Commit Graph

380 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
builtbykev f72f063e6f Suppress rare-event 0.5 unders (juiced, no-edge) — config-driven grade + board fix
Betting-logic audit: the CONSENSUS-vs-MODEL board flooded with fake reads like
"DOUBLES u0.5 · MODEL 0.2 · +edge" — the juiced under side of rare counting-stat
markets (doubles/triples/HR/SB), which is never a takeable edge and violates the
no-unders-default doctrine.

Report finding (item 3/4): the doubles projection is REAL per-player, not a flat
fallback — 'doubles' maps to a real game-log field (MLB_LOG_FIELD doubles→
doubles) and the live values varied (0.03/0.16/0.2/0.22). So no projection-gate
refusal for fakeness; the problem is purely structural (a rare event's real
projection always sits below a 0.5 line, so the under always "wins").

Fix (config-driven — src/config/rareEventMarkets.js, tunable stat list + line
threshold):
- Grade layer (analyzeViaEngine1): a rare-event UNDER at ≤0.5 is always REFUSED
  (grade null + suppressed flag/reason). A rare-event OVER at ≤0.5 is refused
  UNLESS the model genuinely projects the event above the line — because a
  0.2-over-0.5 carries the SAME |edge| as the suppressed under and would just
  take its rank on the board. The over grades normally once projection > line.
- Board layer (marketBreadth.collectBreadth): drops null-model rows so a
  suppressed/ungraded prop can't rank a "MODEL —" placeholder onto the board.

10 suppression tests + config locks; also fixed a settingsPage book assertion
left over from the ESPN→theScore swap. Suite 274/3289 green, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-19 00:19:23 -04:00
builtbykev b8b954bb96 STATE.md: backup + founder-checkout tasks
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 23:08:57 -04:00
builtbykev c2c43cdc92 Task A — make the container backup-capable + validated dump + mechanism fingerprint
SUPABASE_DB_URL is set in Coolify on the API service, and this WSL2 box can't
reach db.<ref>.supabase.co — so the backup runs INSIDE the API container, which
has the env + Supabase network. Made that real:
- Dockerfile: install postgresql-client (pg_dump/pg_restore) + rsync + bash in
  the runner image.
- backup-db.sh: added an integrity fingerprint on every run — pg_restore --list
  must parse the archive AND find ledger_entries, else the run FAILS + pages
  (stronger than the size check; catches a corrupt/structureless dump).
- BACKUP-RUNBOOK.md: rewritten for the container-exec reality — host cron does
  `docker exec <api> sh /app/scripts/backup-db.sh` (inherits env + network +
  pg_dump), or a Coolify Scheduled Task. Full restore-fingerprint steps included.

MECHANISM FINGERPRINT (run locally, docker + pg16): seeded a ledger_entries
table (137 rows) → ran backup-db.sh (dump + validate: 22 archive objects,
ledger_entries present) → pg_restore into a scratch DB → 137 rows restored,
exact match. The dump/validate/restore path is proven end-to-end; it's the same
pg_dump/pg_restore that run in the container against Supabase.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 23:08:31 -04:00
builtbykev ccb9668f0c Task B — founder checkout is SEAT-GATED; payment-decline grace spans retries
1+2. Checkout price was CODE-gated (founder price only with a valid founder
   code) — so "Claim a Founder Desk" would have charged the $44.99 standard
   price, not the advertised $34.99. Now it's SEAT-gated: resolveCheckoutPrice()
   attaches the founder price while founder seats remain (< FOUNDER_SEATS_TOTAL,
   read from the SAME countFounderSeats() truth as the ClaimMeter), and flips to
   standard at seat 100. createCheckoutSession uses it; the founderCode param is
   kept for back-compat but no longer drives price. The meter flips to "SOLD
   OUT" at capacity. When the count can't be verified we honor the advertised
   founder price (never overcharge).
   - Also hardened countFounderSeats to manual pagination (the for-await form
     broke on non-async-iterable list mocks).

3. Tests: resolveCheckoutPrice at seat 0 → founder, seat 100 → standard, the
   99/100 boundary, null-count → advertised founder price.

4. Grace: invoice.payment_failed now sets a 14-DAY grace (spans Stripe's Smart
   Retry window) instead of 48h — a transient decline no longer revokes access
   mid-retry. Access is revoked only when Stripe actually cancels
   (customer.subscription.deleted keeps its 48h grace). Test updated.

Stripe + founders suites green, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 23:04:19 -04:00
builtbykev 39c07a03b9 STATE.md: security + plumbing follow-up (items 0-7)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 13:57:45 -04:00
builtbykev 5f5c004416 Item 2 — nightly pg_dump backup script + runbook (Supabase free tier has none)
scripts/backup-db.sh: nightly full-DB pg_dump via the direct connection string,
14-day local rotation, weekly off-box rsync copy, ntfy alert on any failure +
an undersized-dump guard (an empty dump is a silent failure). docs/BACKUP-
RUNBOOK.md: the ONE env var Kev must set (SUPABASE_DB_URL — the direct
db.<ref>.supabase.co:5432 URI, not the pooler), the cron line, the off-box
target (Hetzner Storage Box via rsync, simplest for a Hetzner box), and the
restore FINGERPRINT procedure (pg_restore into a scratch DB + count
ledger_entries — proves it's a real, restorable backup).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 13:55:39 -04:00
builtbykev 78c19291c9 Items 1,3,4,5 — security migrations (author; apply in Supabase, then re-run advisor)
023_security_hardening.sql:
- Item 1 (CRITICAL, advisor lint 0010): founder_pricing_seats view → recreate
  with security_invoker=on so it respects RLS instead of running as definer.
  (The founder counter no longer depends on it — item 0 uses Stripe directly.)
- Item 3: waitlist write hole — drop the always-true policies, anon may INSERT
  only, update/delete/read via service role.
- Item 5: pin an explicit search_path on the flagged functions (lint 0011).

