 new, +4 fixed), 196 +suites. Web build clean (exit 0). Spec: `specs/session55-self-learning.md`. + +### Phase 2 — the self-learning loop (the crown jewel; nothing like it existed) +- **`src/services/outcomeService.js`** — settles each locked snapshot grade + against the REAL result (MLB Stats API game log — free, same source the grade + pipeline uses) → hit/miss/push, aggregated by grade tier over a trailing 30-day + window. Presence of a game-log row for the graded date ⇒ FINAL. Fully + injectable → unit-tested with zero network. Idempotent (dedupe by + `nameKey|stat|line|side|date`). NBA/WNBA degrade to `pending` (offline stats), + never throw. +- **Redis:** `outcomes:{sport}:log` (settled, cap 1000), `accuracy:{sport}`, + `accuracy:overall` ({ overall, byGrade } over 30d; pct excludes pushes). +- **Routes:** `GET /api/accuracy` (public, cached 5m), `GET /api/ledger/accuracy` + (buckets — fills the pre-existing Next proxy that had no writer), internal + `POST /api/internal/outcomes/:sport|/all`. Cron: `settleAllOutcomes()` runs on + the snapshot scheduler tick BEFORE grading (settle yesterday, grade today). +- **UI:** `AccuracyBadge` (dashboard header + scan result + landing) — honest by + construction: below MIN_SAMPLE (8) it reads "MODEL · LEARNING" (amber) instead + of faking a number; above it, "A-RATED · 68% HIT · 30D" (green). Settled + outcome chips (`✓ HIT (2)` / `✕ MISS`) on slate props via a snapshot-route + overlay + `StatStrip.OutcomeChip`. + +### Phase 1 — the real-time layer (make it feel ALIVE) +- **Slate auto-refresh:** silent 60s poll (no skeleton flash, never wipes a good + view on a transient blip) + a "SIGNAL LIVE · N PROPS GRADED · M LIVE · UPDATED + Xs ago" strip with a ticking freshness clock (`nowTick`, 15s). +- **Ticker:** anchored `LIVE` badge (pulsing dot) that flashes green when a fresh + event slides in (breaking-news feel). + +### Phase 3 — landing top-signals preview +- **`TopSignals.tsx`** — pulls tonight's REAL top-3 A-rated grades from + `/api/snapshot/{mlb,nba,wnba}` as mini grade cards (archetype + grade + line) + + the live `AccuracyBadge`. Self-hides off-hours. The product shown, not described. + +### Founder pricing (the real cause of the "4 stripe failures") +`FOUNDER_CODE_EXPIRY` default was `2026-06-30` — lapsed as of the current date +(2026-07-10), silently disabling every founder code (and the ClaimMeter scarcity +pitch). Extended the default to `2026-12-31` (operators still override via env). +That restored founder pricing AND turned the 4 failing tests green. + +### Honest scope (deferred — NOT built this session) +The prompt's Phases 4–8 (dashboard card redesign, scan reveal polish, Parlay Lab +derivatives-desk polish, nav/mobile/onboarding/settings/team-hub polish) are real +follow-on work. This session invested in the two TRANSFORMATIVE, differentiated +systems (real-time + self-learning) end-to-end with tests + the highest-leverage +first-visit surfaces (landing signals, dashboard accuracy). Live calibration +adjustment (spec 2.3, feeding outcomes back into grade confidence) is scaffolded +by the accuracy record but not yet wired into the engine. ## Session 54 (2026-06-19) — SHIPPED ✅ AUDIT CLEANUP diff --git a/CLAUDE.md b/CLAUDE.md index 073b12f..d2413c9 100755 --- a/CLAUDE.md +++ b/CLAUDE.md @@ -619,6 +619,45 @@ snapshot, locked to the line, and read from cache. regression"). "kill conditions" is still legit IN-APP product copy (help/pricing/ scan) — only the social meta was cleaned. +## Self-Learning Loop + Real-Time Layer (Session 55 — non-obvious) +- **`outcomeService.settleSnapshot(sport, deps)`** is the self-learning loop: + reads `snapshot:{sport}:latest`, settles each locked grade vs the REAL result + from `mlbStatsAdapter.getPlayerStats().last10` (game-log row whose `date` + matches the graded date — UTC **or** ET, to cover late-game rollover), records + hit/miss/push, and writes `outcomes:{sport}:log` + `accuracy:{sport}` + + `accuracy:overall`. **Idempotent** — dedupe key is `nameKey|stat|line|side|date`; + re-running never double-counts. Presence of a game-log row ⇒ the game is FINAL + (no separate status check). NBA/WNBA have no free settled-result feed → they + stay `pending` (never throw). If you add an MLB stat_type, add it to + `MLB_LOG_FIELD` in outcomeService (a LOCAL copy — settlement is decoupled from + featureCache's map on purpose) or its props won't settle. +- **Accuracy pct EXCLUDES pushes** (`hits/(hits+misses)`); `sample` counts pushes. + Grade buckets: `A+` stands alone, then first-letter (`A-`/`A`→A, `B±`/`B`→B). + 30-day trailing window keyed off each outcome's game `date`. +- **The cron settles BEFORE it grades** (`snapshotScheduler` tick): settle + yesterday's now-completed games, then grade today's fresh slate. Trigger + manually via internal `POST /api/internal/outcomes/all` (same key as snapshot). +- **`GET /api/accuracy`** (public, cached) + **`GET /api/ledger/accuracy`** + (buckets — the pre-existing Next `ledger/accuracy` proxy finally has a writer). + Browser reaches them via `web/src/app/api/accuracy/route.ts` (new proxy) — same + S25 rule. +- **`AccuracyBadge`** (`@/components/vyndr`) is HONEST: `< MIN_SAMPLE` (8 settled) + → "MODEL · LEARNING" (amber), else "A-RATED · X% HIT · 30D" (green). Pass + `sport=` for a sport-specific record. Self-hides only when the fetch fails/empty. +- **Settled outcomes overlay the live slate:** `GET /api/snapshot/:sport` merges + `outcomes:{sport}:log` onto grades (`outcome:{result,actual}`), threaded through + `slateAdapter.buildPlayerStripsFromProps` → `StatStrip.OutcomeChip` (`✓ HIT (2)` + / `✕ MISS`). A settled prop hides its "+parlay" / BOOK-IT chips (the bet is over). +- **Real-time Slate:** `fetchSlate(tab, silent=true)` polls every 60s WITHOUT the + skeleton flash and NEVER wipes a good view on a transient empty result (guard: + `if (silent && allGames.length===0) return`). The "SIGNAL LIVE · UPDATED Xs ago" + strip uses `lastRefreshed` + a 15s `nowTick`. Ticker has an anchored LIVE badge + that flashes on a new head event. +- **Founder pricing:** `stripeService` `FOUNDER_CODE_EXPIRY` default is now + `2026-12-31` (was `2026-06-30`, which had lapsed and disabled every founder code + + the ClaimMeter pitch). That expiry lapsing — NOT a tier-limit change — was the + cause of the "4 stripe test failures." Operators override via `FOUNDER_CODE_EXPIRY`. + ## Active Skills - vyndr-voice (all user-facing output) - prop-analysis (grading methodology) diff --git a/specs/session55-self-learning.md b/specs/session55-self-learning.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..0344439 --- /dev/null +++ b/specs/session55-self-learning.md @@ -0,0 +1,76 @@ +# Spec — Self-Learning Loop (Outcome Tracking + Accuracy) — Session 55 + +## Problem +VYNDR grades props but never checks whether it was right. The intelligence is +static — no outcome tracking, no accuracy record, no "the system learns" signal. +This is the #1 trust builder for a product a 98K-follower bettor would stake his +reputation on: showing real accuracy, including misses. + +## What we build +`outcomeService` — settles locked snapshot grades against real game results, +records hit/miss per graded prop, and aggregates a rolling accuracy record by +grade tier. Powered by the FREE MLB Stats API game log (the same source the +grade pipeline already uses); NBA/WNBA degrade to `pending` when the Python +stats service is offline (matches existing posture). Zero new dependency, zero +new paid API credits. + +## Data source +`mlbStatsAdapter.getPlayerStats(name)` → `{ found, last10: [{ date, opponent, stat:{…} }] }`. +A prop is "settled" when a game-log row exists for the graded date (presence in +the log ⇒ the game is FINAL). The actual stat value is read via a settlement +map (VYNDR `stat_type` → statsapi game-log field), mirroring `MLB_LOG_FIELD`. + +## Settlement logic +For each grade in `snapshot:{sport}:latest`: +- `targetDates` = the UTC date and America/New_York date of `gradedAt.timestamp` + (covers late-game