Files
vyndr/CLAUDE.md
T
builtbykev 1a94ef5fcf Revive the dead probability layer + restore grade range ON MERIT
Folds re-sequenced steps 1+2 into one change (Kev's call): same bug
family — features wired to sources that return null.

THE PROBABILITY LAYER WAS DEAD IN PRODUCTION. p_win/ev_pct/kelly/
model_odds/value were absent on 0/8 live grades because
gameLogService.getGameLogs returns null for MLB by construction and
depends on the offline Python service for NBA/WNBA, so meta.gameLogs was
[] for every sport. This was the S46 bug in a second location — that fix
gave featureCache an MLB branch (why grades still worked) but never the
estimator. featureCache.getStatRows now supplies normalized rows
([{date,[statType]:v}], most-recent-first) for every sport, feeding the
estimator AND consistency AND game_count_in_7d from one fetch.
VERIFIED on real props: p_win 25/25 WNBA, 8/8 MLB (was 0).

GRADE RANGE, ON MERIT — never by rescaling (permanent founder ruling:
minting A's without new information is a relabelled B sold as an A and
corrupts an append-only ledger).
- refreshTeamStats wired into runSnapshot — it had ZERO production
  callers, so opp_rank_stat was permanently null and a +/-1.0 factor
  could never fire. Test-env no-op (opsNotify precedent).
- L20 made SYMMETRIC: both branches were delta +1.0, so the season
  baseline could only ever ADD. No negative path was a structural reason
  D was unreachable. New l20_contradicts_* carries -1.0.
- game_count_in_7d derived from real logged dates (heavy_workload_7d).
- NOT wired, deliberately, with reasons inline: teamId (no team_id
  column; getFeatures reads it top-level; factor also needs a starter-id
  list) and season_type (ESPN 2 = REGULAR season; threading it raw would
  fire veteran_in_playoffs in July). Dead code dressed as a fix is the
  thing we are removing, not adding.

CALIBRATION GUARD (found by verifying, not assuming): consistency CV is
NBA-tuned; for a Poisson-ish stat cv ~ 1/sqrt(mean), so any stat with
mean < 4 auto-classifies boom_bust. First verification run showed 8/8 MLB
props boom_bust — a blanket -1.0 that dropped the board to all-C. Floored
at CONSISTENCY_MIN_MEAN=4 -> 'unknown' below. Absent beats wrong. MLB
low-count stats therefore still get no consistency factor: honest, not
fixed. Scale-free index-of-dispersion classifier is the open follow-up.

CONFIDENCE IS NOT A PROBABILITY: payloads carry confidence_basis:
'grade_band'. Corrected mlb-grade-degradation.md — its "25/25
grade<->confidence agreement" is a TAUTOLOGY (confidence is derived FROM
the letter, so it would report 25/25 even if every grade were wrong), not
a validation. Removed dead mlbGrader.js (referenced only by its own test)
and the stale computeFeatures comment claiming a penalty that never ran.

VERIFICATION (scripts/verify-grade-range.js, real props/logs/engine):
WNBA 25 props B 68%->32%, C 32%->64%, D 0->1 (4%); 11-step spread went
from 2 steps to 5 (C/C+/B-/D). The D is earned: Angel Reese assists o2.5,
p_win 0.365. Nothing flooded — grades got HARDER. A did not emit locally
because opp_rank_stat needs the Redis cache only prod populates (local
ceiling +3.0 vs the +4.5 A needs); reachability is proven arithmetically
and locked in tests. Prod A-emission is the outstanding fingerprint.

MARKETING HOLD: "A-RATED" (AccuracyBadge, TopSignals) is unsupported
until that fingerprint. Confirmed honest fallbacks render today —
/api/ledger/accuracy has B and C buckets only, so the badge shows
"MODEL · 63% HIT" and TopSignals self-hides. Nothing fabricated ships.

Suite 276/3286 green, web build exit 0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01SmNjJAwEnqHPtXbvSZR8kA
2026-07-19 18:54:51 -04:00

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# VYNDR — Claude Code Project Context
## What This Is
Sports betting intelligence SaaS. Real software product.
Three tiers: Free (5 scans), Analyst ($19.99 / $14.99 founder), Desk ($49.99 / $34.99 founder).