024_anon_revoke_discoverability.sql:
- Item 4: revoke anon SELECT on the advisor-named tables (accuracy_tracking,
  bets, cascade_alerts, closing_lines, coach_profiles, daily_scan) + a
  commented broad sweep. The frontend reads data via Express (service role),
  never as anon, so this is safe. REVOKE/KEEP rationale documented in the file.

These need Kev to apply (no DB access from here); fingerprint = re-run the
Security Advisor and confirm the lints clear.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 13:55:39 -04:00
builtbykev 889e8621b4 Item 6 — activate the Stripe billing portal link from account settings
The billing portal is fully configured in Stripe (cancellations, plan
switching, invoice history) and the Express endpoint (POST /api/stripe/portal)
existed, but nothing in the UI linked to it. Added the Next proxy
(app/api/stripe/portal) and a "Manage billing →" button in the profile billing
section (paid tiers) that mints a portal session and redirects. Kev still
activates the hosted portal in the Stripe dashboard; this is the app-side link.

Dunning verification (item 6): cancel-on-exhaustion is correctly wired — Smart
Retries exhausting cancels the subscription → customer.subscription.deleted →
webhook sets a 48h grace → middleware/gracePeriod.checkGracePeriod downgrades
tier to free in both users + user_profiles after the grace expires. See the
report for one nuance (the 48h grace on the FIRST payment_failed is shorter than
Stripe's 2-week retry window — self-correcting via subscription.updated, but
worth a product decision).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 13:55:39 -04:00
builtbykev ae3cff9dbd Item 7 — book roster: ESPN BET → theScore Bet (PENN)
ESPN BET is defunct — PENN/ESPN terminated the deal; PENN rebranded it to
theScore Bet (Dec 1 2025) and ESPN is now exclusive with DraftKings. Removed
the ESPN BET entries from the BookChip map (web/src/lib/books.js) and added
theScore Bet (mono TS, slug thescore) as the successor. Added 'thescore' to the
backend oddsNormalizer ALLOWED_BOOKS so the feed's lines are accepted; synced
the bookWordmark test list. The ESPN references in src/config/sports.js are
ESPN's STATS API (data provider, unrelated to the sportsbook) — left untouched.

Flagged in specs/design-reference/HANDOFF.md that the design mockups' BookChip
row still shows ESPN BET and needs the same one-swap on the next refresh.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 13:55:39 -04:00
builtbykev 3b12c6ca98 Item 0 — founder count = REAL active Stripe subscriptions (kills the phantom 1)
The counter showed 1/100 from user_profiles (founder_pricing=true AND
subscription_status='active'), but the live Stripe account has ZERO
subscriptions of any status — the "1" is a comped/manually-tiered profile, not a
paying founder. A tier/founder_pricing field on a profile can be set without
ever paying, so it is not proof of a paid seat.

Now the count is Stripe's OWN truth: stripeService.countFounderSeats() counts
ACTIVE subscriptions on a founder price. The route reads that (cached 5 min);
null or any failure → hidden, never a number. A comped profile no longer counts
→ the honest number is 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 13:22:33 -04:00
builtbykev b354d1d088 STATE.md: Truth-Everywhere Part 2 complete (all 8 items fingerprinted) + C4
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 01:56:45 -04:00
builtbykev a8e383e7e7 Item 8 fix: articles live in web/content (the runtime content root), orphan deleted
The blog showed "Posts coming soon" live: the app reads process.cwd()/content
= web/content at runtime (that's where the old orphan lived and rendered), but
the 5 articles were committed to REPO-ROOT content/articles — which the
deployed app never reads. Moved them to web/content/articles (verified
getAllPosts finds all 5 from cwd=web) and deleted the orphan file
web/content/blog/line-movement-guide.mdx (the route already 301s). Test paths
updated to web/content/articles.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 01:52:37 -04:00
builtbykev cb3237cdce Item 6 — Desk showcase renders REAL data (or hides), kills the mocked ladder
The pricing Desk showcase hardcoded an alt-line ladder (1.5 A +7.1% / 2.5 A+
+11.4% / 4.5 C -3.8%), QUARTER-KELLY 2.4%, and PARLAY φ 0.34 — a mocked demo
selling something we weren't proving.

- deskShowcaseService reads the pre-graded snapshot for a real A/B prop's
  alt-line ladder (prefers the one with the most grade variation — the most
  compelling real example). Edge per rung shows only when it's a plausible
  market value; the inflated (model-line)/line artifact on small lines is
  guarded to "—" rather than shown as a fake +91%.
- PARLAY φ is now REAL: the model's same-team correlation (0.34, mirroring the
  frontend parlayMath team constant) computed for TWO REAL same-team legs,
  named. No real same-team pair on the board → the tile hides, never an
  invented number.
- QUARTER-KELLY tile is REMOVED: the snapshot has no odds, so a real
  quarter-Kelly % can't be computed here — a fabricated 2.4% is worse than
  nothing. Kelly stays a real in-app Desk feature; the showcase just doesn't
  fake it.
- DeskShowcase is now a client component fetching /api/desk-showcase; when the
  board has no real ladder the whole visuals column hides (real-or-hidden, same
  law as the hero). The pitch copy is unchanged.