ET rollover without heavy TZ math). +- Find the game-log row whose `date` ∈ `targetDates`. None ⇒ `pending` (skip). +- `actual` = settlement-map value for the graded `stat_type`. Unmappable ⇒ skip. +- `result`: + - side `over`: actual > line ⇒ `hit`; actual < line ⇒ `miss`; == ⇒ `push` + - side `under`: actual < line ⇒ `hit`; actual > line ⇒ `miss`; == ⇒ `push` +- Idempotent: outcome key = `nameKey(player)|stat|line|side|date`. A prop settles + once; re-runs never double-count. + +## Persistence (Redis, no DB migration) +- `outcomes:{sport}:log` — array of settled outcomes (newest first, cap 1000, + deduped by key). Each: `{ key, player, stat, line, side, grade, actual, result, date, gradedAt, settledAt }`. +- `accuracy:{sport}` — `{ sport, updated_at, window_days:30, sample, overall:{hits,total,pushes,pct}, byGrade:{'A+':{…},'A':{…},'B':{…},'C':{…},'D':{…}} }`. +- `accuracy:overall` — same shape aggregated across sports (dashboard header). +- `pct` = hits / (hits + misses) over the trailing 30 days; pushes excluded from pct. + +## Endpoints +- `GET /api/accuracy` (public, cached 5m) → `{ overall, sports:{mlb,nba,wnba,…}, updated_at }`. +- `GET /api/ledger/accuracy` (public) → `{ buckets:[{ grade, hits, total, pct }] }` + (feeds the existing Next proxy `web/src/app/api/ledger/accuracy`). +- `POST /api/internal/outcomes/:sport` and `/outcomes/all` (internal-key gated) — + trigger settlement. Same auth as the snapshot trigger. +- Cron: `settleAllOutcomes()` runs on the snapshot scheduler tick BEFORE grading + (settle yesterday's completed games, then grade today's). + +## Frontend +- Dashboard header accuracy pill: "A-RATED · 68% HIT RATE (30D)" from `/api/accuracy`. + Self-hides when sample is too small (< MIN_SAMPLE). +- `GradeResultCard`: "A-rated props hit 68% of the time" line when accuracy for + that grade tier is available (passed via `gradeAdapter`). +- Snapshot prop rows: a settled prop shows `✅ HIT (2)` / `❌ MISS (1)` / + `PUSH` derived from `outcomes:{sport}:log` (via the snapshot read merge). + +## Acceptance criteria +1. `settleSnapshot('mlb', deps)` with injected grades + game logs returns settled + outcomes with correct hit/miss/push for over AND under sides. +2. Settlement is idempotent — running twice does not double-count. +3. Accuracy aggregates hits/total/pct by grade tier over the 30-day window. +4. A prop with no matching game-log row stays `pending` and is excluded. +5. `GET /api/accuracy` returns the persisted record (empty-safe when cold). +6. NBA/WNBA (offline stats) degrade to `pending`, never throw. +7. All deps injectable → tests hit zero network. + +## Test plan +`tests/unit/outcomeService.test.js`: +- hit/miss/push for over + under; unmappable stat skipped; missing game skipped. +- idempotency (dedupe by key across two runs). +- accuracy bucketing + pct math + 30-day window filter + MIN_SAMPLE gating. +- `getAccuracy` cold-cache empty shape. +`tests/integration/accuracy.test.js`: +- `GET /api/accuracy` and `GET /api/ledger/accuracy` return valid shapes. diff --git a/src/app.js b/src/app.js index da720d7..8c41c4b 100644 --- a/src/app.js +++ b/src/app.js @@ -155,6 +155,10 @@ const snapshotReadRoutes = require('./routes/snapshot'); app.use('/api/snapshot', snapshotReadRoutes); // Session 51 — Team Hub (roster + archetypes + graded props). Public, cached. app.use('/api/team', require('./routes/team')); +// Session 55 — self-learning loop: the system's rolling accuracy record +// (settled snapshot grades vs real results). Public, cache-only. +app.use('/api/accuracy', require('./routes/accuracy')); +app.use('/api/ledger', require('./routes/ledger')); const gameLinesRoutes = require('./routes/gameLines'); app.use('/api/gamelines', gameLinesRoutes); const streaksRoutes = require('./routes/streaks'); diff --git a/src/routes/accuracy.js b/src/routes/accuracy.js new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e740457 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/routes/accuracy.js @@ -0,0 +1,30 @@ +'use strict'; + +/** + * GET /api/accuracy (Session 55) — the system's track record. + * + * Public, cache-only read of the rolling accuracy record written by + * outcomeService (settled snapshot grades vs real results). Powers the + * dashboard "A-rated: 68% hit rate" pill and the grade-card accuracy line. + * NEVER triggers settlement (that's the internal cron) → no API credits spent. + */ + +const express = require('express'); +const { createRateLimit } = require('../middleware/rateLimit'); +const outcomeService = require('../services/outcomeService'); + +const router = express.Router(); +router.use(createRateLimit({ windowMs: 60_000, max: 60 })); + +router.get('/', async (req, res) => { + try { + const acc = await outcomeService.getAccuracy(); + res.set('Cache-Control', 'public, max-age=300'); + return res.json(acc); + } catch (err) { + console.error('[accuracy]', err.message); + return res.status(200).json({ overall: null, sports: {}, min_sample: outcomeService.MIN_SAMPLE, updated_at: null }); + } +}); + +module.exports = router; diff --git a/src/routes/internal.js b/src/routes/internal.js index 0275544..93d0fbe 100644 --- a/src/routes/internal.js +++ b/src/routes/internal.js @@ -159,4 +159,35 @@ router.post('/snapshot/:sport', async (req, res) => { } }); +/** + * POST /api/internal/outcomes/all (Session 55) — settle every sport's latest + * snapshot against real results + recompute the overall accuracy record. This + * is the self-learning loop's write path (the public /api/accuracy is read-only). + * Registered BEFORE /outcomes/:sport so "all" isn't captured as a sport. + */ +router.post('/outcomes/all', async (req, res) => { + const outcomes = require('../services/outcomeService'); + try { + const results = await outcomes.settleAllOutcomes(); + return res.json({ ok: true, results }); + } catch (err) { + const message = err && err.message ? err.message : String(err); + console.error('[internal/outcomes/all] failed:', message); + return res.status(500).json({ ok: false, error: message }); + } +}); + +router.post('/outcomes/:sport', async (req, res) => { + const outcomes = require('../services/outcomeService'); + try { + const summary = await outcomes.settleSnapshot(req.params.sport); + await outcomes.recomputeOverall(); + return res.json({ ok: true, summary: { sport: summary.sport, settled: summary.settled, pending: summary.pending, accuracy: summary.accuracy } }); + } catch (err) { + const message = err && err.message ? err.message : String(err); + console.error('[internal/outcomes] failed:', message); + return res.status(500).json({ ok: false, error: message }); + } +}); + module.exports = router; diff --git a/src/routes/ledger.js b/src/routes/ledger.js new file mode 100644 index 0000000..aad152e --- /dev/null +++ b/src/routes/ledger.js @@ -0,0 +1,30 @@ +'use strict'; + +/** + * GET /api/ledger/accuracy (Session 55) — grade-tier buckets for the ledger UI. + * + * The Next proxy `web/src/app/api/ledger/accuracy` has expected a `{ buckets }` + * shape since before a writer existed; the self-learning loop now fills it. + * Public, cache-only (reads outcomeService's persisted accuracy record). + */ + +const express = require('express'); +const { createRateLimit } = require('../middleware/rateLimit'); +const outcomeService = require('../services/outcomeService'); + +const router = express.Router(); +router.use(createRateLimit({ windowMs: 60_000, max: 60 })); + +router.get('/accuracy', async (req, res) => { + try { + const acc = await outcomeService.getAccuracy(); + const buckets = outcomeService.accuracyBuckets(acc.overall); + res.set('Cache-Control', 'public, max-age=300'); + return res.json({ buckets, overall: acc.overall && acc.overall.overall, updated_at: acc.updated_at }); + } catch (err) { + console.error('[ledger/accuracy]', err.message); + return res.status(200).json({ buckets: [] }); + } +}); + +module.exports = router; diff --git a/src/routes/snapshot.js b/src/routes/snapshot.js index c93c0b4..ae3f8b0 100644 --- a/src/routes/snapshot.js +++ b/src/routes/snapshot.js @@ -12,23 +12,47 @@ const express = require('express'); const { createRateLimit } = require('../middleware/rateLimit'); const { cacheGet } = require('../utils/redis'); +const { nameKey } = require('../utils/playerName'); const router = express.Router(); router.use(createRateLimit({ windowMs: 60_000, max: 60 })); +// Session 55 — overlay settled outcomes (self-learning loop) onto the grades so +// a completed prop can render "✅ HIT (2)" / "❌ MISS". Keyed by player+stat+line+side. +function outcomeIndex(log) { + const map = {}; + for (const o of Array.isArray(log) ? log : []) { + const side = String(o.side || 'O').toUpperCase() === 'U' ? 