Read integrity, as-of context, and the shadow matchup resolve (A1-A7)

Seven orders of measurement-first repair. The served grade does not move.

A0/A1 — the unordered page walk returned the right COUNT and the wrong ROWS:
410-617 of 2,490 duplicated with an equal number never returned, while
rows.length matched the server exactly. safePaginate orders on a real unique
key, verifies the tuple at runtime, and THROWS on a query error instead of
treating it as end-of-data. Both hits PROVES are withdrawn: they were drawn
through that reader, and defense_by_direction's distinct-n was likely below
the gate floor all along.

A2/A2b — rolled across every reader: 11 FAIL -> 0. Composite keys pulled from
pg_index (the context tables are dated-composite and had no single unique
column). The unordered helper is deleted, not parked.

A3 — ledgerService and retentionService defaulted the SAME env var to
DIFFERENT versions, so no ledger row ever carried the marker eligibility
requires. One source now. model_snapshots settlement moved onto the cron:
15,484 -> 28,894 settled, repaired-champion 0 -> 7,556.

A4 — hitsFactorContext takes an as-of cutoff. Refusal over reconstruction: no
row at-or-before the date means the factor does not apply, never the nearest
row. Live path unchanged, proven 400/400 on real rows.

A5 — factor_inputs freezes what the factor READ, never the multiplier, so an
audit can recompute and check. It also recorded the finding: the three hits
factors have NEVER fired. prop.opponent and prop.opposing_pitcher are read by
the resolver and written by nothing.

A6/A7 — matchupKeys resolves those keys from the posted lineup plus the
schedule's probable pitchers, and fires the factors into a SHADOW freeze:
248 fires on 308 props, 245 of which would move the grade. The served
forecast is untouched. specs/a8-shadow-factor-gate.md pre-registers the test
that decides whether they ever go live.

Nothing is turned on. CALIBRATION_DEPLOYED stays []. Both verdicts stay
withdrawn. 4,772 tests / 371 suites green, web build exit 0, read-integrity
harness 34/34.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Kev
2026-08-11 22:49:56 -04:00
parent 387ae4d54e
commit f61ec6b391
49 changed files with 4874 additions and 308 deletions
+34 -15
View File
@@ -20,39 +20,53 @@ const pw = require('../src/services/model/parkWeather');
const fg = require('../src/services/model/factorGate');
const tl = require('../src/services/model/testLedger');
const { knownNumber } = require('../src/utils/known');
const { paginate } = require('../src/utils/safePaginate');
const { uniqueKeyFor } = require('../src/utils/tableKeys');
const SB_URL = process.env.SUPABASE_URL;
const SB_KEY = process.env.SUPABASE_SERVICE_ROLE_KEY || process.env.SUPABASE_SERVICE_KEY;
const PAGE = 1000;
async function page(sb, table, select, apply) {
const out = [];
for (let from = 0; ; from += PAGE) {
const { data, error } = await apply(sb.from(table).select(select)).range(from, from + PAGE - 1);
if (error) throw error;
if (!data || data.length === 0) break;
out.push(...data);
if (data.length < PAGE) break;
}
return out;
// ── THE SAFE WALK (Fix A2/A2b) ────────────────────────────────────────────
// This script used to walk pages with `.range()` and NO ORDER BY. Measured on
// production, that returned the correct row COUNT and the wrong ROWS: up to
// 33.6% of a read came back twice while an equal share never came back at all,
// so `rows.length` looked perfect while a fifth of the sample was missing.
//
// `pageSafe` routes every read through `src/utils/safePaginate`: a stable ORDER
// BY on the table's real UNIQUE key — single OR composite, looked up from
// `src/utils/tableKeys` rather than assumed — a runtime tuple-uniqueness check,
// and a THROWN error instead of a silent stop. The old unordered helper is gone
// rather than left beside it, because a dead broken helper is an invitation.
async function pageSafe(sb, table, select, apply, key = uniqueKeyFor(table)) {
return paginate(() => apply(sb.from(table).select(select)),
{ key, pageSize: PAGE, label: `${table}` });
}
/** THE MEASURED READS — main() and the harness call the same functions. */
const READS = {
ledger: (sb) => pageSafe(sb, 'ledger_entries',
'id, game_id, player_key, player_name, line, side, outcome, game_date, p_win, quarantine_reason',
(q) => q.eq('sport', 'mlb').is('user_id', null).eq('stat', 'total_bases')
.in('outcome', ['hit', 'miss'])),
};
/** Hit-type shares → expected total bases, so a reshape has a consequence. */
const tbFromShares = (s) => s.single + 2 * s.double + 3 * s.triple + 4 * s.home_run;
async function main() {
const sb = createClient(SB_URL, SB_KEY, { auth: { persistSession: false } });
const parks = await page(sb, 'park_dimensions', '*', (q) => q.eq('sport', 'mlb'));
const parks = await pageSafe(sb, 'park_dimensions', '*', (q) => q.eq('sport', 'mlb'));
const byVenue = new Map();
for (const p of parks) if (!byVenue.has(p.venue_id)) byVenue.set(p.venue_id, p);
const league = pw.leagueGeometry([...byVenue.values()]);
const ctx = await page(sb, 'game_context', 'game_id, venue_id, wx_temp_f, wx_wind_speed_mph, wx_wind_direction_deg', (q) => q);
const ctx = await pageSafe(sb, 'game_context', 'game_id, venue_id, wx_temp_f, wx_wind_speed_mph, wx_wind_direction_deg', (q) => q);
const ctxBy = new Map(ctx.map((c) => [c.game_id, c]));
const led = await page(sb, 'ledger_entries',
'game_id, game_date, player_key, stat, line, side, outcome, quarantine_reason, p_win, proj_hits_p_over',
const led = await pageSafe(sb, 'ledger_entries',
'id, game_id, game_date, player_key, stat, line, side, outcome, quarantine_reason, p_win, proj_hits_p_over',
(q) => q.eq('sport', 'mlb').is('user_id', null).eq('stat', 'total_bases').in('outcome', ['hit', 'miss']));
const clean = led.filter((r) => !(r.quarantine_reason || '').startsWith('nontakeable_book'));
@@ -118,4 +132,9 @@ async function main() {
process.exit(0);
}
main().catch((e) => { console.error(e); process.exit(1); });
if (require.main === module) {
main().catch((e) => { console.error(e); process.exit(1); });
}
// Exported so the read-integrity harness measures THE REAL FUNCTION.
module.exports = { READS };