## Tech Stack
- Backend: Node.js / Express
- Database: Supabase (PostgreSQL)
- Frontend: React Native (built in Cursor)
- Data: The Odds API ($30/mo), nba_api (free, Python wrapper)
- Caching: Redis — 15min for odds, 24hr for season averages, 1hr for recent games
- Payments: Stripe
## Critical Rules — Non-Negotiable
### 1. NO CODE WITHOUT A SPEC
Every feature requires a spec file in `specs/` before any code is written.
Spec must include: endpoints, data shapes, acceptance criteria, test plan.
Get approval before building.
### 2. WSL2 HEREDOC RULE
WSL2 corrupts heredoc for files over 10 lines.
ALWAYS use Python file-writing: `python3` with triple-quoted strings.
This applies to every file creation operation.
### 3. 5 QUALITY GATES (all must pass before any feature is marked complete)
1. Unit tests pass
2. Integration tests pass
3. Acceptance criteria met (from spec)
4. PR description written
5. CLAUDE.md updated if anything new learned
### 4. BUILD-STATE.md
Update after every session. What shipped, what's next, any blockers.
### 5. BLOCKERS.md
If you hit something you cannot resolve: log it. Don't guess. Don't skip.
## Folder Structure
```
vyndr/
├── src/
│ ├── routes/ # Express route handlers
│ ├── models/ # Supabase data models
│ ├── services/ # Business logic (prop analysis, odds normalization)
│ ├── middleware/ # Auth, rate limiting, scan counting
│ └── utils/ # Helpers, formatters, validators
├── tests/ # Unit + integration tests
├── docs/ # API docs, architecture notes
├── specs/ # Feature specs (write BEFORE code)
├── build-briefs/ # Session summaries
├── CLAUDE.md # This file
├── ROADMAP.md # Feature roadmap with phases
├── BUILD-STATE.md # Current build status
├── BLOCKERS.md # Unresolved blockers
└── DECISIONS.md # Architecture decisions log
```
## All-Day Intelligence Layer (Session 23)
Free/cheap content that keeps the platform alive when odds-api props are
empty. NONE of these spend odds-api credits:
- `/api/schedule/:sport` — cache-aside ESPN scoreboard (`scheduleService`),
self-heals on cache miss. Per-game `hasOdds`/`hasGameLines` flags peek at
other caches without fetching.
- `/api/gamelines/:sport` — Tank01 book-by-book lines (RAPID_API_KEY quota).
- `/api/streaks/:sport` + `/api/hotlist/:sport` — PURE engines
(`streaksService`, `hotListService`) computed from cached game logs. NO
API calls. Logs loaded by `rosterLogs.js` (prefetch blob, else Redis SCAN
over `gamelogs:{sport}:{player}:{count}`). Empty roster = valid empty state.
- `?stat=` filters narrow streaks/hotlist; categories in `config/statFilters.js`
(mirror `web/src/config/statFilters.ts`). Discovery: `/api/stats/filters/:sport`.
- Dead providers: set `status: 'dead'` in `config/providers.js` to drop a
provider from fallback chains + configured list (ParlayAPI host is dead).
## Provider Strategy (Session 30)
Player props now have abundance, not rationing.
- **Player props** — PRIMARY: PropLine (`proplineAdapter`, 3 keys
`PROPLINE_API_KEY_1/2/3`, 3,000 req/day FREE, rotates per-key; registry
`propline` priority 1). BACKUP: The Odds API (`ODDS_API_KEY`, 500/month,
priority 2, conserve). `getOdds()` tries PropLine first when keys present,
falls back to odds-api; the response + cache carry a `provider` field.
PropLine is The-Odds-API-compatible → reuses `utils/oddsNormalizer`.
MLB market keys (`batter_hits`, `pitcher_strikeouts`, …) were added to
`MARKET_MAP` — without them MLB props normalize to zero.
- **MLB stats** — `mlbStatsAdapter` → statsapi.mlb.com. FREE, no auth,
unlimited. Game logs, season averages, BvP, probable pitchers. Does NOT
use the gateway (no quota). Registry `mlb-stats` (`noAuth: true`).
- **Game enrichment** — `scheduleService.getGameSummary(sport, eventId)`
ESPN summary (injuries, ESPN Bet odds, ATS, leaders, box score). Free.
- **Game-level odds** — Tank01 (unchanged). Tank01 PLAYER PROPS = empty,
do not wire.
