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3 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
builtbykev fbcb00b7b1 Close the public model-price leak; wire the read card's price layer
PHASE 0.5 GATE — the three checks, and one correction.

`fairLine` does not exist. Zero hits across src/ and web/src. Option A as
written had no referent, but it resolves better than feared: `fair_odds` is
already a real de-vigged American price on every graded snapshot row, so there
is nothing to derive.

  Gate 1 (is it a price): PASS. fair_odds is American odds from
  impliedProbToAmerican inside devigTwoWay; fair_prob is the probability. Both
  distinct from `line`, the stat threshold.

  Gate 2 (numeric match): PASS, 8/8 exact. Recomputed fair_odds and fair_prob
  independently from the stored raw over/under prices; every value matched the
  stored one to the integer and to 3dp. Same de-vig, same numbers the component
  was proven against.

  Gate 3 (poison independence): PASS, and proven on the quarantined cohort
  itself. devigTwoWay's inputs are (over_odds, under_odds) — market prices
  only, no model term is reachable. The 8 rows recomputed above are all
  wrong_opponent_grade rows, and their fair prices reproduce exactly from the
  market. The poison is in the grade, not the price. Quarantine therefore
  suppresses the MODEL leg only; the fair leg stands, as designed.

THE LEAK WAS REAL AND ALREADY LIVE. GET /api/snapshot/:sport is public and
unauthenticated, and it was serving model_odds, p_win, ev_pct, value and
takeable to anonymous callers on every graded row — 25 of 25 on the live wnba
board. The Session-66 gate on /api/analyze was bypassed entirely by this
endpoint.

The strip covers more than model_odds, because model_odds is not the only way
to read the model price: p_win IS the price in another base, and ev_pct is
INVERTIBLE — ev is a function of p_win and book_odds, and book_odds is public,
so leaving ev behind hands the price over. All five model-derived fields go.
book_odds, fair_odds, fair_prob, overround and devig_method stay on every tier:
the fair leg is never the paywall. Rows that keep a book+fair pair are stamped
model_price_locked so a gated price is never mistaken for a missing one.

Tier comes from resolveTierFromRequest, which reads a bearer token when one is
present and otherwise returns 'free'. It FAILS CLOSED on every error path, so a
resolution failure can only ever withhold the price. The response now varies by
entitlement, so the /:sport handler downgrades Cache-Control to private for
authenticated callers and the browser proxy forwards the bearer token —
otherwise a CDN could hand a paid payload to an anonymous viewer, or every
request would look anonymous and paid users would lose the leg.

READ CARD — a manual scan carries no market. The request is {player, stat,
line, direction}, so the engine has no over/under prices to de-vig and
book_odds/fair_odds are legitimately absent from its response; that is why the
triplet was hidden there. lookupSnapshotPrices recovers them from the
pre-graded snapshot via the same cache-only read this route already performs
for locked odds and team. The join is exact on player + stat + line + side
(fair_odds is side-specific), and returns nothing unless book and fair are BOTH
present — a user-chosen line the board never graded has no market attached, so
the triplet stays hidden rather than borrowing another line's price.

FAIR-LEG ABSENCE, measured before shipping: 636 graded rows, 636 with book,
636 with fair, 0 one-sided. Absence rate 0.0%. The hero number is not a
sometimes-number on current data.

Tests 3556 passed / 291 suites, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VCNgGSt5qvcLxaeQqa7Zpj
2026-07-20 19:47:42 -04:00
builtbykev c8790fde55 Session 57: Phase 0 — Kill the Lies (2309 tests)
Work-order Phase 0 (Jul 10 live audit): every fabricated UI element deleted
or rewired to real data. Deletion sprint — no new product features.

0.1 Fake NBA game: root cause was scheduleService fetching the ESPN
    scoreboard with no ?dates= param or date filter — off-season ESPN
    returns the NEAREST slate (Jun 13 NYK@SA Finals rendered as tonight).
    Now pinned to the requested ET date + defensive filter; undated events
    dropped. Honest month-aware per-sport empty states (lib/emptyState.js).
0.2 Fake header counters: liveTick stripped to a bare 1s pulse (the
    auto-incrementing "247 graded", sin-driven brain-%, aPlus/cascades are
    dead). New GET /api/snapshot/summary (cache-only, before /:sport) +
    Next proxy; HeartbeatBar shows the real graded count and SYNC =
    elapsed since the last pipeline run (amber past 5 min).
0.3 Ticker: hardcoded fallback items deleted (real snapshot exhaust only);
    MOVE kept — computeLineDeltas is real movement. <4 real items → no
    ticker; bar publishes --ticker-h so the fixed header collapses cleanly.
0.4 /terminal retired: route redirects to /dashboard; VVI/injury-wire/
    leaders layouts preserved unrouted as §12 content-engine templates.
    Nav PRIMARY = Slate/Scan/Ledger; BottomTabBar Terminal→Explore; PWA
    shortcut Terminal→Ledger; #terminal alias → /dashboard.
0.5 ›Query nav pill deleted (duplicate /scan link).

Backend 2289 → 2309 tests (199 suites), web build exit 0.
Spec: specs/phase-0-kill-the-lies.md. Next: work-order Phase 1 (ledger
persistence + settlement).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-10 20:17:49 -04:00
builtbykev f8b120c0aa Session 45: Snapshot pipeline + GameCard swap + live ticker (2100 tests)
The on-demand "Read" grade model is RETIRED. A scheduled pipeline pre-grades the
slate, locks grades to the line, tracks movement; the dashboard shows them already
there. Orchestrates existing services — nothing rebuilt.

- snapshotService.runSnapshot(sport): getOdds → gradeAndCacheSlate → classify
  archetype per player → lock gradedAt → line deltas vs previous snapshot → write
  snapshot:{sport}:latest/previous + grades:{sport} → ticker events. Fully
  injectable, zero-network unit tests. runAllSnapshots = cron entrypoint.
- Internal trigger POST /api/internal/snapshot/:sport + /all (requireInternalAuth).
  In-process cron (SNAPSHOT_CRON=1, UTC 14,19,22,1,3) in server.js, no new dep.
- Public reads: GET /api/snapshot/:sport (cache-only) + GET /api/ticker (merges
  TICKER_MANUAL pins) + Next proxies.
- GameCard swap: live Slate renders vyndr/GameCard (legacy kept for types only),
  overlays locked grades onto game props → player name once + archetype badge +
  "Graded Xh ago at -115 · Current 2.5 · ▲ TOWARD +1.0". Ungraded → "Awaiting next
  scan", NO Read button. On-demand onGrade flow deleted.
- Ticker polls /api/ticker every 30s, graceful fallback to hardcoded items.
- NBA/WNBA: espnStatsAdapter free fallback (defensive parse → found:false on shape
  mismatch) wired into resolvePlayerStats after the offline Python service.

Env: PROPLINE_API_KEY_1/2/3, VYNDR_INTERNAL_KEY, SNAPSHOT_CRON=1, TICKER_MANUAL.
Backend 2061 -> 2100 tests (+39), 173 suites. Web build clean (exit 0).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-18 21:34:29 -04:00