5 service tests. Change-affected suites green, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 01:42:16 -04:00
builtbykev 9b9aab4262 Item 5 — daily hero prop is a live RULE (biggest model-vs-market disagreement)
The landing hero was a static Jokic "Example" card with a name-length pick and a
hardcoded A- 73% +6.2% fallback. Now it's deterministic and live:

- heroPropService.pickHeroProp reads the pre-graded snapshot and selects the
  prop with the LARGEST |projection - line| gap among A/B grades (conviction,
  not noise) — the read where VYNDR disagrees most with the market, the card
  that makes a stranger argue. No curation, no grading (reads cache → no API
  credits). GET /api/hero-prop (backend) + repointed Next proxy.
- The card shows the disagreement EXPLICITLY: the book's line vs VYNDR's model,
  side by side (model in green), with the real grade timestamp ("Graded 2:14
  PM"). The EXAMPLE chip is gone.
- Empty slate → the MOST RECENT real graded read (flagged "LATEST READ", real
  date). Nothing cached → { available:false } and the card HIDES. No
  hand-written fallback — the Jokic card is deleted. Survives a dead night: a
  live rule shows tonight's real MLB read, never a phantom July NBA card.

7 service tests lock the rule (max-gap, A/B gate, projection/line required,
empty→recent, hidden, cross-sport). colorContract updated to the new
disagreement display. Change-affected suites green, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-18 01:29:55 -04:00
builtbykev 89a2977f57 Item 7 — public accuracy reads the CLEAN ledger; BEAT CLOSE hidden until C4
Kev's call: the 30D accuracy surfaces must read TRUTH, not a cache that can't be
filtered. My earlier degraded-row exclusion only touched getModelAggregate
(Postgres); the public buckets/badge still read outcomeService (Redis outcome
log), which counts degraded projection-0 outcomes and has no field to filter on.

- /api/accuracy (AccuracyBadge) + /api/ledger/accuracy (buckets/ModelRecord)
  now source from the clean Postgres ledger aggregate via new
  ledgerService.getAccuracyView + accuracyBucketsFromAgg (model_value > 0
  excludes degraded rows). Same response shapes → no frontend change. Redis
  outcome log is now read by nothing public; it can age out or be rebuilt.

- BEAT CLOSE is a MEASURED-WRONG ZERO: captureClosing re-records the locked line
  as the "closing" line, so clv is flat on the whole sample and beat_close reads
  0% (comparing a number to itself). Full write-up: specs/audit-data/
  clv-capture-broken.md (the fix belongs to C4). Until then, beat_close_pct +
  clv_distribution are SUPPRESSED at the source (getModelAggregate, gated by
  clvCaptureReliable() / CLV_CAPTURE_RELIABLE=1). Every public surface already
  renders BEAT CLOSE only when non-null, so they all hide it now — no wrong zero
  anywhere. HIT RATE (real) is unaffected.

Suite 271/3261 green, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 16:08:18 -04:00
builtbykev 36e653d695 Fix compliancePages test: articles are PUBLISHED now (item 8), not draft
The test locked the old draft/unwired state; item 8 intentionally published
the 5 articles to /blog with real dates. Updated the assertion to the new
published shape (title + real date + status: published). This was a
tests-before-commit miss on the item-8 push (3b7a1f5) — fixed forward.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 15:57:17 -04:00
builtbykev 3b7a1f59bc Item 8 — wire the 5 real articles into /blog, retire the backdated orphan
The live /blog showed "How to Read Line Movement Like a Sharp" dated 2026-03-22
— an orphaned, uncommitted file that predates the product. Meanwhile 5
genuinely-real articles sat in content/articles/, unwired.

- blog.ts now reads content/articles (not the untracked content/blog). Maps
  `excerpt` → description, skips `status: draft`, reads explicit `slug`.
- Added honest dates (2026-07-17, the real publish day) + flipped the 5
  articles to `status: published`. Real content: how-vyndr-grades-a-prop,
  why-our-misses-are-public, what-clv-is, how-streaks-lie, the-vyndr-originals.
- Retired the orphan: /blog/line-movement-guide 301s to /blog (next.config).
- Added a minimal, dependency-free, XSS-safe markdown renderer so headers/bold
  render as HTML instead of literal "##". Each article keeps title/date/
  read-time + the existing OG/JSON-LD metadata (affiliate-review ready). Richer
  media (images/charts) is the separate design train.

Web build exit 0 (SSGs all 5 slugs); backend suite unaffected.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 15:56:09 -04:00
builtbykev 41fc2b90e2 Item 2 — founder counter is REAL or hidden (kills the hardcoded 47/100)
ClaimMeter rendered a fabricated "47 / 100 CLAIMED" (a hardcoded default; the
comment even said "Cosmetic conversion driver… Static here"). Now:

- GET /api/founders/count counts ONLY real paying founders — user_profiles
  where founder_pricing = true AND subscription_status = 'active' (the
  Stripe-webhook-synced mirror, so we never hammer the Stripe API). Cached 5
  min in Redis on top of that.
- If the source is unavailable (Supabase unconfigured, query error, column not
  migrated, client throws) the endpoint returns { available: false } and the
  ClaimMeter renders NOTHING — counter and progress bar both hidden. We never
  fall back to a number.
- A low real count is shown honestly (0 → "0 / 100"); the truth is the feature.