## Grades Content Pipeline (Session 32)
Closes the content pipeline: `contentTemplateService` reads a `grades:{sport}`
cache "when present" but nothing wrote it, so slate/POTD never reached
`dataLevel: 'full'`.
- **Writer** — `gradeSlateService.gradeAndCacheSlate(sport, props, opts)`
dedupes props to unique player+stat+line (cap 25, concurrency 5), grades
BOTH sides via `analyzeViaEngine1` (engine1 is direction-aware — keeps the
higher-confidence side), sorts by confidence desc, writes
`grades:{sport}` = `{ grades, updated_at, source }` (TTL 2h). The legacy
grade shape already matches `normalizeGrade` — no remap needed.
- **Trigger** — fire-and-forget inside `oddsService.recordDownstream` (runs
on a fresh odds fetch / cache MISS, NOT on cache hits). Does NOT hold the
odds HTTP response. Gated by `shouldGradeSlate()`: ON by default, OFF when
`NODE_ENV==='test'` (its feature-compute fan-out would pollute call-count
assertions), override with `GRADE_SLATE_ON_FETCH=1`/`0`. `0` is the
operator kill-switch if the per-prop feature-compute cost needs shedding.
## NFL/NHL Props (Session 32)
NFL + NHL wired end-to-end. **the-odds-api keys are `americanfootball_nfl`
and `icehockey_nhl`** (full-name prefix like `basketball_nba`) — NOT
`football_nfl`/`hockey_nhl` (those are PropLine's keys in `proplineAdapter`).
`oddsService.SPORT_KEYS` + `SPORT_MARKETS` carry both; `proplineAdapter.MARKETS`
filled. NHL keys (`player_shots_on_goal`, `goalie_saves`) added to
`MARKET_MAP` so NHL props don't silently normalize to zero in-season.
## Public Route Rate Limiting (Session 32)
`middleware/rateLimit` (`createRateLimit`, in-memory per-IP, independent
bucket per call site) now mounts via `router.use` at the top of every public
cached router: odds + parlay = 30/min, schedule/gamelines/streaks/hotlist/
content/lines/books = 60/min. `/api/analyze` keeps its own 10/min.
## Frontend ↔ Backend Wiring (Session 25 — non-obvious)
A new Express route under `/api/*` is NOT reachable from the browser until
a matching **Next.js proxy route** exists at `web/src/app/api/.../route.ts`
that forwards to `${BACKEND_URL}/api/...`. The browser hits the Next origin,
not Express directly. This bit us: schedule/gamelines/streaks/hotlist
endpoints worked on Express but 404'd in the UI for two sessions. When
adding a backend endpoint the frontend calls, ALWAYS add the proxy too
(pattern: `web/src/app/api/odds/nba/route.ts`).
Tank01 betting-odds real shape: sportsbooks are TOP-LEVEL keys on each
game object (`{ awayTeam, homeTeam, bet365:{...} }`), not a `sportsBooks`
array. Filter `NON_BOOK_KEYS` to extract books (see `gameLines.js`).
## VYNDR 2.0 Design System (Session 33 — Phase A+B)
Multi-session frontend conversion of the claude.ai/design "VYNDR 2.0" handoff
(NOT a backend change). Foundation shipped; pages/mobile/systems are Sessions
34+. Source of truth = the prototype's `vyndr.css` + `VYNDR_HANDOFF.md`.
- **Tokens** live in `web/src/app/globals.css` `:root`. The NEW canonical set
is the short names: grades `--g-ap/--g-a/--g-b/--g-c/--g-d`, sports
`--s-nba/--s-mlb/--s-wnba/--s-soccer`, `--amber`, `--live/--hit/--miss`,
`--scan-op` (0.04), `--glitch` (1), `--sans` (Inter), `--mono` (JetBrains
Mono). The legacy alias block (`--grade-a`, `--nba`, `--accent`, …) is KEPT —
do not delete it until every consumer is migrated.
- **Two hard brand rules:** (1) JetBrains Mono (`var(--mono)` / `.mono`) for ALL
data — odds, %, timestamps, book names, stat lines, grades; Inter
(`var(--sans)`) for everything else. (2) Glitch animations apply ONLY to
chrome (wordmark, headers-on-hover, dividers, loaders, living layer). DATA
NEVER GLITCHES.