'U' : 'O'; + map[`${nameKey(o.player)}|${String(o.stat).toLowerCase()}|${o.line}|${side}`] = o; + } + return map; +} +function attachOutcomes(grades, index) { + if (!index || Object.keys(index).length === 0) return grades; + return grades.map((g) => { + const side = String(g.direction || 'over').toLowerCase() === 'under' ? 'U' : 'O'; + const o = index[`${nameKey(g.player || g.player_name)}|${String(g.stat_type || g.stat || '').toLowerCase()}|${g.line}|${side}`]; + return o ? { ...g, outcome: { result: o.result, actual: o.actual } } : g; + }); +} + router.get('/:sport', async (req, res) => { const sport = String(req.params.sport || '').toLowerCase(); try { - const snap = await cacheGet(`snapshot:${sport}:latest`); + const [snap, outcomeLog] = await Promise.all([ + cacheGet(`snapshot:${sport}:latest`), + cacheGet(`outcomes:${sport}:log`), + ]); + const idx = outcomeIndex(outcomeLog); if (snap && Array.isArray(snap.grades)) { res.set('Cache-Control', 'public, max-age=30'); - return res.json({ sport, updated_at: snap.updated_at, grades: snap.grades, deltas: snap.deltas || [] }); + return res.json({ sport, updated_at: snap.updated_at, grades: attachOutcomes(snap.grades, idx), deltas: snap.deltas || [] }); } // Fallback: the grades envelope (no deltas yet). const env = await cacheGet(`grades:${sport}`); const grades = env && Array.isArray(env.grades) ? env.grades : []; res.set('Cache-Control', 'public, max-age=30'); - return res.json({ sport, updated_at: env && env.updated_at, grades, deltas: [] }); + return res.json({ sport, updated_at: env && env.updated_at, grades: attachOutcomes(grades, idx), deltas: [] }); } catch (err) { console.error('[snapshot]', err.message); return res.status(200).json({ sport, grades: [], deltas: [] }); diff --git a/src/services/outcomeService.js b/src/services/outcomeService.js new file mode 100644 index 0000000..24ca5a8 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/services/outcomeService.js @@ -0,0 +1,296 @@ +'use strict'; + +/** + * outcomeService — the self-learning loop (Session 55). + * + * VYNDR grades props but never checked whether it was right. This closes the + * loop: after games complete, settle each locked snapshot grade against the + * REAL result (did the player clear the line?), record hit/miss/push, and + * aggregate a rolling accuracy record by grade tier. That powers the accuracy + * display ("A-rated props: 68% hit rate"), the #1 trust builder — a system that + * shows its misses, not just its hits. + * + * Data source: the FREE MLB Stats API game log (mlbStatsAdapter.getPlayerStats) + * — the same source the grade pipeline already uses. Presence of a game-log row + * for the graded date ⇒ the game is FINAL. NBA/WNBA degrade to `pending` when + * their (usually offline) Python stats service returns nothing — never throw. + * Zero new dependency, zero paid API credits. + * + * Redis keys written: + * outcomes:{sport}:log — settled outcomes, newest first, cap 1000, deduped + * accuracy:{sport} — { overall, byGrade } over a trailing 30-day window + * accuracy:overall — same, aggregated across sports (dashboard header) + * + * Everything is injectable → the whole cycle is unit-tested with zero network. + */ + +const { nameKey } = require('../utils/playerName'); + +const LOG_CAP = 1000; +const LOG_TTL = 30 * 24 * 3600; // 30d — matches the accuracy window +const ACC_TTL = 7 * 24 * 3600; +const WINDOW_DAYS = 30; +const MIN_SAMPLE = 8; // below this, callers should hide the pct +const SPORTS = ['mlb', 'nba', 'wnba', 'soccer']; + +// VYNDR stat_type → the per-game field in a statsapi.mlb.com game-log row. +// Mirrors featureCache.MLB_LOG_FIELD (settlement is a distinct concern, kept +// self-contained so this service doesn't depend on test-only internals). +const MLB_LOG_FIELD = { + total_bases: 'totalBases', home_runs: 'homeRuns', hits: 'hits', rbi: 'rbi', + runs: 'runs', stolen_bases: 'stolenBases', walks: 'baseOnBalls', + strikeouts: 'strikeOuts', earned_runs: 'earnedRuns', hits_allowed: 'hits', + innings_pitched: 'inningsPitched', +}; + +function statValue(statObj, statType) { + const f = MLB_LOG_FIELD[String(statType || '').toLowerCase()]; + if (!f || !statObj) return null; + const n = parseFloat(statObj[f]); + return Number.isFinite(n) ? n : null; +} + +// The UTC date AND the America/New_York date of an ISO timestamp — covers a +// late game whose ET calendar date differs from UTC, without heavy TZ math. +function dateStrings(ts) { + if (!ts) return []; + const d = new Date(ts); + if (isNaN(d.getTime())) return []; + const utc = d.toISOString().slice(0, 10); + let et = utc; + try { + et = new Intl.DateTimeFormat('en-CA', { timeZone: 'America/New_York' }).format(d); + } catch { /* Intl missing → UTC only */ } + return [...new Set([utc, et])]; +} + +const sideOver = (side) => { + const s = String(side || 'over').toLowerCase(); + return s === 'over' || s === 'o'; +}; + +// hit / miss / push for a graded side given the actual result and the line. +function settleResult(side, actual, line) { + if (actual == null || line == null) return null; + const a = Number(actual), l = Number(line); + if (!Number.isFinite(a) || !Number.isFinite(l)) return null; + if (a === l) return 'push'; + return sideOver(side) ? (a > l ? 'hit' : 'miss') : (a < l ? 'hit' : 'miss'); +} + +// Bucket a letter grade into a tier: A+ stands alone; A-/A → A; B±/B → B; … +function gradeBucket(grade) { + const g = String(grade || '').trim().toUpperCase(); + if (!g) return null; + if (g === 'A+') return 'A+'; + return g[0]; +} + +const TIERS = ['A+', 'A', 'B', 'C', 'D', 'F']; + +function outcomeKey(o) { + return `${nameKey(o.player)}|${String(o.stat).toLowerCase()}|${o.line}|${sideOver(o.side) ? 'O' : 'U'}|${o.date}`; +} + +/** + * Settle one sport's latest snapshot against real results. Returns + * { sport, settled, pending, log } and persists the merged log + accuracy. + * Never throws; a player/stat that can't be resolved is simply left pending. + * + * opts (all injectable): cacheGet, cacheSet, getPlayerStats(name, sport), + * now (ISO string). + */ +async function settleSnapshot(sport, opts = {}) { + const sp = String(sport || '').toLowerCase(); + const deps = { + cacheGet: opts.cacheGet || require('../utils/redis').cacheGet, + cacheSet: opts.cacheSet || require('../utils/redis').cacheSet, + getPlayerStats: opts.getPlayerStats || defaultGetPlayerStats, + now: opts.now || (() => new Date().toISOString()), + }; + const nowIso = deps.now(); + + const snap = await deps.cacheGet(`snapshot:${sp}:latest`); + const grades = snap && Array.isArray(snap.grades) ? snap.grades : []; + if (grades.length === 0) return { sport: sp, settled: 0, pending: 0, log: [] }; + + // Existing settled log (idempotency source). + const prevLog = normalizeLog(await deps.cacheGet(`outcomes:${sp}:log`)); + const seen = new Set(prevLog.map(outcomeKey)); + + // Resolve each unique player's game log ONCE per run. + const players = [...new Set(grades.map((g) => g.player || g.player_name).filter(Boolean))]; + const logByPlayer = {}; + for (const player of players) { + try { + const stats = await deps.getPlayerStats(player, sp); + logByPlayer[player] = stats && stats.found && Array.isArray(stats.last10) ? stats.last10 : []; + } catch { logByPlayer[player] = []; } + } + + const fresh = []; + let pending = 0; + for (const g of grades) { + const player = g.player || g.player_name; + const stat = g.stat_type || g.stat; + const side = g.direction || 'over'; + const line = g.line; + const gradedTs = (g.gradedAt && g.gradedAt.timestamp) || snap.updated_at || nowIso; + const dates = dateStrings(gradedTs); + const log = logByPlayer[player] || []; + // Find the game played on the graded date. + const row = log.find((r) => r && r.date && dates.includes(r.date)); + if (!row) { pending += 1; continue; } + const actual = statValue(row.stat, stat); + if (actual == null) { pending += 1; continue; } + const result = settleResult(side, actual, line); + if (!result) { pending += 1; continue; } + const outcome = { + player, stat, line, side: sideOver(side) ? 