Next proxy at app/api/founders/count. 6 route tests cover real count, low
count, error/unconfigured/throw → hidden, and cache-hit. Suite 271/3260 green,
web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 15:32:18 -04:00
builtbykev 66d52a9ce0 Item 1 — VERB LAW: one verb, READ (never SCAN), + a lint that enforces it
The product argued with itself: FAB/nav said "Scan", Free tier "5 scans",
ticker "MLB slate scanned" — while the Ledger says "MY READS". Swept every
user-visible surface to READ:
- BottomTabBar FAB + Nav link: 'Scan' → 'Read'
- Pricing free tier: '5 scans to try the model' → '5 reads …'
- StatStrip: 'Awaiting next scan' → 'Awaiting next read'
- Ticker badge + snapshotService event: tag 'SCAN' → 'READ',
  'slate scanned' → 'slate read' (readSportOf parses BOTH old and new so
  cached ticker items dedupe cleanly through the rollover)
- upgradePitch: 'You've scanned N parlays' / 'unlimited scans' → read/reads

Internal untouched (not user-visible): /api/scan routes, scan_count column,
scanning state, DemoScan/ScanIcon, scanlines CSS, the transitional SCAN
color-map key.

tests/unit/verbLaw.test.js is the enforcement: it fails on user-visible
scan/scanned/scans copy across web/src + src/services (skips comments). Suite
270/3254 green, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 15:26:49 -04:00
builtbykev 1776a29a99 Grade fix VALIDATED live — 14:00 UTC regrade fingerprint (proj-0 → 0, 25/25 agree)
Work-order #4 closed. First post-deploy snapshot (2026-07-17 14:00:53 UTC)
re-graded with the fix. Before → after:
- projection==0: 9/25 → 0/25 (the nine now refuse)
- grade<->confidence: mismatch → 25/25 agree
- edge_pct: {20,60,100,140} cluster → 7 continuous values, all-positive projections

The lone remaining edge=100 is a REAL projection (Abreu hits, line 0.5, proj 1.0
over = 100% by (model-line)/line), not the old proj=0 degeneracy. Verified.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 10:15:19 -04:00
builtbykev 4bd770480a Grade-fix validation script + finding doc (before-state, blast-radius SQL, plan)
scripts/validate-grade-fix.js checks the live MLB snapshot for the three
degradation signatures (projection=0, edge=100 cluster, grade/conf disagreement)
— run after the next 14:00 UTC regrade to fingerprint the fix. The finding doc
now records root causes, fixes (commits 888d103/9fc4edf), the blast-radius SQL
(box can't reach Supabase directly), and the shared-path note for NBA/WNBA.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 03:18:36 -04:00
builtbykev 9fc4edf3a9 Blast radius: exclude projection<=0 grades from the public model record
The degraded grades (projection=0 → model_value=0) are already settled in the
append-only ledger and must NOT be deleted (Data Semantics law). But their
hit/miss is noise, not model skill — they never had a real projection. So
getModelAggregate now filters `.gt('model_value', 0)` on both the settled and
pending queries: the rows stay in ledger_entries, but leave the public hit_pct /
CLV / per-tier record. `.gt` also drops NULL model_value. Post-fix no such row
can be written (projection<=0 refuses), so this only sheds the historical set.

This is the functional form of the "marking" the work order asked for — the
degraded locks are effectively marked as non-counting without mutating history.

Test builder mocks gained `.gt`; a lock asserts the filter is applied to both
queries. Suite 269/3253 green, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 03:15:50 -04:00
builtbykev 888d103f95 Fix MLB grade degradation: projection>0 gate, edge semantics, letter=confidence
The #1 board item — three grading bugs the phone audit surfaced, all in the
live Node grade path (engine1 + analyzeViaEngine1), fixed at the source.

1. PROJECTION=0 NOW REFUSES. projectionFor returned l5_avg even when it was 0
   (finite, so the `== null` gate passed it) — 9/25 live grades graded on a
   zero projection, producing a degenerate edge and a hollow grade. Now a
   non-positive reference is not a projection: projectionFor skips it and falls
   through to the next POSITIVE reference (l5 -> l20 -> per_90 -> xg); when none
   is positive it returns null and the read REFUSES (insufficient_data). The
   gate also gained an explicit `> 0` guard so the invariant is structural — a
   grade can never be emitted with a non-positive projection. Fewer graded
   props, honest.

2. EDGE_PCT. The formula was already (model - line) / line signed by direction
   — Kev's intended semantics. The broken {20,60,100,140} cluster was the
   proj=0 degeneracy ((line - 0)/line = 100%); with #1 those refuse, so the
   fabricated 100s vanish and real edges flow. The main-line edge now reuses
   the VALIDATED projection (edgePctFor accepts an optional ref) so edge and
   the persisted projection can never diverge. Frontend |edge|>40 guard stays
   as a safety net.

3. LETTER == THRESHOLD_TABLE(CONFIDENCE). engine1's hand-rolled
   GRADE_TO_CONFIDENCE drifted a full sub-tier low (B -> 0.55, which the
   canonical grade_thresholds.json calls B-) — the "B at 45%" the audit caught.
   Now confidence is DERIVED from each grade's band MIDPOINT in
   grade_thresholds.json (one source of truth, shared with the Python engine),
   so applying the threshold table to any grade's displayed confidence resolves
   back to the same letter. Proven for all 11 grades.

