Steps 1-6 — make "real opportunities at takeable prices" the engine, not a filter.
1. DE-VIG (src/utils/devig.js): two-way multiplicative de-vig strips the vig and
returns fair prob + fair price per side + the overround. One side missing →
fair UNAVAILABLE (null), never faked. Method noted in code + the `devig_method`
field.
2. EV (devig.evPct): ev_pct = model prob × decimal − 1 at the graded side's
ACTUAL price. This is the ranking signal now, replacing raw |model−consensus|.
3. TAKEABLE gate (src/config/valueEngine.js, TAKEABLE_ODDS_CEILING −160 .. +200,
env-tunable): promoted surfaces only (hero/featured/alerts). The full board
still shows everything; Parlay Lab exempt; JUICE_ODDS_FLOOR (−400) stays the
absolute backstop underneath. Strict null-guard (Number(null)===0 would have
made a missing price "takeable").
4. VALUE flag: passes BOTH gates (takeable AND ev_pct ≥ VALUE_EV_THRESHOLD).
Grade = read quality; value = the price pays you. Shipped in payloads.
5. HERO v2 (heroPropService): highest ev_pct among takeable A/B reads — a huge
gap on a −900 line is trivia, not an opportunity.
6. VALUE TRIPLET: book_odds · fair_odds · model_odds on every read (snapshot,
hero, scan — they all spread the grade). Handoff documents the fields; the
rendering is Session-2 Design's job.
All wired in analyzeViaEngine1's existing p_win/kelly block (real quantile
probability × real book odds, or nothing). 33 new tests; suite 276/3306 green.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
The NBA/WNBA espnId was captured only from espnStatsAdapter (the offline-
Python fallback), unreliable in prod. Add espnAthleteIndex — a pure,
defensive harvester that builds { nameKey -> {espnId, headshotHref} } from
the ESPN schedule->summary/boxscore/leaders/injuries/roster feeds the
pipeline already calls (free, bounded mapLimit, cached, MLB->{}).
snapshotService now fills any player the primary stats-resolve left without
an espnId from this index, and stores a DIRECT headshotHref as headshotUrl
on the enriched grade (the exact URL, never 404s on a constructed path).
Threaded headshotUrl through slateAdapter.buildPlayerStripsFromProps ->
GameCard -> StatStrip -> PlayerAvatar/getHeadshotUrl (direct href wins over
the constructed one). MLB's MLBAM path is untouched. Soccer resolves only
via a direct href; absent -> honest monogram (API_FOOTBALL_KEY remains the
reliable soccer path, unwired).
getGameSummary now also passes through ESPN `rosters` (pre-game lineups
carry id + headshot). Everything graceful: any miss -> absent -> monogram.
Tests: tests/unit/espnHeadshotIndex.test.js (11) — fixture->index, snapshot
merge fallback, direct-href-wins, soccer honest monogram, malformed/cyclic
parse never throws. Full suite 3080 green; web next build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reserved house handle (default 'vyndr', env HOUSE_HANDLE) resolves to the
PUBLIC model record — getModelAggregate() with no userId (user_id=NULL rows)
— WITHOUT a public_profiles row. It is the ONLY special case; every other
handle keeps the private-by-default, byte-identical-404 no-existence-leak
contract. The house profile is always public and never 404s (a fetch failure
degrades to an honest building state).
- src/routes/profiles.js: house short-circuit + sendHouseProfile (public
aggregate + by_tier + public settled entries), reserved before the publish
lookup so a user claim is shadowed.
- PublicProfile.tsx: house label 'VYNDR MODEL · PUBLIC RECORD' + hero/subtitle
off data.house; keeps the CLV-VERIFIED record hero + TierRecord calibration
+ recent settled reads (misses included).
- opengraph-image.tsx (1200x630): house-branded eyebrow/heading.
- portrait/route.tsx: new 1080x1350 share crop (real aggregate or tagline
fallback, never a fabricated number).
- Discoverability: 'VIEW AS PUBLIC PAGE ->' on the ledger MODEL header +
'VIEW PUBLIC RECORD ->' under the landing ModelRecord, both to /u/vyndr.
- tests/unit/houseProfile.test.js: house resolves to user_id=NULL aggregate
(no public_profiles row) + by_tier; unknown/unpublished user handles stay
byte-identical 404; page renders house label + TierRecord + portrait crop.
3019 tests green (3012 -> 3019); next build EXIT=0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
- specs/ROW-GRAMMAR.md: the row grammar law (slot order, color law, mark
law, mobile stacking, no-truncation), locked by tests/unit/rowGrammar.
StatStrip violations fixed: MovementChip before the grade (market
context before model output); ViabilityChips after the archetype
(identity is one contiguous run).