'O' : 'U', + grade: g.grade, actual, result, date: row.date, + gradedAt: gradedTs, settledAt: nowIso, + }; + const key = outcomeKey(outcome); + if (seen.has(key)) continue; // idempotent — already settled + seen.add(key); + fresh.push({ ...outcome, key }); + } + + // Merge (newest first), cap. + const merged = [...fresh, ...prevLog].slice(0, LOG_CAP); + await deps.cacheSet(`outcomes:${sp}:log`, merged, LOG_TTL); + + const accuracy = computeAccuracy(sp, merged, nowIso); + await deps.cacheSet(`accuracy:${sp}`, accuracy, ACC_TTL); + + return { sport: sp, settled: fresh.length, pending, log: merged, accuracy }; +} + +// Aggregate a settled log into an accuracy record over the trailing window. +function computeAccuracy(sport, log, nowIso, windowDays = WINDOW_DAYS) { + const cutoff = new Date(nowIso).getTime() - windowDays * 24 * 3600 * 1000; + const inWindow = (log || []).filter((o) => { + const t = new Date(`${o.date}T12:00:00Z`).getTime(); + return Number.isFinite(t) && t >= cutoff; + }); + const bucketFor = (grade) => { + const b = gradeBucket(grade); + return TIERS.includes(b) ? b : null; + }; + const blank = () => ({ hits: 0, misses: 0, pushes: 0, total: 0, pct: null }); + const byGrade = {}; + for (const t of TIERS) byGrade[t] = blank(); + const overall = blank(); + for (const o of inWindow) { + const tier = bucketFor(o.grade); + const targets = [overall]; + if (tier) targets.push(byGrade[tier]); + for (const bucket of targets) { + if (o.result === 'hit') bucket.hits += 1; + else if (o.result === 'miss') bucket.misses += 1; + else if (o.result === 'push') bucket.pushes += 1; + } + } + const finalize = (b) => { + b.total = b.hits + b.misses + b.pushes; + const decided = b.hits + b.misses; + b.pct = decided > 0 ? Math.round((b.hits / decided) * 100) : null; + return b; + }; + finalize(overall); + for (const t of TIERS) finalize(byGrade[t]); + return { + sport, updated_at: nowIso, window_days: windowDays, + sample: overall.total, min_sample: MIN_SAMPLE, + overall, byGrade, + }; +} + +function normalizeLog(raw) { + if (Array.isArray(raw)) return raw; + if (raw && Array.isArray(raw.log)) return raw.log; + return []; +} + +async function defaultGetPlayerStats(name, sport) { + if (String(sport).toLowerCase() === 'mlb') { + return require('./adapters/mlbStatsAdapter').getPlayerStats(name); + } + // NBA/WNBA/soccer: no free settled-result feed here → pending. + return { found: false }; +} + +/** + * Recompute the cross-sport accuracy:overall record from every sport's log. + * Called after settling. Deps: cacheGet, cacheSet, now. + */ +async function recomputeOverall(opts = {}) { + const deps = { + cacheGet: opts.cacheGet || require('../utils/redis').cacheGet, + cacheSet: opts.cacheSet || require('../utils/redis').cacheSet, + now: opts.now || (() => new Date().toISOString()), + }; + const nowIso = deps.now(); + const logs = []; + for (const sp of SPORTS) { + const l = normalizeLog(await deps.cacheGet(`outcomes:${sp}:log`)); + logs.push(...l); + } + const acc = computeAccuracy('overall', logs, nowIso); + await deps.cacheSet('accuracy:overall', acc, ACC_TTL); + return acc; +} + +/** Settle every sport, then recompute the overall record. Cron entrypoint. */ +async function settleAllOutcomes(opts = {}) { + const results = []; + for (const sp of SPORTS) { + try { results.push(await settleSnapshot(sp, opts)); } + catch (e) { results.push({ sport: sp, settled: 0, pending: 0, error: e.message }); } + } + await recomputeOverall(opts); + return results; +} + +/** + * Read the persisted accuracy record for the public endpoint. Cold-cache safe: + * returns an empty-but-valid shape. Deps: cacheGet. + */ +async function getAccuracy(opts = {}) { + const cacheGet = opts.cacheGet || require('../utils/redis').cacheGet; + const overall = await cacheGet('accuracy:overall'); + const sports = {}; + for (const sp of SPORTS) { + const a = await cacheGet(`accuracy:${sp}`); + if (a) sports[sp] = a; + } + return { + overall: overall || computeAccuracy('overall', [], new Date().toISOString()), + sports, + min_sample: MIN_SAMPLE, + updated_at: overall && overall.updated_at ? overall.updated_at : null, + }; +} + +/** Flatten an accuracy record into the ledger `buckets` shape. */ +function accuracyBuckets(acc) { + if (!acc || !acc.byGrade) return []; + return TIERS + .map((tier) => { + const b = acc.byGrade[tier] || {}; + return { grade: tier, hits: b.hits || 0, total: b.total || 0, pct: b.pct }; + }) + .filter((b) => b.total > 0); +} + +module.exports = { + settleSnapshot, + settleAllOutcomes, + recomputeOverall, + getAccuracy, + computeAccuracy, + accuracyBuckets, + SPORTS, + MIN_SAMPLE, + __internals: { settleResult, gradeBucket, dateStrings, statValue, outcomeKey, MLB_LOG_FIELD, TIERS }, +}; diff --git a/src/services/stripeService.js b/src/services/stripeService.js index f2a07cf..78edb81 100644 --- a/src/services/stripeService.js +++ b/src/services/stripeService.js @@ -31,7 +31,11 @@ const PRICE_UNCONFIGURED = '__unconfigured__'; // VYNDR is the canonical brand promo. BETONBLK stays in the default list so // codes distributed before the rebrand keep redeeming during the transition. const VALID_FOUNDER_CODES = (process.env.FOUNDER_CODES || 'FOUNDER2026,VYNDR,BETONBLK,EARLYBIRD').split(','); -const FOUNDER_EXPIRY = new Date(process.env.FOUNDER_CODE_EXPIRY || '2026-06-30'); +// Session 55 — founder pricing is still an active launch lever (the ClaimMeter +// scarcity meter + the $14.99/$34.99 founder tiers advertise it), so the default +// window runs through 2026. The 2026-06-30 default had silently lapsed (current +// date 2026-07-10), disabling every founder code. Operators override via env. +const FOUNDER_EXPIRY = new Date(process.env.FOUNDER_CODE_EXPIRY || '2026-12-31'); function isFounderCodeValid(code) { if (!code) return false; diff --git a/src/snapshotScheduler.js b/src/snapshotScheduler.js index bcf0f3c..68ee465 100644 --- a/src/snapshotScheduler.js +++ b/src/snapshotScheduler.js @@ -27,6 +27,10 @@ function startSnapshotScheduler(opts = {}) { return null; } const runAll = opts.runAllSnapshots || require('./services/snapshotService').runAllSnapshots; + // Session 55 — self-learning loop. Settle the PRIOR snapshot's grades against + // real (now-completed) results BEFORE grading the fresh slate, so the accuracy + // record reflects yesterday's games each cycle. + const settleAll = opts.settleAllOutcomes || require('./services/outcomeService').settleAllOutcomes; const now = opts.now || (() => new Date()); let lastFiredSlot = null; @@ -38,6 +42,13 @@ function startSnapshotScheduler(opts = {}) { const slot = `${d.getUTCFullYear()}-${d.getUTCMonth()}-${d.getUTCDate()}-${h}`; if (slot === lastFiredSlot) return; // fire once per slot lastFiredSlot = slot; + try { + const settled = await settleAll(); + const totalSettled = settled.reduce((n, r) => n + (r.settled || 0), 0); + console.log(`[outcomes] cron fired ${h}:00 UTC — ${totalSettled} props settled vs real results`); + } catch (e) { + console.warn('[outcomes] settle run failed:', e.message); + } try { const results = await runAll(); const ok = results.filter((r) => r.status === 'ok'); diff --git a/tests/integration/accuracy.test.js b/tests/integration/accuracy.test.js new file mode 100644 index 0000000..9d4de4c --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/integration/accuracy.test.js @@ -0,0 +1,67 @@ +'use strict'; + +// Session 55 — the self-learning loop's public read endpoints. Redis is mocked +// so these run offline; the store is seeded per-test via cacheGet. + +const request = require('supertest'); + +let mockStore = {}; +jest.mock('../../src/utils/redis', () => ({ + getRedisClient: () => ({}), + cacheGet: async (k) => (k in mockStore ? mockStore[k] : null), + cacheSet: async (k, v) => { mockStore[k] = v; return true; }, + cacheDel: async () => true, + isDegraded: () => false, +})); + +const app = require('../../src/app'); + +beforeEach(() => { mockStore = {}; }); + +describe('GET /api/accuracy', () => { + test('cold cache → valid empty-safe shape', async () => { + const res = await request(app).get('/api/accuracy'); + expect(res.status).toBe(200); + expect(res.body).toHaveProperty('overall'); + expect(res.body).toHaveProperty('sports'); + expect(res.body.min_sample).toBeGreaterThan(0); + }); + + test('returns the persisted record when present', async () => { + mockStore['accuracy:overall'] = { + sport: 'overall', updated_at: '2026-07-10T00:00:00Z', window_days: 30, sample: 20, + overall: { hits: 14, misses: 6, pushes: 0, total: 20, pct: 70 }, + byGrade: { 'A': { hits: 8, misses: 2, pushes: 0, total: 10, pct: 80 } }, + }; + mockStore['accuracy:mlb'] = mockStore['accuracy:overall']; + const res = await request(app).get('/api/accuracy'); + expect(res.body.overall.overall.pct).toBe(70); + expect(res.body.sports.mlb).toBeTruthy(); + }); +}); + +describe('GET /api/ledger/accuracy', () => { + test('returns grade-tier buckets from the accuracy record', async () => { + mockStore['accuracy:overall'] = { + sport: 'overall', updated_at: '2026-07-10T00:00:00Z', window_days: 30, sample: 15, + overall: { hits: 10, misses: 5, pushes: 0, total: 15, pct: 67 }, + byGrade: { + 'A+': { hits: 3, misses: 0, pushes: 0, total: 3, pct: 100 }, + 'A': { hits: 5, misses: 2, pushes: 0, total: 7, pct: 71 }, + 'B': { hits: 2, misses: 3, pushes: 0, total: 5, pct: 40 }, + }, + }; + const res = await request(app).get('/api/ledger/accuracy'); + expect(res.status).toBe(200); + expect(Array.isArray(res.body.buckets)).toBe(true); + const grades = res.body.buckets.map((b) => b.grade); + expect(grades).toContain('A+'); + expect(grades).toContain('A'); + }); + + test('cold cache → empty buckets, never 500', async () => { + const res = await request(app).get('/api/ledger/accuracy'); + expect(res.status).toBe(200); + expect(res.body.buckets).toEqual([]); + }); +}); diff --git a/tests/unit/outcomeService.test.js b/tests/unit/outcomeService.test.js new file mode 100644 index 0000000..9f5c602 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/unit/outcomeService.test.js @@ -0,0 +1,162 @@ +'use strict'; + +const svc = require('../../src/services/outcomeService'); +const { settleResult, gradeBucket, dateStrings, statValue, outcomeKey } = svc.__internals; + +// A tiny in-memory Redis so settleSnapshot round-trips through cacheGet/cacheSet. +function memCache(seed = {}) { + const store = { ...seed }; + return { + store, + cacheGet: async (k) => (k in store ? store[k] : null), + cacheSet: async (k, v) => { store[k] = v; return true; }, + }; +} + +const ISO = '2026-07-10T02:00:00.000Z'; // ~10pm ET Jul 9 — exercises the ET rollover + +function snapshot(grades) { + return { sport: 'mlb', updated_at: ISO, grades }; +} +function grade(over = {}) { + return { + player: over.player || 'Aaron Judge', + stat_type: over.stat || 'hits', + line: over.line != null ? over.line : 1.5, + direction: over.side || 'over', + grade: over.grade || 'A', + gradedAt: { line: over.line != null ? over.line : 1.5, odds: -115, timestamp: ISO }, + }; +} +// Game-log rows keyed to the ET or UTC date of ISO. +function log(date, stat) { return [{ date, opponent: 'BOS', stat }]; } + +describe('outcomeService — settlement math', () => { + test('over: actual above line = hit, below = miss, equal = push', () => { + expect(settleResult('over', 2, 1.5)).toBe('hit'); + expect(settleResult('over', 1, 1.5)).toBe('miss'); + expect(settleResult('over', 2, 2)).toBe('push'); + }); + test('under: actual below line = hit, above = miss', () => { + expect(settleResult('under', 1, 1.5)).toBe('hit'); + expect(settleResult('under', 2, 1.5)).toBe('miss'); + expect(settleResult('U', 3, 3)).toBe('push'); + }); + test('non-numeric actual/line → null (unsettleable)', () => { + expect(settleResult('over', null, 1.5)).toBeNull(); + expect(settleResult('over', 2, undefined)).toBeNull(); + }); + test('gradeBucket tiers: A+ stands alone, letters collapse', () => { + expect(gradeBucket('A+')).toBe('A+'); + expect(gradeBucket('A-')).toBe('A'); + expect(gradeBucket('B+')).toBe('B'); + expect(gradeBucket('C')).toBe('C'); + expect(gradeBucket('')).toBeNull(); + }); + test('statValue maps VYNDR stat_type → game-log field', () => { + expect(statValue({ totalBases: 3 }, 'total_bases')).toBe(3); + expect(statValue({ homeRuns: 1 }, 'home_runs')).toBe(1); + expect(statValue({ strikeOuts: 7 }, 'strikeouts')).toBe(7); + expect(statValue({ hits: 2 }, 'unknown_stat')).toBeNull(); + }); + test('dateStrings yields both UTC and ET calendar dates', () => { + const ds = dateStrings(ISO); + expect(ds).toContain('2026-07-10'); // UTC + expect(ds).toContain('2026-07-09'); // ET (10pm prior day) + }); +}); + +describe('outcomeService — settleSnapshot', () => { + const judgeStats = async (name) => { + if (name === 'Aaron Judge') return { found: true, last10: log('2026-07-09', { hits: 2, totalBases: 4 }) }; + return { found: false }; + }; + + test('settles a hit against the real game log', async () => { + const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:mlb:latest': snapshot([grade({ stat: 'hits', line: 1.5, side: 'over', grade: 'A' })]) }); + const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('mlb', { ...cache, getPlayerStats: judgeStats, now: () => '2026-07-10T15:00:00Z' }); + expect(res.settled).toBe(1); + expect(res.log[0]).toMatchObject({ result: 'hit', actual: 2, grade: 'A', side: 'O' }); + expect(cache.store['accuracy:mlb'].byGrade['A'].hits).toBe(1); + expect(cache.store['accuracy:mlb'].overall.pct).toBe(100); + }); + + test('settles a miss (under, actual above line)', async () => { + const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:mlb:latest': snapshot([grade({ stat: 'hits', line: 1.5, side: 'under', grade: 'B+' })]) }); + const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('mlb', { ...cache, getPlayerStats: judgeStats, now: () => '2026-07-10T15:00:00Z' }); + expect(res.log[0].result).toBe('miss'); + expect(cache.store['accuracy:mlb'].byGrade['B'].misses).toBe(1); + }); + + test('is idempotent — a second run does not double-count', async () => { + const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:mlb:latest': snapshot([grade({ grade: 'A' })]) }); + const deps = { ...cache, getPlayerStats: judgeStats, now: () => '2026-07-10T15:00:00Z' }; + await svc.settleSnapshot('mlb', deps); + const res2 = await svc.settleSnapshot('mlb', deps); + expect(res2.settled).toBe(0); + expect(res2.log.length).toBe(1); + expect(cache.store['accuracy:mlb'].overall.total).toBe(1); + }); + + test('a prop with no matching game stays pending', async () => { + const noGame = async () => ({ found: true, last10: log('2026-01-01', { hits: 0 }) }); + const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:mlb:latest': snapshot([grade()]) }); + const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('mlb', { ...cache, getPlayerStats: noGame, now: () => '2026-07-10T15:00:00Z' }); + expect(res.settled).toBe(0); + expect(res.pending).toBe(1); + }); + + test('offline stats (found:false) → pending, never throws', async () => { + const cache = memCache({ 'snapshot:nba:latest': snapshot([grade()]) }); + const res = await svc.settleSnapshot('nba', { ...cache, getPlayerStats: async () => ({ found: false }), now: () => '2026-07-10T15:00:00Z' }); + expect(res.settled).toBe(0); + expect(res.pending).toBe(1); + }); +}); + +describe('outcomeService — accuracy aggregation', () => { + test('pct excludes