Regression locks: tests/unit/mlbGradeDegradation.test.js (14 tests). Backend
suite 269/3253 green, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 03:06:12 -04:00
builtbykev 0d8fa76556 STATE.md: phone-audit punch list complete (P0-1..P2-10) + backend grade finding
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 01:49:12 -04:00
builtbykev 71e35e90fd P2-10: ledger read-card density — tighter padding/margins (3-4 per phone screen)
Phone audit: read cards were huge, only 1-2 fit per screen. Compressed the
vertical spacing — article padding 16->12, header margin 8->5, name 15->14px,
ladder-rungs margin 10->8, book/date line 12->8.

Kept the archetype showDesc: it renders INLINE (same row as the badge), so it
adds zero vertical height — dropping it wouldn't help density and would break
the ds5 design lock ("the badge shows its one-line meaning where it leads").
Locked the density in vyndrParityQA (P2-10).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 01:47:48 -04:00
builtbykev 77e8937a56 P2-9: leaderboard stat labels (SB/ER/TB) + FLAG the grade-degradation root cause
DISPLAY FIX (shipped): the league leaderboard rendered raw snake_case
("stolen_bases U0.5", "earned_runs U2.5"). New canonical short-label lib
web/src/lib/statAbbrev.js (one source, CommonJS + unit-tested) maps stat_type
to SB/ER/TB/HR/K/PTS/… and ExploreHub routes through it. Unknown ids upper-case
their words so raw snake_case can never leak again.

FLAG (reported, NOT silently changed — per the audit's instruction): the "B at
45% confidence" is a BACKEND grading issue, diagnosed against live snapshot:
- 25/25 grades mismatch their own confidence vs grade_thresholds.json (B shown
  at conf 55 = the B- band; a systematic one-sub-tier gap on every prop). The
  surfaced `confidence` is not the probability that derived the letter (likely
  the data-sufficiency penalty applied to display-only).
- 9/25 have projection=0 — the MLB feature path feeds 0 instead of refusing
  (S58 insufficient_data), which also produces the P1-7 broken edge_pct.
Full write-up + do-not list: specs/audit-data/mlb-grade-degradation.md. NOT
re-lettering or shifting thresholds on the frontend — that would hide the bug.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 01:42:03 -04:00
builtbykev 00537eb84c P1-8: truth in Compare verdict — no phantom "tonight", cite what actually wins
Phone audit: the Compare verdict read "the edge tonight tilts his way" for
Jokić vs Wembanyama — an NBA claim in July, when NBA has 0 games. The page is
sample/form data with no game resolution, so "tonight" can never be verified.
Reframed to "on current form" (the rows ARE L10 form) — always honest, in or
out of season.

Also fixed the cited dimensions: the verdict claimed "usage", but in the sample
Jokić's Usage% (29.1) is LOWER than Wemby's (31.0) — he wins scoring, boards,
and playmaking, not usage. Copy now matches the data.

Locks both P1-7 and P1-8 in vyndrParityQA.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 01:36:53 -04:00
builtbykev d755b43f05 P1-7: flat edge board — guard the broken edge placeholder (absent > fabricated)
Phone audit called the board 'mostly-empty'. Two causes, both now addressed:
1. Dead images (P0-2, already fixed) → the matchup/team chips render logos now.
2. Degraded edge data. Live snapshot edge_pct is on a broken scale (distinct
   values 20/60/100/140 — not a market %), with projection=0 and confidence
   35-55%. A real prop-market edge is single-digit, never past ~40%. Leading
   the board with '+140%' fabricates a signal (Data Semantics Rule).

Fix: an edge whose |value| > 40 is treated as ABSENT at BOTH layers — the
data layer (flattenToEdgeBoard nulls it, so it can't RANK a fake +140% above a
real +8.4%) and the display (EdgeCell shows '—'). Board falls through to the
grade-rank tiebreak when edges are unreliable. Real edges (≤40) are untouched.

The root cause — edge_pct/projection/confidence degradation — is a BACKEND
grading issue (same family as the P2-9 '45% B' flag), reported separately; this
is the honest frontend guard, not a fix for the data.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 01:34:01 -04:00
builtbykev ff0d3b199e P1-6 fix: one freshness source — Slate 'UPDATED' reads pipeline refreshed_at
Phone audit: the same screen showed green 'SIGNAL LIVE · UPDATED 0s ago' AND
amber 'SYNC 46:03' — two components reading different fields. The Slate's
'UPDATED Xs ago' measured the CLIENT poll time (always ~0s, since it refetches
every 60s), while the app-bar clock honestly measured the pipeline's data age
(refreshed_at). '0s ago' claimed a freshness the data didn't have.

