Commit Graph

4 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
builtbykev 7ac6aa73e3 Layer 2: multi-axis archetype classifier; the FLEX fallback is gone
A player is a blend across independent axes, not one label. Skubal is a STARTER
and a strikeout arm and a ground-ball arm and a control arm — four true things
at once, and single-label classification threw three of them away.

AXIS INDEPENDENCE WAS MEASURED, NOT ASSUMED. Correlations over the live store
(467 batters, 531 pitchers); anything |r| >= 0.70 is one underlying trait and
was collapsed so we never show one trait as two archetypes. Batter k% ~ whiff%
+0.89, hard-hit% ~ exit velo +0.88, chase% ~ swing% +0.87, chase% ~ bb% -0.72;
pitcher k% ~ whiff% +0.76, gb% ~ fb% -0.73 — all collapsed.

The survivors are genuinely orthogonal, and one result is worth stating: pitcher
velocity correlates +0.14 with K%, +0.07 with whiff% and +0.07 with GB%.
Velocity is NOT a proxy for missing bats — a hard thrower who misses no bats is
a real distinct type, so CANNON earns its own axis rather than being folded into
STRIKEOUT. Pitcher K% ~ GB% is -0.10, so PUNCHOUT and SINKER are independent,
which is exactly the multi-axis thesis.

Cut-lines are the measured p75 (distinctive) and p90 (elite), per role where the
tails differ even when the medians agree: reliever GB% p90 is 54.1 against a
starter's 48.9, both with a median of 42.5.

THE FALLBACK IS DELETED. classify() used to return FLEX (mlb) / SHIELD (wnba) /
CONNECTOR (nba) at weight 1.0 when nothing scored — "could not classify"
rendered as a fully-confident classification of a real archetype, with
descriptive education copy attached. 8 of 18 MLB players carried it, and FLEX
could never be earned because its only scoring input had zero writers. Every
sport now does what MMA already did: unclassified is absent.

Induced on real players. Skubal: STARTER, throws L, WHIFF + SEAM + PINPOINT, all
elite. Judge: BOMBER + GRINDER + WHIFF RISK — elite power, patient, strikes out,
three true things. Kwan: SURGEON + SNIPER + SLASH with NO power claimed (0.4
barrel% is absent, not "low power"). Josh Bell, who used to classify as DRIVER:
empty blend, "No standout profile — league-average across every measured axis."
Alan Roden, who was FLEX at weight 1.0 on 21 PA: every axis absent, "Not enough
plate appearances yet — no profile claimed."

Per-axis honest-absence holds: a velo-less pitcher keeps every other axis, and
NO DATA is distinguishable from LEAGUE-AVERAGE rather than collapsing into one
shrug. The full vector is stored for Layer 3; only the top three distinctive
traits surface.

Three existing tests asserted the fallback and were updated to assert absence.
One of them surfaced a real robustness gap: classify(sport, null) threw, because
an explicit null does not trigger a default parameter and every scorer
dereferences its argument. Guarded.

Every baseball name is accounted for in docs/ARCHETYPE-AXES.md — built, alias,
tier, or shelved with its unlock condition. Zero orphans; cross-sport names left
for their sport.

Tests 3601 passed / 293 suites.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VCNgGSt5qvcLxaeQqa7Zpj
2026-07-20 22:38:32 -04:00
builtbykev f5156dd16d Un-claim CLV on the public profile; un-fabricate player-page FORM
Two Truth-Law fixes found by auditing the product logged-out.

FIX 1 — /u/[handle] claimed a "CLV-verified record" with "closing-line
value included" while ZERO closing-line value renders there. Verified
live: GET /api/profiles/vyndr returns beat_close_pct null (gated behind
CLV_CAPTURE_RELIABLE, unset while C4 is open). Eight instances found —
two of them (the OG + portrait "CLV-VERIFIED RECORD · 30D" eyebrows)
only by the post-removal residual sweep; two more printed the claim in
exactly the no-record branch.

Copy now describes what the page shows. The gated CLV-VERIFIED badge and
the BEAT CLOSE figure are removed from the public profile, OG card and
portrait card. DISPLAY ONLY: beat_close_pct, clvCaptureReliable() and
the whole CLV data path are untouched, and the earned directional badge
stays Analyst+Desk. The claim returns when CLV genuinely renders here.

Also fixes the doubled "· VYNDR · VYNDR" title (layout's '%s · VYNDR'
template already supplies the suffix); verified on composed output by
serving the build and reading the real HTML, not on source.