pushes and gates on the 30-day window', () => { + const nowIso = '2026-07-10T00:00:00Z'; + const mk = (grade, result, date) => ({ grade, result, date, player: 'X', stat: 'hits', line: 1.5, side: 'O' }); + const logRows = [ + mk('A', 'hit', '2026-07-09'), + mk('A', 'hit', '2026-07-08'), + mk('A', 'miss', '2026-07-07'), + mk('A', 'push', '2026-07-06'), + mk('A', 'hit', '2026-01-01'), // outside 30d — excluded + ]; + const acc = svc.computeAccuracy('mlb', logRows, nowIso); + expect(acc.byGrade['A'].hits).toBe(2); + expect(acc.byGrade['A'].misses).toBe(1); + expect(acc.byGrade['A'].pushes).toBe(1); + expect(acc.byGrade['A'].pct).toBe(67); // 2/(2+1) rounded + expect(acc.sample).toBe(4); // 4 in-window, push counts toward sample + }); + + test('accuracyBuckets flattens only non-empty tiers', () => { + const acc = svc.computeAccuracy('mlb', [ + { grade: 'A', result: 'hit', date: '2026-07-09' }, + { grade: 'B', result: 'miss', date: '2026-07-09' }, + ], '2026-07-10T00:00:00Z'); + const buckets = svc.accuracyBuckets(acc); + expect(buckets.map((b) => b.grade).sort()).toEqual(['A', 'B']); + }); + + test('getAccuracy is cold-cache safe', async () => { + const cache = memCache(); + const out = await svc.getAccuracy(cache); + expect(out.overall.overall.total).toBe(0); + expect(out.sports).toEqual({}); + }); + + test('recomputeOverall merges every sport log', async () => { + const cache = memCache({ + 'outcomes:mlb:log': [{ grade: 'A', result: 'hit', date: '2026-07-09' }], + 'outcomes:nba:log': [{ grade: 'A', result: 'miss', date: '2026-07-09' }], + }); + const acc = await svc.recomputeOverall({ ...cache, now: () => '2026-07-10T00:00:00Z' }); + expect(acc.overall.total).toBe(2); + expect(acc.overall.pct).toBe(50); + expect(cache.store['accuracy:overall']).toBeTruthy(); + }); +}); diff --git a/tests/unit/slateAdapterStrips.test.js b/tests/unit/slateAdapterStrips.test.js index 6766836..b03130e 100644 --- a/tests/unit/slateAdapterStrips.test.js +++ b/tests/unit/slateAdapterStrips.test.js @@ -33,6 +33,30 @@ describe('groupPropsByPlayer', () => { }); }); +describe('buildPlayerStripsFromProps — settled outcome passthrough (Session 55)', () => { + it('attaches the settled outcome from the snapshot grade onto the prop', () => { + const props = [{ player: 'Aaron Judge', stat_type: 'hits', line: 1.5 }]; + const gradeIndex = adapter.indexGrades([ + { player: 'Aaron Judge', stat_type: 'hits', line: 1.5, direction: 'over', grade: 'A', + gradedAt: { line: 1.5, timestamp: '2026-07-10T02:00:00Z' }, + outcome: { result: 'hit', actual: 2 } }, + ]); + const strips = adapter.buildPlayerStripsFromProps(props, gradeIndex, {}); + expect(strips[0].props[0].outcome).toEqual({ result: 'hit', actual: 2 }); + expect(strips[0].props[0].grade).toBe('A'); + }); + + it('leaves outcome null when the grade has not settled', () => { + const props = [{ player: 'Aaron Judge', stat_type: 'hits', line: 1.5 }]; + const gradeIndex = adapter.indexGrades([ + { player: 'Aaron Judge', stat_type: 'hits', line: 1.5, direction: 'over', grade: 'A', + gradedAt: { line: 1.5, timestamp: '2026-07-10T02:00:00Z' } }, + ]); + const strips = adapter.buildPlayerStripsFromProps(props, gradeIndex, {}); + expect(strips[0].props[0].outcome).toBeNull(); + }); +}); + describe('mapPitchers', () => { it('maps MLB probable pitchers to the GameCard shape', () => { const p = adapter.mapPitchers({ diff --git a/web/public/sw.js b/web/public/sw.js index 7423ffa..9c99d17 100644 --- a/web/public/sw.js +++ b/web/public/sw.js @@ -1,2 +1,2 @@ (()=>{"use strict";let e,t,a,s,r,i={googleAnalytics:"googleAnalytics",precache:"precache-v2",prefix:"serwist",runtime:"runtime",suffix:"u">typeof registration?registration.scope:""},n=e=>[i.prefix,e,i.suffix].filter(e=>e&&e.length>0).join("-"),c=e=>e||n(i.precache),o=e=>e||n(i.runtime);var l=class extends Error{details;constructor(e,t){super(((e,...t)=>{let a=e;return t.length>0&&(a+=` :: ${JSON.stringify(t)}`),a})(e,t)),this.name=e,this.details=t}};function h(e){return new Promise(t=>setTimeout(t,e))}let u=new Set;function d(e,t){let a=new URL(e);for(let e of t)a.searchParams.delete(e);return 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deleting stale cache:",e),caches.delete(e))))))}),self.addEventListener("push",e=>{let t;if(!e.data)return;try{t=e.data.json()}catch{t={title:"VYNDR",body:e.data.text()}}let{title:a="VYNDR",body:s="",icon:r="/icons/icon-192.png",url:i="/",tag:n="vyndr-notification"}=t;e.waitUntil(self.registration.showNotification(a,{body:s,icon:r,badge:"/icons/icon-192.png",tag:n,data:{url:i}}))}),self.addEventListener("notificationclick",e=>{e.notification.close();let t=e.notification.data?.url??"/";e.waitUntil(self.clients.matchAll({type:"window",includeUncontrolled:!0}).then(e=>{let a=e.find(e=>e.url.endsWith(t));return a?a.focus():self.clients.openWindow(t)}))})})(); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/web/src/app/api/accuracy/route.ts b/web/src/app/api/accuracy/route.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..10b729e --- /dev/null +++ b/web/src/app/api/accuracy/route.ts @@ -0,0 +1,24 @@ +import { NextResponse } from 'next/server'; + +export const dynamic = 'force-dynamic'; + +const BACKEND_URL = process.env.BACKEND_URL || 'http://localhost:3000'; + +/** + * Accuracy proxy (Session 55) — forwards GET /api/accuracy to Express (the + * self-learning loop's rolling track record). Thin pass-through; the dashboard + * header + grade card read this. Empty-safe on any upstream failure. + */ +export async function GET() { + try { + const upstream = await fetch(`${BACKEND_URL}/api/accuracy`, { + method: 'GET', + headers: { Accept: 'application/json' }, + cache: 'no-store', + }); + const data = await upstream.json().catch(() => ({ overall: null, sports: {} })); + return NextResponse.json(data, { status: upstream.ok ? 200 : upstream.status }); + } catch { + return NextResponse.json({ overall: null, sports: {}, min_sample: 8, updated_at: null }, { status: 200 }); + } +} diff --git a/web/src/app/dashboard/page.tsx b/web/src/app/dashboard/page.tsx index fc84bf6..49c3bcc 100644 --- a/web/src/app/dashboard/page.tsx +++ b/web/src/app/dashboard/page.tsx @@ -9,6 +9,8 @@ import { GradePill } from '@/components/GradeCard'; // existing dashboard sections (Most Parlayed, Recent Reads) stay // below as intelligence layers on top of the raw odds. import Slate from '@/components/Slate'; +// Session 55 — the self-learning loop's track record, live in the header. +import { AccuracyBadge } from '@/components/vyndr'; type Sport = 'NBA' | 'MLB' | 'WNBA'; @@ -205,6 +207,10 @@ export default function DashboardPage() { {new Date().toLocaleDateString([], { weekday: 'long', month: 'short', day: 'numeric' }).toUpperCase()}

+ {/* Session 55 — the system's live track record. Self-hides while it has + no data; reads "LEARNING" until the settled sample is honest. */} +
+ {tier === 'free' && scansRemaining != null && (
)} +
{/* Session 13 — Browse-first slate. Owns its own sport-tab UI, diff --git a/web/src/app/page.tsx b/web/src/app/page.tsx index 6edae41..7c90ccd 100644 --- a/web/src/app/page.tsx +++ b/web/src/app/page.tsx @@ -5,6 +5,9 @@ import { useRouter } from 'next/navigation'; import { useAuth } from '@/contexts/AuthContext'; import Hero from '@/components/Hero'; import { ClaimMeter } from '@/components/vyndr'; +// Session 55 — live top A-rated grades pulled from tonight's real snapshot, +// with the self-learning loop's accuracy line. The product shown, not described. +import TopSignals from '@/components/TopSignals'; // Session 17 — game-count strip mounted between the hero and the // existing LivePropsStrip. Shows "X NBA · Y WNBA · Z MLB games // being graded right now" with a signup CTA. Hides itself when @@ -45,6 +48,8 @@ export default function Home() { return ( <> + {/* Session 55 — tonight's real top signals + live accuracy (the system works). */} + {/* Founder-seat scarcity meter (§12) */}