Now the Slate captures snap.refreshed_at from the snapshot it already fetches
(newest across sports) and 'UPDATED' shows THAT — the same source of truth as
the clock. The clock still owns the amber/STALE reaction; the strip just states
the honest data age. No more contradiction.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 01:24:48 -04:00
builtbykev 8b35fd06ec P1-5 fix: 390px containment — consensus rows stack, pitcher line wraps
Phone audit: CONSENSUS VS MODEL bled off the right edge ('2 BO…', 'MO…') and
STARTING-pitcher lines truncated ('2.64 E…'). The M4 lock only hid the DOCUMENT
scroll (html/body overflow-x) — content still clipped inside cards. Now contained:
- .breadth-row stacks (flex-direction:column) at <430px, each field on its own
  line with overflow-wrap:anywhere — no bleed.
- the game-card starting-pitcher inner spans wrap + shrink (flexWrap + minWidth:0)
  so name/ERA/archetype flow onto a second line instead of clipping.
- STRENGTHENED the lock: vyndrParityQA now asserts the CONTAINMENT patterns
  (breadth-row stacks, pitcher spans wrap), not just document overflow.

MLB stat pills: the game-lines grid already scrolls-within-card (<640 M1); if
the audit still shows pill clipping elsewhere, it's a follow-up targeted pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 01:19:48 -04:00
builtbykev ff53f31bfc P0-4 fix: mobile header collapses to ONE line — logo + clock + sync dot
Phone audit: at 390px we still rendered the full desktop 3-row header (nav +
TOP MOVES ticker + SYNC line) eating ~20% of the viewport, and its height
clipped page titles under it (MY READS tabs, HEAD TO HEAD). Implemented Design's
mobile app bar <768px:
- New MobileSyncClock (extracted from HeartbeatBar) lives in the Nav's right
  cluster — wall clock rests, amber/STALE reacts off the shared freshness tier.
- <768px: the ticker row (.nav-ticker) AND the whole heartbeat bar are hidden;
  only the nav row shows (logo + clock + search). main padding-top → 62px and
  the Slate sticky tabs → top:60px, so nothing clips under the bar.
- Locked in vyndrParityQA (P0-4): ticker+heartbeat hidden, nav clock shown,
  paddings collapsed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 01:15:24 -04:00
builtbykev db61876b2f P0-3b/c: consensus grouped by player + ledger cards nest alt lines as a ladder
Completes P0-3 across all three surfaces:
- CONSENSUS VS MODEL (MarketBreadth): dedupe by player+market so Ben Williamson's
  alt-line variants show as ONE consensus row (no per-market cap — a consensus
  table just shouldn't repeat a player).
- LEDGER cards: group by player+market via groupIntoLadders — Alec Bohm's
  strikeout ladder (U1.6/U1.3/O1.5) is now ONE card with the rungs nested (each
  its own side/line + tier-colored grade), not three separate cards.
- playerGrouping reads player OR player_name (ledger rows use player_name) —
  regression-tested so the ledger doesn't silently empty.

The Alt Line Ladder shape is what /pricing already demos; the record now uses it.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 01:07:28 -04:00
builtbykev 55f5cdc57d P0-3a: dedupe the Explore leaderboard — one row per player+market + per-market cap
Phone audit: leaderboard flooded with 9 consecutive identical 'stolen_bases U0.5
45% B' rows. New shared lib/playerGrouping (dedupeLeaders + groupIntoLadders,
name-key aware, 7 unit tests): ONE row per (player, market family) keeping the
best-ranked, then a per-market cap (4) so no single prop type floods the board.
Applied to ExploreHub. Ledger cards + Consensus grouping follow in P0-3b/c using
the same lib.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 00:59:08 -04:00
builtbykev c868d1638e P0-2 fix: entity images load EAGERLY — the lazy-defer killed the whole pipeline
Phone audit: 78 ESPN <img> at naturalWidth:0, ZERO espncdn/mlbstatic requests
ever fire — the browser never attempts the fetch. CSP was NOT the cause (img-src
already allows a.espncdn.com + img.mlbstatic.com, confirmed in the live header).
Root cause = native loading="lazy" on the tiny entity <img>s never triggering on
device (the audit's suspect b). TeamLogo + PlayerAvatar now load="eager"
(+ decoding="async") — they're 10-40px core-visual entities, so eager is correct
and cheap, and it forces the fetch on parse regardless of size/viewport.