- **Glitch keyframes** (§4) are appended to globals.css after the legacy block —
later-wins where names collide, so the appended VYNDR-2.0 definitions are
authoritative. Entrance keyframes floor at the visible state (`fade-in` from
opacity .6) so a paused frame is never invisible.
- **Shared components**: `@/components/vyndr/*` (Wordmark, GradeBadge,
SportBadge, TerminalInput, SectionHead, VBtn, Card, Sparkline, Ticker), helpers
in `web/src/lib/vyndrTokens.js`. The NEW Wordmark is `.wm` markup at
`@/components/vyndr/Wordmark`; the legacy `@/components/Wordmark` (`.wordmark`)
is still used by Nav until pages convert. `vyndrTokens.js` is CommonJS so it's
importable by `.tsx` (allowJs) AND requireable by the plain-JS Jest suite —
keep helper logic there so it stays genuinely unit-testable.
- **a11y layer** (§10): `<html data-contrast|data-text|data-cb|data-font|
data-motion>` overrides in globals.css. Wiring the toggles to these attrs is
Phase G (Session 38).
## VYNDR 2.0 App Shell (Session 34 — Phase C)
The frame every page sits in. Frontend-only.
- **Routing config** = `web/src/lib/routes.js` (CommonJS so it's unit-testable):
`GATED_ROUTES`, `OPEN_ROUTES`, `HASH_ALIASES`, `isGatedRoute()`,
`resolveHashAlias()`. GATED is deliberately narrow — only personal surfaces
(ledger/tracker/account/profile/settings/notifications/invite). dashboard +
scan stay OPEN (the free-scan funnel); gating them would be a monetization
regression.
- **Auth gate = CLIENT-side** (`components/AuthGate.tsx`, mounted around `<main>`
in layout). Our Supabase session lives in localStorage, not an httpOnly cookie,
and `middleware.ts` is locale-only — a server middleware can't read it. The
gate uses `useAuth().loading/user` + `isGatedRoute()` and redirects to
`/login?next=<path>` (the param `/login` already consumes). Do NOT try to move
this to middleware without first adding `@supabase/auth-helpers-nextjs` +
cookie sessions (a separate, larger change).
- **Hash deep-links**: `components/vyndr/HashRedirect.tsx` translates
`#scan`/`#terminal`/… → real Next routes once on mount. We keep file-based
routing; hashes are just redirect aliases for old share links / PWA shortcuts.
- **Nav** (`components/Nav.tsx`): uses the new `@/components/vyndr` Wordmark
(`.wm`), mono uppercase links, active = `--g-a`, a More dropdown, and a
**Ticker** under the bar. The fixed header is 60px nav + 32px ticker, so layout
`main` paddingTop is **96** (not 64) — keep that in sync if the header height
changes.
- **Footer** (`components/Footer.tsx`) is mounted GLOBALLY in the layout (not
per-page). System voice + "BUILT BY KEVON BUTLER · DETROIT".
- **404** (`app/not-found.tsx`) is the north star — scanlines, crt-sweep, glitch
wordmark, amber 404. Interactive CTAs live in client `NotFoundActions` so the
page stays a server component (keeps its metadata export).
- **RouteStub** (`components/vyndr/RouteStub.tsx`) backs not-yet-built routes
(terminal/compare/invite/help/about/notifications). Never stub over a route
that already has real content.
## VYNDR 2.0 Core Screens (Session 35 — Phase D)
- **Grade Result Card** = `@/components/vyndr/GradeResultCard` (the product's
core moment) + `ProcessingGrade` (the factor-ignite reveal that precedes it).
Feed them the §7 contract via `lib/gradeAdapter.js` (`mapScanToGradeResult`).
The adapter is CommonJS (unit-testable) and **tier-gates content**: free =
3-signal teaser, no kill conditions, no alt ladder; analyst = full signals +
kill conditions; desk = + alt ladder. Keep that gating — the card itself shows
whatever it's given, so the giveaway-prevention lives in the adapter.
GradeResultCard returns the inferred JS-object type loosely, so cast
`mapScanToGradeResult(...) as GradeResultData` at call sites (the JS adapter
has no TS types).