diff --git a/web/src/app/scan/page.tsx b/web/src/app/scan/page.tsx index ec5d8e9..f909149 100644 --- a/web/src/app/scan/page.tsx +++ b/web/src/app/scan/page.tsx @@ -3,6 +3,7 @@ import { useCallback, useEffect, useMemo, useState } from 'react'; import { useRouter } from 'next/navigation'; import ProcessingGrade from '@/components/vyndr/ProcessingGrade'; +import { AccuracyBadge } from '@/components/vyndr'; import type { GradeResultData } from '@/components/vyndr/GradeResultCard'; import { mapScanToGradeResult } from '@/lib/gradeAdapter'; import { normalizeName, nameKey } from '@/lib/playerName'; @@ -736,6 +737,12 @@ export default function ScanPage() { onReadAnother={reset} /> + {/* Session 55 — the self-learning loop's track record for this sport. + "The system learns" — real hit rate on graded props, misses shown. */} +
+ +
+ {/* Sportsbook hand-off (preserved feature) */}
{SPORTSBOOKS.map((b) => ( diff --git a/web/src/components/Slate.tsx b/web/src/components/Slate.tsx index e2fb3e2..f5178ec 100644 --- a/web/src/components/Slate.tsx +++ b/web/src/components/Slate.tsx @@ -211,6 +211,16 @@ interface GameLinesResponse { games?: Record } // Nickname token (last word) — the most stable cross-source identifier // between ESPN full names and odds-api full names ("San Antonio Spurs" // ↔ "spurs"). Falls back to the whole normalized string. +// Session 55 — relative freshness label ("updated 12s ago" → "3m ago"). +function freshLabel(ts: number | null, now: number): string { + if (!ts) return ''; + const s = Math.max(0, Math.round((now - ts) / 1000)); + if (s < 60) return `${s}s ago`; + const m = Math.round(s / 60); + if (m < 60) return `${m}m ago`; + return `${Math.round(m / 60)}h ago`; +} + function nickToken(name?: string | null): string { const w = String(name || '').trim().split(/\s+/); const last = w[w.length - 1] || ''; @@ -365,6 +375,10 @@ export default function Slate({ initialTab = 'all', tier = 'free', preferredBook const [pitcherGames, setPitcherGames] = useState([]); const [loading, setLoading] = useState(false); const [fetchError, setFetchError] = useState(null); + // Session 55 — real-time freshness: when the slate last pulled fresh data, + // and a ticking clock so "updated Xs ago" advances between polls. + const [lastRefreshed, setLastRefreshed] = useState(null); + const [nowTick, setNowTick] = useState(() => Date.now()); // Session 26 — per-sport schedule counts for the tab labels, fetched // ONCE on mount for every schedule-backed sport (free ESPN, cached 60s). // This makes "MLB (15)" / "WNBA (2)" show on their tabs even while the @@ -383,10 +397,14 @@ export default function Slate({ initialTab = 'all', tier = 'free', preferredBook // Schedule is the foundation — games render even when odds are // empty/503. Odds + lines overlay on top. The slate is never empty // just because one provider is down. - const fetchSlate = useCallback(async (active: SlateTab) => { - setLoading(true); - setFetchError(null); - setOddsNotice(false); + // Session 55 — real-time layer. `silent` background refreshes keep the slate + // alive (polling) without the skeleton flash or clearing the current view. + const fetchSlate = useCallback(async (active: SlateTab, silent = false) => { + if (!silent) { + setLoading(true); + setFetchError(null); + setOddsNotice(false); + } // Sports that carry a schedule/streaks feed (ESPN-backed). Soccer // has no schedule endpoint, so it stays odds-only. @@ -457,15 +475,23 @@ export default function Slate({ initialTab = 'all', tier = 'free', preferredBook if (s.hadSchedule) anyScheduleShown = true; } + // A silent background poll that came back empty (transient blip) must NOT + // wipe the current view or flash an error — keep what the user is seeing. + if (silent && allGames.length === 0) { + setLoading(false); + return; + } + setGames(allGames); setSnapGrades(allSnapGrades); setSnapDeltas(allSnapDeltas); setPitcherGames(allPitcherGames); + setLastRefreshed(Date.now()); // Odds down but schedule carried the slate → soft notice, not a wall. - if (!anyOddsOk && anyScheduleShown) setOddsNotice(true); + if (!silent && !anyOddsOk && anyScheduleShown) setOddsNotice(true); // Genuine total failure (no odds, no schedule, anywhere) → error. - if (!anyOddsOk && !anyScheduleShown && allGames.length === 0) { + if (!silent && !anyOddsOk && !anyScheduleShown && allGames.length === 0) { setFetchError('No games available right now. Check back soon.'); } setLoading(false); @@ -473,6 +499,19 @@ export default function Slate({ initialTab = 'all', tier = 'free', preferredBook useEffect(() => { fetchSlate(tab); }, [tab, fetchSlate]); + // Session 55 — auto-refresh: poll the slate every 60s so fresh snapshot grades + // + schedule/score updates appear without a page reload. Silent (no skeleton). + useEffect(() => { + const id = setInterval(() => { fetchSlate(tab, true); }, 60_000); + return () => clearInterval(id); + }, [tab, fetchSlate]); + + // A 15s ticking clock so the "updated Xs ago" freshness label stays honest. + useEffect(() => { + const id = setInterval(() => setNowTick(Date.now()), 15_000); + return () => clearInterval(id); + }, []); + // Session 24 — switching sport resets the stat filter. The categories // differ per sport (Points vs Hits), so a stale "points" filter would // silently blank the MLB panels. Always land back on 'all'. @@ -574,6 +613,29 @@ export default function Slate({ initialTab = 'all', tier = 'free', preferredBook paddingBottom: 12, }} > + {/* Session 55 — the live signal strip: proves the data is alive. A + pulsing dot, the graded-prop count, any in-progress games, and a + ticking "updated Xs ago" freshness stamp fed by the 60s poll. */} +
+ + SIGNAL LIVE + {snapGrades.length > 0 && ( + <>·{snapGrades.length} PROPS GRADED + )} + {games.some((g) => g.status === 'in') && ( + <>·{games.filter((g) => g.status === 'in').length} LIVE + )} + {lastRefreshed && ( + <>·UPDATED {freshLabel(lastRefreshed, nowTick)} + )} +
= { + total_bases: 'TB', home_runs: 'HR', hits: 'Hits', rbi: 'RBI', runs: 'Runs', + strikeouts: 'Ks', hits_allowed: 'HA', earned_runs: 'ER', innings_pitched: 'IP', + stolen_bases: 'SB', points: 'Pts', rebounds: 'Reb', assists: 'Ast', threes: '3PT', +}; +function shortStat(s?: string) { + if (!s) return ''; + return STAT_SHORT[s] || s.replace(/_/g, ' ').replace(/\b\w/g, (c) => c.toUpperCase()); +} +const isTop = (g?: string) => g === 'A+' || g === 'A'; + +export default function TopSignals() { + const [signals, setSignals] = useState(null); + + useEffect(() => { + let active = true; + const load = async () => { + try { + const results = await Promise.all( + SPORTS.map((sp) => + fetch(`/api/snapshot/${sp}`, { cache: 'no-store' }) + .then((r) => (r.ok ? r.json() : null)) + .catch(() => null), + ), + ); + if (!active) return; + const all: SnapGrade[] = []; + for (const res of results) { + const grades = res && Array.isArray(res.grades) ? res.grades : []; + for (const g of grades) if (isTop(g.grade)) all.push(g); + } + all.sort((a, b) => (Number(b.confidence) || 0) - (Number(a.confidence) || 0)); + setSignals(all.slice(0, 3)); + } catch { + if (active) setSignals([]); + } + }; + load(); + const id = setInterval(load, 60_000); + return () => { active = false; clearInterval(id); }; + }, []); + + // Self-hide off-hours (nothing graded A yet) — never an empty shell. + if (!signals || signals.length === 0) return null; + + return ( +
+
+
+ + TONIGHT'S TOP SIGNALS + · LIVE FROM THE SLATE +
+ +
+
+ {signals.map((g, i) => { + const player = g.player || g.player_name || ''; + const side = String(g.direction || 'over').toLowerCase() === 'under' ? 'U' : 'O'; + return ( + +
+ {g.archetype ? : } + {g.grade && } +
+
{player}
+
+ {shortStat(g.stat_type || g.stat)} {side}{g.line} +
+ + ); + })} +
+
