Product identity + widen books for DISPLAY, model input byte-identical
IDENTITY (CLAUDE.md top + MASTER-PLAN header). VYNDR is a PREDICTIVE MODEL: it projects what a player will DO and picks accurately. Market edge is a BYPRODUCT of a good prediction, never the success criterion. Success = the forecast is honest about its own confidence AND still ranks -- calibration and resolution, both. No edge/CLV term belongs in a pass/fail gate; they are diagnostics we report, not thresholds a model must clear. A model tuned to beat a closing line has been fitted to the market instead of to the game. Per-sport doctrine (Phillips 2022, classify by what players DO not by position): each sport is its own model -- own variables, archetypes, conditions, calibration, honest ceiling. Shared across sports: ONLY the Bayesian inference math. Truth Law: no fabricated data; honest-absent over invented; label limitations in-band; provisional stays provisional until re-run; documented is not verified. PHASE 2 -- AGGREGATOR WIDENING (live). normalizeProps now emits every DISPLAY book instead of 5 of 18. Before this we discarded 13 books of our own accord and 64.8% of the MLB slate was invisible to users. Every prop carries book_role (both/takeable/reference/dfs/offshore) so the display layer can say WHAT a price is -- a fixed-payout DFS number and a two-way sportsbook price are not interchangeable objects. Unknown books are still dropped. PHASE 3 -- MODEL GATE (the model does not move). bookRoles splits MODEL_BOOKS (the legacy allow-list, character for character) from DISPLAY_BOOKS. Both model paths re-filter before they pick a line: gradeSlateService.dedupeProps (before first-row-wins AND before the limit) and intradayRefreshService.indexOddsProps (which RE-GRADES at the current line -- without the gate, widening would have silently moved locked lines onto books the model has never been calibrated against). A test asserts the graded set is byte-identical through the widening. CURRENT_RULER_VERSION stays v1_first_book. The gate lifts only when the MLB calibration is re-run on the consensus ruler and v2 is promoted. HONEST FRAMING, recorded in the plan: this is an AGGREGATOR win and it does NOT fix the model. WNBA still abstains -- a model problem, not a coverage problem; it is better covered than MLB. MLB isotonic still provisional. The consensus is MARKET, not SHARP: pinnacle, matchbook and polymarket are 0% on both sports, so no sharp anchor exists in our feed. Two superseded tests updated to stronger properties rather than deleted: roleOf now names the KIND of book, and the normalizer test asserts the display set widens WHILE the model set does not. Gates: 4,027 tests / 322 suites green; next build exit 0. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01QJs13VsyiSKYQP6rj3NNmc
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@@ -26,16 +26,28 @@
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// We dedupe to unique player+stat+line and cap how many we grade, because
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// each grade fans out to feature computation. Grading runs at most once per
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// cache-miss per sport, but we still bound the herd.
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const { isModelBook } = require('../config/bookRoles');
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const DEFAULT_LIMIT = 25;
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const DEFAULT_CONCURRENCY = 5;
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const DEFAULT_TTL = 7200; // 2 hours — matches the spec's grades-cache TTL.
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// Collapse the multi-book prop rows to one entry per gradeable prop.
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//
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// ORDER ZERO GATE (2026-08-01). `normalizeProps` now emits every DISPLAY book so
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// the surfaces can shop lines, which means DFS pick'em and exchange rows arrive
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// here for the first time. The MODEL must not eat them: it has never been
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// measured against those books, and a fixed-payout DFS number is not a market
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// price at all. So we re-filter to MODEL_BOOKS BEFORE the first-row-wins pick
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// and before the limit — which makes the graded set byte-identical to what it
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// was before the widening. This gate lifts only when the MLB calibration is
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// re-run on the consensus ruler and v2 is promoted.
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function dedupeProps(props, limit) {
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const seen = new Set();
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const out = [];
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for (const p of props || []) {
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if (!p || !p.player || !p.stat_type || p.line == null) continue;
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if (!isModelBook(p.book)) continue;
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const key = `${p.player}::${p.stat_type}::${p.line}`;
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if (seen.has(key)) continue;
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seen.add(key);
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