- **Scan grade flow** (`app/scan/page.tsx`) now renders ProcessingGrade→
GradeResultCard. The existing search/limit/parlay logic, `markReadComplete`
reads tracking, and `noopener noreferrer` sportsbook deep-links were preserved
— don't drop those when iterating.
- **GameCard** = `@/components/vyndr/GameCard` (Bloomberg best/worst line cells:
best = `rgba(0,212,160,.13)` + green left border, worst = subtle red). Built +
tested but NOT yet swapped into the live `dashboard`/`Slate.tsx` — that
data-mapping swap is a pending task; don't assume the dashboard uses it yet.
- **Terminal** (`app/terminal/page.tsx`) is a real page now (server component,
sample intel data) — no longer a RouteStub. Real-data wiring is later.
- **ClaimMeter** = `@/components/vyndr/ClaimMeter` (founder-seat scarcity), on the
landing under the Hero.
## VYNDR 2.0 Remaining Screens (Session 36 — Phase E)
- **Dashboard lines** — `lib/slateAdapter.js` (`parseAmericanOdds`,
`detectBestLines`, `mapScheduleToGameCards`) is the testable best/worst-line
engine. The LEGACY `components/GameCard.tsx` (used by the live Slate, with
inline grading) was RESKINNED to render its game-lines grid via
`detectBestLines` (best = green tint + green left border, worst = subtle red)
+ SportBadge. IMPORTANT: the live Slate still uses the legacy GameCard, NOT
`vyndr/GameCard` — a full swap needs inline grading ported into the new
component first (slateAdapter + vyndr/GameCard are ready for it).
- **Real pages** (were RouteStubs): `compare`, `invite`, `help`, `about`. Only
`/notifications` is still a RouteStub (keep the Session-34 stub test in sync if
you convert it).
- **Reskinned** (logic preserved): `login` (scanlines + "ACCESS THE SIGNAL"),
`pricing` (+ ClaimMeter). `account` redirects to `/profile`.
## VYNDR 2.0 Mobile Parity (Session 37 — Phase F)
- **Bottom tab bar** = `components/BottomTabBar.tsx`: 5 tabs (Slate/Terminal/
Scan/Ledger/More), Scan is the prominent raised grade-green action, More opens
an integrated bottom sheet. Shown for ALL users (anon included — it's the only
mobile nav); hidden on auth flows + landing via `HIDE_ON`, and hidden ≥768px
via the `.mobile-tab-bar` rule in globals.css. The Nav hamburger is retired on
mobile (the tab bar owns nav); the Nav's mobile panel is now dead code.
- **Mobile CSS** lives in the "MOBILE PARITY" section of globals.css: `main`
bottom-padding clears the 64px bar + safe-area <768px; `.grade-hero` (the
GradeResultCard letter) → 80px <640px; `.terminal-grid` stacks <768px;
`.game-lines-grid` horizontal-scroll. Class hooks: `grade-hero`, `terminal-grid`.
- **PWA**: manifest has shortcuts (Slate/Scan/Terminal) + categories
[sports,finance,productivity]; layout viewport sets `viewportFit: 'cover'`.
- BUILD GOTCHA: don't use `as const` on heterogeneous config arrays (TABS) — it
makes each entry a distinct literal type and optional props fail type-check.
Use a shared interface. And the build worker exits code 1 on type errors —
check the build EXIT CODE, not just a `| tail` of its output.
## VYNDR 2.0 Systems (Session 38 — Phase G)
Testable CommonJS modules in `lib/` + thin React glue:
- **`lib/parlayMath.js`** — frontend correlation model (player 0.62 / team 0.34 /
league 0.06 / cross-sport 0), `parlayGrade` penalty, grade→odds. Backend
parlayService (S28) still owns server combined odds.
- **`lib/oddsFormat.js`** — `fmtOdds(value, format)`. CRITICAL: only signed-int
strings + integer numbers are odds; totals/lines/spreads pass through UNCHANGED
(`parseMoneyline`). This is intentionally stricter than the prototype's parseAm
(which would mis-convert 228.5) — keep it that way.
- **`lib/prefs.js`** — `applyPrefs` sets `<html data-*>` (the S33 CSS layer keys
off these), load/save to `localStorage('vyndr_prefs')`.
- **`lib/liveTick.js`** — single tick store; never auto-starts (SSR/test-safe),
`start()` runs the unref'd 1s interval, `tick()` emits a fresh state object.