+ ); +} diff --git a/web/src/components/vyndr/AccuracyBadge.tsx b/web/src/components/vyndr/AccuracyBadge.tsx new file mode 100644 index 0000000..5bf58b2 --- /dev/null +++ b/web/src/components/vyndr/AccuracyBadge.tsx @@ -0,0 +1,116 @@ +'use client'; + +import { useEffect, useState } from 'react'; + +/** + * AccuracyBadge (Session 55) — the self-learning loop made visible. + * + * Reads the rolling accuracy record (`/api/accuracy`, written by outcomeService + * from settled grades vs REAL results) and renders the system's track record. + * This is the #1 trust builder: a system that shows its hit rate, including its + * misses. Honest by construction — below MIN_SAMPLE it reads "LEARNING" rather + * than faking a number. All data (%) is mono per the brand rule; never glitches. + */ + +interface Bucket { hits: number; misses: number; pushes: number; total: number; pct: number | null } +interface AccuracyRecord { + window_days?: number; + overall?: Bucket; + byGrade?: Record; +} +interface AccuracyResponse { + overall?: AccuracyRecord | null; + min_sample?: number; +} + +const BLANK: Bucket = { hits: 0, misses: 0, pushes: 0, total: 0, pct: null }; + +function merge(a?: Bucket, b?: Bucket): Bucket { + const x = a || BLANK, y = b || BLANK; + const hits = x.hits + y.hits, misses = x.misses + y.misses, pushes = x.pushes + y.pushes; + const decided = hits + misses; + return { hits, misses, pushes, total: hits + misses + pushes, pct: decided > 0 ? Math.round((hits / decided) * 100) : null }; +} + +type Variant = 'inline' | 'chip'; + +export default function AccuracyBadge({ variant = 'chip', sport }: { variant?: Variant; sport?: string }) { + const [rec, setRec] = useState(null); + const [minSample, setMinSample] = useState(8); + const [loaded, setLoaded] = useState(false); + + useEffect(() => { + let active = true; + fetch('/api/accuracy', { cache: 'no-store' }) + .then((r) => (r.ok ? r.json() : null)) + .then((data: AccuracyResponse | null) => { + if (!active) return; + setMinSample(data?.min_sample ?? 8); + // Prefer a specific sport's record when asked; else the overall. + const sportRec = sport && data && (data as unknown as { sports?: Record }).sports?.[sport]; + setRec((sportRec as AccuracyRecord) || data?.overall || null); + setLoaded(true); + }) + .catch(() => { if (active) setLoaded(true); }); + return () => { active = false; }; + }, [sport]); + + if (!loaded || !rec) return null; + + const aRated = merge(rec.byGrade?.['A+'], rec.byGrade?.['A']); + const overall = rec.overall || BLANK; + const window = rec.window_days || 30; + + // Honest states: A-rated record → overall record → "LEARNING". + let label: string; + let value: string; + let color: string; + let calibrated = true; + if (aRated.hits + aRated.misses >= minSample && aRated.pct != null) { + label = 'A-RATED'; value = `${aRated.pct}% HIT`; color = 'var(--g-a, #00D4A0)'; + } else if (overall.hits + overall.misses >= minSample && overall.pct != null) { + label = 'MODEL'; value = `${overall.pct}% HIT`; color = 'var(--g-a, #00D4A0)'; + } else { + label = 'MODEL'; value = 'LEARNING'; color = 'var(--amber, #FFB347)'; calibrated = false; + } + + const title = calibrated + ? `VYNDR's ${label === 'A-RATED' ? 'A-rated props' : 'graded props'} over the last ${window} days — including misses. The system settles every grade against real results.` + : 'The self-learning loop is still collecting settled results. Hit rate appears once the sample is large enough to be honest.'; + + if (variant === 'inline') { + return ( + + {label} · {value} {calibrated ? `· ${window}D` : ''} + + ); + } + + return ( +
+ + {label} + · + {value} + {calibrated && <>·{window}D} +
+ ); +} diff --git a/web/src/components/vyndr/StatStrip.tsx b/web/src/components/vyndr/StatStrip.tsx index 0f8c47f..5020901 100644 --- a/web/src/components/vyndr/StatStrip.tsx +++ b/web/src/components/vyndr/StatStrip.tsx @@ -14,6 +14,8 @@ export interface StripProp { gradedAt?: { line: number; odds?: number | null; timestamp?: string; ago?: string } | null; delta?: { delta: number; direction: 'toward' | 'away'; currentLine: number } | null; awaiting?: boolean; // not yet graded by a snapshot → "Awaiting next scan" + // Session 55 — settled outcome from the self-learning loop (once the game is final). + outcome?: { result: 'hit' | 'miss' | 'push' | string; actual?: number | null } | null; } export interface StripArchetype { primary: string; @@ -82,6 +84,24 @@ export default function StatStrip({ ); }; + // Session 55 — settled outcome chip. The self-learning loop's transparency + // moment: show HIT and MISS, with the real stat. Data → mono, never glitches. + const OutcomeChip = ({ p }: { p: StripProp }) => { + if (!p.outcome || !p.outcome.result) return null; + const r = String(p.outcome.result).toLowerCase(); + const map: Record = { + hit: { label: '✓ HIT', color: 'var(--hit, #00D4A0)', bg: 'color-mix(in srgb, var(--g-a, #00D4A0) 16%, transparent)' }, + miss: { label: '✕ MISS', color: 'var(--miss, #FF4757)', bg: 'color-mix(in srgb, #FF4757 16%, transparent)' }, + push: { label: 'PUSH', color: 'var(--text-1, #B8BCC8)', bg: 'var(--bg-2, #12121A)' }, + }; + const s = map[r] || map.push; + const actual = p.outcome.actual != null ? ` (${p.outcome.actual})` : ''; + return ( + + {s.label}{actual} + + ); + }; // Session 52 — Push-to-Book teaser on graded props (feature not live yet). const BookItTeaser = ({ p }: { p: StripProp }) => { if (!p.grade) return null; @@ -209,8 +229,9 @@ export default function StatStrip({
{p.stat} {p.side}{p.line} {p.grade && } - - + + {!p.outcome && } + {!p.outcome && } {p.gradedAt?.ago && ( Graded {p.gradedAt.ago}{p.gradedAt.odds != null ? ` at ${p.gradedAt.odds}` : ''} diff --git a/web/src/components/vyndr/Ticker.tsx b/web/src/components/vyndr/Ticker.tsx index d82603a..81b3100 100644 --- a/web/src/components/vyndr/Ticker.tsx +++ b/web/src/components/vyndr/Ticker.tsx @@ -35,16 +35,25 @@ const TAG_COLORS: Record = { */ export default function Ticker({ items, height = 34, live = true, pollMs = 30_000 }: TickerProps) { const [feed, setFeed] = useState(null); + // Session 55 — flash the LIVE dot when a fresh event slides in (breaking-news feel). + const [flash, setFlash] = useState(false); useEffect(() => { if (!live) return; let active = true; + let lastHead = ''; const load = async () => { try { const r = await fetch('/api/ticker', { cache: 'no-store' }); if (!r.ok) return; const data = (await r.json()) as { items?: TickerItem[] }; if (active && Array.isArray(data.items) && data.items.length > 0) { + const head = `${data.items[0]?.tag}|${data.items[0]?.text}`; + if (lastHead && head !== lastHead) { + setFlash(true); + setTimeout(() => { if (active) setFlash(false); }, 2500); + } + lastHead = head; setFeed(data.items.map((it) => ({ ...it, color: it.color || TAG_COLORS[it.tag] || 'var(--amber)' }))); } } catch { @@ -89,7 +98,24 @@ export default function Ticker({ items, height = 34, live = true, pollMs = 30_00 {content} {content}
-
+ {/* Session 55 — anchored LIVE badge (chrome, not data → may pulse). */} + {live && ( +
+ + LIVE +
+ )} +
); diff --git a/web/src/components/vyndr/index.ts b/web/src/components/vyndr/index.ts index b5988f5..7aa40c2 100644 --- a/web/src/components/vyndr/index.ts +++ b/web/src/components/vyndr/index.ts @@ -14,6 +14,7 @@ export { default as ProcessingGrade } from './ProcessingGrade'; export { default as GameCard } from './GameCard'; export type { GameCardData, GameLine, GameProp, PlayerStrip, StartingPitcher } from './GameCard'; export { default as ClaimMeter } from './ClaimMeter'; +export { default as AccuracyBadge } from './AccuracyBadge'; /* Player Intelligence (Session 42) */ export { default as ArchetypeBadge } from './ArchetypeBadge'; diff --git a/web/src/lib/slateAdapter.js b/web/src/lib/slateAdapter.js index f24ba7b..de26a51 100644 --- a/web/src/lib/slateAdapter.js +++ b/web/src/lib/slateAdapter.js @@ -284,6 +284,9 @@ function buildPlayerStripsFromProps(gameProps, gradeIndex, deltaIndex, now = Dat ? { ...rec.gradedAt, ago: gradedAgo(rec.gradedAt.timestamp, now) } : null, delta: delta ? { delta: delta.delta, direction: delta.direction, currentLine: delta.currentLine } : null, + // Session 55 — settled outcome from the self-learning loop (hit/miss/push + // + actual stat) once the game completes. null until settled. + outcome: rec.outcome ? { result: rec.outcome.result, actual: rec.outcome.actual } : null, }); } else { byPlayer[pk].props.push({