- Line-movement sparklines: intradayRefreshService.trackHistory captures
real {t,line} points per grade (seeded with the lock, deduped when
flat, capped 24) inside the snapshot write-back; StatStrip.LineSparkline
renders at >=3 points (green toward / amber against / dim flat).
- Last-10 dot strips: services/last10Dots (streaksService accessors) ->
/api/snapshot/:sport attaches last10_dots from rosterlogs:{sport};
StatStrip.DotStrip renders vs the LOCKED line, newest first.
- CLV distribution: getModelAggregate emits clv_distribution (7 signed
buckets, outliers clamped) only past the centralized n>=20 gate;
ledger MODEL header renders the bar strip.
- Global search: SearchModal (cmd-K via GlobalHosts + window.__search),
players via /api/players/search per sport + static lib/teams.js
(soccer deliberately absent); Nav search icon + Search first in the
mobile More sheet. Explore tab untouched.
- Landing LCP: fade-up floored at opacity .6 (hero h1 contentful on
first frame, S33 visible-floor rule) + IBM Plex Mono preload:false
(4 decorative font files off the slow-4G critical path).
2654 -> 2698 tests (226 suites) green; web build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Product overhaul core — the two transformative, differentiated systems:
Self-learning loop (Phase 2): outcomeService settles locked snapshot grades
against real MLB Stats API results → hit/miss/push, rolling accuracy by grade
tier (30d window). Idempotent, injectable, unit-tested. New GET /api/accuracy +
/api/ledger/accuracy + internal settle triggers + cron hook. AccuracyBadge
(dashboard/scan/landing) is honest — "LEARNING" below MIN_SAMPLE, never a fake
number. Settled HIT/MISS chips overlay the live slate.
Real-time layer (Phase 1): Slate silent 60s auto-refresh (no flash, no wipe on
transient blips) + "SIGNAL LIVE · UPDATED Xs ago" freshness strip; Ticker LIVE
badge that flashes on fresh events.
Landing (Phase 3): TopSignals shows tonight's real top-3 A-rated grades + live
accuracy — the product shown, not described.
Founder pricing: FOUNDER_CODE_EXPIRY default 2026-06-30 → 2026-12-31 (had
lapsed, disabling every founder code + the ClaimMeter pitch). That expiry — not
a tier change — was the real cause of the 4 stripe test failures.
Backend 2255 (4 failing) → 2274 (all green; +19 new, +4 fixed). Web build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Trace-first: the normalizer functions were correct (S47) but raw names still
flowed through paths that skipped them. Fixed each leaking path.
- 2a (source chokepoint): snapshotService.runSnapshot normalizes each grade's
player to the de-dotted display AND dedupes to one grade per nameKey|stat
(highest confidence) before writing grades:{sport} + snapshot:latest. Every
consumer (GameCard, Explore, leaders, profile) now gets clean merged names.
- 2b: buildPlayerStripsFromProps dedupes a player's props by stat (graded >
awaiting) → one row per stat (kills "Ks 5.5 AND Ks 3.5" variant dupes).
- 2c: scan tonightsPlayers grid groups by nameKey, displays normalized name.
- 3: profile VYNDR INTELLIGENCE "+0%"/"—" was buildIntel's defaults (separate
from the grade card's buildIntelFields, which already works). resolvePlayerStats
now attaches real usage (AB/G) + rest (B2B/Xd); buildIntel renders them; REST
default is now "—".
Backend 2149 -> 2156 tests (+7), 181 suites. Web build clean (exit 0).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Three focused P1 fixes on the Session-45 snapshot model.
- Grade card intel ROOT CAUSE: gameLogService is NBA/WNBA-only (offline Python),
so MLB props never got l5_avg/l20_avg and buildIntelFields returned {}. Wired
MLB game logs into featureCache.gameLogFeatures via mlbStatsAdapter.getPlayerStats
(pure mlbGameLogFeatures + MLB stat_type->field map). buildIntelFields gained
playerStats/projection fallbacks for partial intel.
- Player name normalization: src/utils/playerName.js (+ web/src/lib copy):
normalizeName -> {display,key}. Strips periods, de-dots suffix, accent-folds
the key. Applied in snapshotService grouping, slateAdapter grade index +
player-strip merge (variants collapse, longest name shown), and
playerIntelService. "A.J. Ewing"/"AJ Ewing" + "Jazz Chisholm"/"Jr." now merge.
- MLB starting pitchers: new GET /api/schedule/:sport/pitchers (probablePitchers
service wrapping mlbStatsAdapter.getScheduleWithPitchers + best-effort ERA).
Slate fetches it, builds a team->pitcher map (full name + mascot match),
attaches pitchers to MLB GameCardData. + Next proxy.
Backend 2100 -> 2122 tests (+22), 176 suites. Web build clean (exit 0).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
builtbykev