FIX 2 — the player page's FORM was `70 + 4 × (count of tonight's graded
props)`. Nothing on the HTTP path ever sets stats.form, so that fallback
WAS the live number: Josh Bell's "74" is 70 + 4×1 prop, confirmed
against his live payload. MATCHUP was gradeFromForm(that number), with a
hardcoded 'B' on the no-archetype branch — both fabricated letters with
no opponent input on the path. Systemic: buildIntel is the unconditional
path for every player and sport.

FORM and MATCHUP now render "—" (kind 'plain', so no bar width or colour
is computed off a null). gradeFromForm is deleted and the prop count is
no longer passed into buildIntel. computeFormScore's hardcoded 75 now
returns undefined. Induced across MLB/NBA/WNBA: all render cleanly, and
real values (USAGE 3.6 AB/G, REST B2B) still render.

Neither form value feeds the grade — engine1 reads raw l5_avg/l20_avg
against the line and never a form key; buildIntelFields decorates the
already-graded object. Grade inputs are byte-identical.

Held (needs a per-sport headline-stat design call): a real player-level
form metric + label disambiguation.

Tests 3491 passed / 289 suites, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VCNgGSt5qvcLxaeQqa7Zpj
2026-07-20 17:05:04 -04:00
builtbykev c8fc9f577e Session 46: Grade card intel + name normalization + pitchers (2122 tests)
Three focused P1 fixes on the Session-45 snapshot model.

- Grade card intel ROOT CAUSE: gameLogService is NBA/WNBA-only (offline Python),
  so MLB props never got l5_avg/l20_avg and buildIntelFields returned {}. Wired
  MLB game logs into featureCache.gameLogFeatures via mlbStatsAdapter.getPlayerStats
  (pure mlbGameLogFeatures + MLB stat_type->field map). buildIntelFields gained
  playerStats/projection fallbacks for partial intel.
- Player name normalization: src/utils/playerName.js (+ web/src/lib copy):
  normalizeName -> {display,key}. Strips periods, de-dots suffix, accent-folds
  the key. Applied in snapshotService grouping, slateAdapter grade index +
  player-strip merge (variants collapse, longest name shown), and
  playerIntelService. "A.J. Ewing"/"AJ Ewing" + "Jazz Chisholm"/"Jr." now merge.
- MLB starting pitchers: new GET /api/schedule/:sport/pitchers (probablePitchers
  service wrapping mlbStatsAdapter.getScheduleWithPitchers + best-effort ERA).
  Slate fetches it, builds a team->pitcher map (full name + mascot match),
  attaches pitchers to MLB GameCardData. + Next proxy.

Backend 2100 -> 2122 tests (+22), 176 suites. Web build clean (exit 0).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-18 23:56:26 -04:00
builtbykev 8bc79f3c38 Session 42: Player Intelligence System — archetypes, stat strips, player profile, enhanced cards (2011 tests)
Built from the Claude Design "VYNDR Player Intelligence" bundle (10 sections).

- Archetypes: src/services/archetypeService.js — 41 archetypes (15 NBA / 5
  WNBA-unique / 15 MLB / 6 soccer), classify -> primary+secondary+blend.
  Frontend visual map web/src/lib/archetypes.js (colors verified == backend).
  ArchetypeBadge (full/ghost/tint + glyphs) + ArchetypeBlend (DNA bar).
- StatStrip (compact/expanded): player name once, horizontal mono stats,
  inline GradeBadge props, onPlayerClick -> profile.
- Stats API: extended src/routes/stats.js with /player/:name, /leaders,
  /game/:id (rate-limited). Aggregation in playerIntelService.js (sanitizes
  name param; grades cache; graceful on cold cache). Next proxies added.
- Player Profile /player/[name]: all 9 design sections, graceful empty states.
- Enhanced GameCard (MLB pitchers + player-grouped StatStrips) + GradeResultCard
  (archetype strip + stat context + VYNDR intelligence, optional/self-hiding via
  gradeAdapter.buildIntelFields). Player-name links wired everywhere.
- Settings page replaces the S41 redirect (account/subscription/notifications/
  display/responsible-play/danger-zone with DELETE-gated delete). LINKS to the
  real /settings/security MFA page — does not replace it. + BookChip.
- Bonus: Stats Explorer /explore (real /api/stats/leaders leaderboard); added
  Explore + Settings to Nav MORE.

Deferred (need data pipelines, Session 43): Team Hub, Offseason Intel, Slate
redesign, Stats Explorer sub-panels.

Backend 1940 -> 2011 tests (+71), 157 suites. Web build clean (exit 0).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-18 11:12:24 -04:00