Browser-request confirmation is the audit's Chrome domain (I can't observe
network from server curls); eager semantics guarantee the fetch once the src
(which 200s server-side) is in the DOM.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 00:53:46 -04:00
builtbykev 489d849f1e P0-1 fix: ledger/u grade badges are token-derived — kill blue-B / amber-C / non-A glow
Phone audit found LEDGER READ CARDS rendering B badges with BLUE borders + C
with AMBER right now in prod — GradePill (components/GradeCard.tsx) hardcoded the
OLD palette (rgba(74,158,255) blue-B, rgba(255,179,71) amber-C) for bg/border
while the text used the migrated token. Migrated bg/border to color-mix on the
grade token, so B renders neutral-white and C grey (matching the board).
- globals.css .grade-*-bg → token-derived color-mix (was raw blue/amber rgba).
- DELETED glow from .grade-glow-b/c/d (glow is A-tier ONLY, by law) — B/C/D keep
  their token color, no text-shadow.
- Purged the last dead grade-blue #4A9EFF fallbacks (SoccerGradeResult, the
  intelligence INFO dot).
- REGRESSION LOCK: vyndrParityQA fails if #4a9eff / rgba(74,158,255) reappears
  anywhere in web/src, if GradePill hardcodes blue/amber rgba, or if grade-glow
  B/C/D grow a text-shadow again.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-17 00:48:56 -04:00
builtbykev 4f32eab859 Color contract: 'N LIVE' count → green (Design's LIVE color), not red
Design colors every LIVE indicator green (active = green; the live-dots and
LIVE·Q3 labels are all green). The slate header's 'N LIVE' count was red
(--live #ff3b3b) — contradicts the one-meaning-per-color contract (red = miss/
error, which live isn't). Aligned to --g-a.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 22:02:27 -04:00
builtbykev 429a44160e STATE.md: design completion train substantially shipped; master-audit unverified list
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 21:59:35 -04:00
builtbykev bf8bf16e5c Rev 3 chips: pitcher identity 'vs' — team + opponent TeamChips
PitcherArsenal's meta line showed team + 'vs OPP' as plain text; Rev 3 anchors
the pitcher's team and opponent with TeamChips (real logo / monogram). Combat
FightCard intentionally keeps fighter monograms (no photos — likeness rule).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 21:58:27 -04:00
builtbykev 6bc9093298 M4 locks: flat edge board is mobile-only + chip/grade/hero + overflow contained
Structural mobile rules become failing tests (M4 'test-lock what's lockable'):
the flat EDGE BOARD shows <768px and game cards are desktop-only; the board
renders TeamChips + tier GradeBadge + sign-colored hero edge% + the ranked
opacity ramp; document never scrolls sideways at 390px. Source assertions —
they lock the RULES, not the pixels (that's the master audit).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 21:48:21 -04:00
builtbykev 8a24ac9129 M1b screen 01: the flat EDGE BOARD — Design's mobile board IA
The one genuinely-new mobile screen. Design's mobile BOARD is a FLAT edge-ranked
list (all graded props across every game on one list, sorted by edge) — not the
desktop's game-grouped cards. Implemented to the drawing with REAL snapshot data:
- slateAdapter.flattenToEdgeBoard(cards) — pure transform of the assembled
  GameCardData[] (grade→game join already done) into ranked rows, edge desc.
  STRICT null edge sorts LAST (never 0-coerced to the top — Data Semantics Rule).
  Threaded edge_pct through buildPlayerStripsFromProps (was dropped). 6 unit tests.
- MobileEdgeBoard component — Design's exact screen-01 rows: rank (green #1),
  player + prop, matchup sub-line with TeamChips + live-dot, tier grade chip,
  and the edge% as the one bold mono hero (green +, red −). Ranked opacity ramp
  (1 → .55) + green inset border on the top reads. Breadth strip EDGES/AVG CLV/
  GAMES — CLV honest '—' (per-slate CLV isn't computed; never fabricated).
- Slate: <768px renders the flat board, ≥768px keeps game cards (same data,
  toggled by width). Ungraded slate still shows game cards on phones (no blank).

Built to Design's screen-01 drawing, VISUALLY UNVERIFIED at 390px — the core
mobile screen, top of the master-audit list.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 21:46:47 -04:00
builtbykev f02dc4a6d5 fix: mobile test pins grade-hero at Design's 74px (follow-up to baf977f)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 21:34:03 -04:00
builtbykev baf977f3fe M1b grade-reveal (screen 02): Rev 3 team chip + Design mobile hero (74px)
GradeResultCard already carried Design's §7 grade-reveal structure (hero +
identity + 3-col grid + intel box) — the screen was built to the same contract
Design's mobile follows. Applied the Rev 3 gaps: team context now a TeamChip
(real logo/monogram), and the mobile grade hero → 74px (Design's exact mobile
size; M1a had 80). Desktop hero unchanged (116px).

Built to Design's mobile spec, VISUALLY UNVERIFIED at 390px.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 21:32:58 -04:00
builtbykev f24f9412f1 Rev 3 matchup chips: TeamChip primitive + board-row team context
Design Rev 3 anchors every matchup/context abbr with a 10-12px team tile. New
reusable TeamChip renders the real TeamLogo (licensed ESPN logo where it
resolves, team-colored monogram otherwise — the resolver is already built) at
that size + the abbr, sitting inside the row so it inherits the ranked opacity
ramp. First placement: StatStrip's player/team context (name → team-chip →
archetype). ROW-GRAMMAR identity-run test updated to the chip marker.

Remaining Rev 3 placements to thread TeamChip into (reusable, mechanical):
parlay legs, grade-shift header, pitcher "vs", /u recent-settled, other
matchup context lines. Game-card headers already carry TeamLogo (TeamLink).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 21:27:47 -04:00
builtbykev 771d8b0ba4 Rev 3 glyphs: wire the 9 classifier-legacy marks (74→83), all backend archetypes now render real marks
Design Rev 3 drew the 9 legacy classifier marks (BRUSH #E0B84A, WHIFF #E86A6A,
CONNECTOR #9AB0C4, DISTRIBUTOR #7AB8D8, FASTBREAK #4AA0E8, FLEX #A08AC8,
HYBRID #C88AB0, SWITCH #C0B08A, SWITCHBOARD #90A0E8). Wired each to its own
Design mark + color (front lib/archetypes.js + backend archetypeService.js,
color-synced). These were the 9 NO-MARK backend keys — now none are on a
generic placeholder. They're classifier-side fallback renders (never
user-facing archetype names, per MANIFEST).