- **`lib/checkout.js`** — `checkoutUrl(plan)`.
- **`components/vyndr/LiveLayer.tsx`** (`useLive`/`LiveNumber`/`HeartbeatBar`) +
**`GlobalHosts.tsx`** (mounted in layout — applies prefs, registers
`window.__prefs`/`__goPaywall`/`__checkout`, hosts Prefs + Paywall modals).
- Header is now 124px tall (nav 60 + ticker 32 + heartbeat 30): layout `main`
paddingTop = 124, Slate sticky `top` = 122. Keep them in sync if header changes.
- GOTCHA: don't return a `Set.delete`-based unsub directly from `useEffect`
(returns boolean ≠ valid cleanup) — wrap as `() => { unsub(); }`.
## VYNDR 2.0 Conversion COMPLETE (Session 39 — Phase H QA)
The 7-session design conversion (3339) is done and parity-verified against §13.
- Parity invariants are locked by `tests/unit/vyndrParityQA.test.js` — if you
later add a glitch class to a data component, a raw `#00ffb8`/sport hex, a dead
`onClick={}`, or break the gated-route list, that suite fails. Keep it green.
- INTENTIONAL hex (do NOT "fix" to tokens): `var(--token, #fallback)` fallbacks,
Next metadata `themeColor`, and the bespoke intel-surface/red-tint text shades
(#e8fff4/#bdf5e2/#ff8a8a/#ff8b7a/#ffb0a4/#ffd9a8/#04140f) ported from the
prototype — no token equivalent.
- The GradeResultCard hero LETTER is intentionally `var(--sans)` (display),
matching the prototype; all grade DATA rows + the GradeBadge chip are mono.
- DEFERRED (never in 3339 scope): a true ⌘K command palette (Nav `` Query
currently links to /scan).
- TEST DE-FLAKE: `soccerFeatureExtractorCascade` gets `jest.setTimeout(20000)` —
it falls through to live adapters on cache miss and flaked at Jest's 5s default
under full-suite load (same family as the S32 pipeline test).
## P0 Audit Fixes (Session 41 — non-obvious)
- **THREE stat_type whitelists must stay in sync.** A prop's `stat_type` is
gated in `src/routes/analyze.js` (`/prop` + `/batch`), `src/routes/scan.js`
(parlay legs), AND `src/services/python/utils/validation.py`. Adding a sport's
stats to one without the others silently 400s. The S41 MLB bug was exactly
this: Python had the MLB set; both Node gates didn't. `mlbGrader.js` is DEAD
CODE (required nowhere) — the live MLB grade path is the generic engine1
feature pipeline, which keys off the Python validator's exact stat names
(`rbi`/`runs`/`innings_pitched`, NOT `rbis`/`runs_scored`/`outs_recorded`).
- **`tests/integration/analyze.test.js` sits exactly at the 10-req/min IP rate
limit** (`createRateLimit max:10`, no reset hook). Adding any HTTP test there
429s the later cases. Put new analyze-route HTTP tests in a SEPARATE file
(jest isolates module state per file → fresh limiter): see
`tests/integration/analyzeMlbStats.test.js`.
- **Fonts are self-hosted via `next/font/google`** (layout.tsx): Inter→
`--font-sans`, JetBrains_Mono→`--font-mono`, IBM_Plex_Mono→`--font-ibm`, all
set on `<html className>`. globals.css `:root` maps `--sans`/`--mono`/
`--ibm-mono` onto them. CRITICAL: next/font OBFUSCATES family names, so literal
`'JetBrains Mono'`/`'IBM Plex Mono'` in CSS or inline `fontFamily` no longer
resolve — always reference the variable. The old `fonts.googleapis.com` CDN
`<link>` is GONE (it 503'd in prod). ShareCard canvas still uses literal names
(canvas can't read CSS vars) — knowingly left.
- **Redirect routes** use server-component `redirect()` from `next/navigation`
(`/settings`→`/profile`, `/report`→`/blog`). `/settings/security` is a REAL
MFA enrollment page — do NOT clobber it into a redirect.
- **Profile tier** reads from `useAuth().tier` (the nav's source), not the
`/api/user/profile` fetch, so the two can't disagree.
## Player Intelligence System (Session 42 — non-obvious)
Built from the Claude Design "VYNDR Player Intelligence" bundle.