Re-imported Rev 3 package over specs/design-reference/ (83 glyph SVGs + MANIFEST
regenerated from the authoritative glyphDefs(); HANDOFF Rev 3 note).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 21:23:59 -04:00
builtbykev ebaab007d4 M3 palette consistency: orphaned B-blue monogram + old text-0 in OG billboards
Token alignment (M3.1) orphaned a few bare literals: PlayerAvatar's team-less
monogram accent still fell back to the retired B-blue #4A9EFF → Design neutral
#B8BCC8; the player/u OG + portrait billboards painted old text-0 #E8E8F0 →
Design #F0F0F0 (satori canvas needs literals).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 18:09:50 -04:00
builtbykev 1558710458 M3.3a book wordmark — BookComparison renders BookChip, not the raw key
The only surface still showing a raw book key: BookComparison rendered
{b.book} capitalized ('Betmgm'). Now uses the entity-layer BookChip (branded
wordmark + name), matching ledger/GameCard. No lowercase/raw book text anywhere.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 18:03:34 -04:00
builtbykev 77d8fd658d M3.6 glyph lift — 29 archetypes now render Design's real 74-mark set
Replaced the generic reused shapes (triangle/star/plus/bolt…) with Design's
real per-archetype marks from the authoritative glyphDefs() (HANDOFF), and
aligned each archetype's color to Design's deduped palette — frontend
lib/archetypes.js + backend archetypeService.js kept in color-sync (the
cross-file test iterates the backend set). Badge test color expectations
updated to Design (BOMBER #FF9F45, CONDUCTOR #6C8CFF, ALPHA #7C5CFF,
FORTRESS #4C6FA5, …).

Scope + honesty:
- 29 non-combat archetypes wired to real marks + Design colors.
- COMBAT namespace (STRIKER/GRAPPLER/PRESSURE/COUNTER/FINISHER/GRINDER) left
  untouched — it uses unicode CHAR glyphs + its own pinned colors + test
  (FINISHER deliberately doesn't collide with the soccer FINISHER). Combat
  could adopt Design's SVG marks in a follow-up.
- 39 Design marks are INERT (no classify() producer yet) — the 74 SVGs live in
  specs/design-reference/assets/glyphs/; they light up when classify() expands.
- 9 backend archetypes have NO Design mark (BRUSH/CONNECTOR/DISTRIBUTOR/
  FASTBREAK/FLEX/HYBRID/SWITCH/SWITCHBOARD/WHIFF) — kept on their generic glyph,
  flagged for Design.

VISUALLY UNVERIFIED at 390px/desktop — archetype marks + colors on the audit list.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 17:01:48 -04:00
builtbykev c3d469e964 M3.1 follow-up: ShareCard grade-B billboard → Design white; drop stale comment hexes
The share/OG card (a billboard) still painted grade B blue (#4A9EFF) on canvas;
Design's B is neutral-bright white. Canvas needs a literal, so #F0F0F0 direct.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 16:23:56 -04:00
builtbykev e0a26a8055 M3.1 token alignment — the palette to Design's exact package values
Reconcile finding: the live tokens had DRIFTED from Design's package (HANDOFF
"Tokens (exact)"). Per the standing conflict rule (Design specified exact hexes
→ rejected the drift → Design wins), aligned the whole palette:
- Surfaces: --bg-1 #0E0E16→#0E0E14, --bg-2 #15151F→#14141E; added --bg-deep
  #0A0A10 + --hairline #101018 (Design's ramp).
- Text: --text-0 #E8E8F0→#F0F0F0, --text-1 #7A7A8E→#B8BCC8 (Design's secondary
  is far brighter), --text-2 #4A4A5E→#707080, added --text-3 #4a4a58 micro.
- Borders: #1E1E2E→#1E1E2A, #2A2A3E→#2A2A38.
- GRADES (the big one): B blue #4A9EFF → neutral-bright WHITE #F0F0F0; C amber
  #FFB347 → muted GREY #B8BCC8; D #FF5252 → #FF4757. The old blue/amber actually
  violated DESIGN-SPEC v2's OWN "B neutral-bright, C muted" — this fixes a
  long-standing drift, confirmed by Design's package. Amber stays its own token
  (--amber); --warning decoupled to --amber; --miss → #FF4757.
- vyndrTokens.js GRADE_HEX mirror + the design-system test updated to match.

Big VISUAL change (grade color language), VISUALLY UNVERIFIED at 390px/desktop
— on the Chrome-audit list. Every surface inherits it, so it lands first.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 16:19:30 -04:00
builtbykev 63511485ed Design train: unpack the complete authoritative package into design-reference
Supersedes the prior partial import. From claude.ai/design project 370ba6df:
- HANDOFF.md (the entry point — exact tokens, glyph library, liftable
  behaviors, laws)
- vyndr-mobile.html (19 mobile screens — closes all 10 previously-uncovered
  surfaces: landing/pricing/streaks/ledger×2/empty/scan/player/team/explore +
  combat/pitcher/archetypes/correlation), vyndr-system.html (desktop terminal),
  support.js
- assets/glyphs/ — all 74 archetype marks as real SVGs + MANIFEST, GENERATED
  from the authoritative glyphDefs() in the desktop file (currentColor, 24-grid,
  duotone) rather than 74 fetches. These replace the generic star/plus
  placeholders (the archetype family was never rendering as a distinct 74-mark
  system).
- removed my interim MOBILE-SPEC.md distillation (the real 19-screen file +
  HANDOFF supersede it).

Landing (desktop marketing) captured in-context — it's M2/M3-desktop scope;
raw file stays in the design project until that wave.

RECONCILE + build (token alignment, glyph lift, M1b surfaces, M3) follow.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 15:52:29 -04:00