- **Archetypes (41, NOT 45)** — 15 NBA + 5 WNBA-unique + 15 MLB + 6 soccer. The
canonical registry is `src/services/archetypeService.js` (`ARCHETYPES` keyed by
UPPERCASE name; classify/getArchetype). The frontend visual map (color + glyph
SVG + desc) is duplicated in `web/src/lib/archetypes.js` because the browser
can't import the backend; a test asserts the colors MATCH. Colors are unique
WITHIN a sport but REUSED across sports (a TWO-WAY archetype is purple in NBA +
WNBA) — don't "dedupe" them. `classify(sport, stats)` is a feature-scoring
classifier → `{ primary, secondary|null, blend: [{archetype, weight}] }`.
- **StatStrip rule** — player name appears ONCE; stats are horizontal mono runs.
Never stack the name per stat. `components/vyndr/StatStrip.tsx` (compact +
expanded). `vyndr/GameCard` prefers `playerStrips` (grouped) over legacy
per-prop rows; both kept for back-comat.
- **Stats API** — `src/routes/stats.js` ALREADY existed (filters/public/live);
Session 42 ADDED `/player/:name`, `/leaders`, `/game/:id` (don't recreate the
file). Aggregation logic is in `src/services/playerIntelService.js` (testable;
inject `cacheGet`). The name param is sanitized there (strip non-name chars,
cap 60). Reads `grades:{sport}` cache for a player's props. Frontend needs the
Next proxy (`app/api/stats/player|leaders/route.ts`) — Express isn't reachable
from the browser directly (same rule as S25).
- **Player links** — always via `web/src/lib/playerHref.js` → `/player/:name?sport=`.
- **GradeResultCard / gradeAdapter** — new card sections (archetypeBlend, propDNA,
statContext, vyndrIntel) are OPTIONAL + self-hiding; `gradeAdapter.buildIntelFields`
only populates them when the engine supplies `archetype`/`season_avg`/`form`/etc.
They light up once the Session-43 data pipeline feeds them — no empty boxes now.
- **Settings** — `/settings` is now a REAL page (replaced the S41 redirect). It
LINKS to `/settings/security` (the real MFA page) — never overwrite that. Danger
zone delete is gated on `deleteText === 'DELETE'`; there's NO backend deletion
endpoint yet, so the confirmed action surfaces an honest "email support" message
rather than faking success.
- **Components added to the barrel**: ArchetypeBadge, ArchetypeBlend, StatStrip,
BookChip (`@/components/vyndr`). Book brand map = `web/src/lib/books.js`.
## Data Pipeline Wiring (Session 43 — non-obvious)
- **Dropdown z-index P0** — the `<nav>` uses `backdrop-filter`, which creates a
stacking context. The living-layer bars (`Ticker`, `HeartbeatBar`) render as
siblings AFTER it, so dropdowns that overflow below the 60px nav got covered.
The nav carries `position:relative; zIndex:2` to float above them — don't
remove it, and keep dropdown menus at `zIndex:100`.
- **MLB real stats** — `mlbStatsAdapter` is id-keyed; Session 43 added
`searchPlayer(name)` (resolves via the cached season player list) +
`getPlayerStats(name)`. `playerIntelService.resolvePlayerStats(name, sport)`
normalizes the raw statsapi.mlb.com object into the archetype classifier's
input shape + display rows. `getPlayerIntel` classifies from REAL stats now.
Adapters are injectable (`opts.mlbAdapter`/`opts.resolveStats`) — tests never
hit the network. NBA/WNBA uses `nbaStatsClient` (Python service, usually
offline in prod → degrades to `found:false`, NOT an error).
- **Grade-card intel** — `analyzeViaEngine1.buildIntelFields(features)` computes
stat-context + form/usage/matchup/rest from the EXISTING feature vector (no
extra I/O) and `Object.assign`s them onto the legacy result. `gradeAdapter`
maps them into the card. Archetype is deliberately NOT attached at grade time
(the per-prop feature vector has no multi-stat season line) — that strip waits
for the Session-44 pipeline. Keep grade-time I/O at zero (slate grades in tight
loops; this is why archetype isn't fetched per-prop).
- **slateAdapter** now emits `playerStrips` (`groupPropsByPlayer`) + `pitchers`
(`mapPitchers`) on every card. The LIVE slate still uses the legacy
`components/GameCard` (which ignores those + renders `BookChip` in its line
grid); the full swap to `vyndr/GameCard` is still pending (needs inline grading
ported). `mapPitchers` returns undefined for non-MLB / no probables.
- **depthChartService** (`getLineup`/`getDepthChart`/`getCascadeProjection`) +
`/api/stats/lineup|depth|cascade` are the foundation; all graceful + injectable.
`matchesTeam` must guard empty names (`t.includes('')` is always true) — and
the schedule `find` checks `g.home`/`g.away`, not the game object.
## VYNDR Original Archetypes + Make-It-Visible (Session 44 — non-obvious)
- **Archetype names are VYNDR Originals** (TORCH/BOMBER/ALPHA/…), NOT the old
descriptive labels. The registry keys in `archetypeService.js` + the map keys
in `lib/archetypes.js` are the new names; each carries `legacyName`/`legacy`
(the old label, NEVER displayed). `getArchetype()` + `archetypeInfo()` +
`badgeStyle()` resolve legacy names → the canonical VYNDR name (defends stale
cached data). The `classify()` scorer objects use the new keys too — if you
edit a threshold, use the new key. Full mapping is in `BACKEND_HANDOFF.md`.
- **MLB power merge:** there's ONE power archetype (BOMBER) — it fires for any
high-HR bat (incl. high-K sluggers like Judge → BOMBER). The old POWER PULL
slot became WHIFF (strikeout-artist pitcher). Don't re-split power.
- **`BACKEND_HANDOFF.md`** (repo root) is the canonical frontend↔backend data
contract — update it in the same commit when an endpoint/component shape changes.
- **Grade-card intel gotcha:** the engine→tierGating→/api/scan chain already
preserves the intel fields (everything spreads `...result`/`...data`). The bug
was `scan/page.tsx` passing a hardcoded field subset to `mapScanToGradeResult`
— it must forward season_avg/last10_avg/form/usage/matchup_grade/rest/archetype
/archetype_blend/prop_dna (and `ScanResponse` must type them) or the card
sections stay hidden.
- **Stale games:** `slateAdapter.isRelevantGame(game, now)` drops completed games
>24h old; `Slate.filteredGames` applies it. Schedule TTL is 60s.
- **GameCard swap is DEFERRED** (Kev's call): the live Slate keeps the legacy
on-demand "Read" card as a bridge until the snapshot pipeline lands. The
on-demand grade model is being retired for a pre-graded snapshot model; the
vyndr/GameCard (playerStrips/pitchers) is built for that and swaps in then.
Don't swap it before the grades cache is populated (cards would be blank).
## Snapshot Pipeline (Session 45 — the product model)
The on-demand "Read" grade flow is RETIRED. Grades are produced by a scheduled
snapshot, locked to the line, and read from cache.
- **`snapshotService.runSnapshot(sport)`** orchestrates EXISTING services (don't
rebuild): getOdds → gradeAndCacheSlate (captured via an injected cacheSet, so
we re-write an ENRICHED envelope) → classify archetype per player
(resolvePlayerStats + archetypeService) → attach `gradedAt {line,odds,timestamp}`
→ `computeLineDeltas` vs previous → write `snapshot:{sport}:latest|previous` +
`grades:{sport}` → `generateTickerEvents` → `ticker:items`. ALL deps injectable
→ unit-tested with zero network. `runAllSnapshots()` is the cron entrypoint.
- **Redis keys:** `snapshot:{sport}:latest` (current locked snapshot:
{grades, deltas}), `:previous` (for the next delta), `grades:{sport}` (enriched,
read by GameCard/Explore/leaders), `ticker:items` (capped 50 array).
- **Trigger is INTERNAL-ONLY:** `POST /api/internal/snapshot/:sport|/all` behind
`requireInternalAuth` (header `x-internal-key` == `VYNDR_INTERNAL_KEY`). `/all`
is registered BEFORE `/:sport` or Express captures "all" as a sport.
- **Cron:** `src/snapshotScheduler.js`, gated `SNAPSHOT_CRON=1`, UTC hours
14,19,22,1,3, armed in server.js (NOT app.js — app.js is imported by tests).
No new dependency. For multi-replica, use an external n8n cron hitting the
internal endpoint instead.
- **Read path:** `GET /api/snapshot/:sport` (public, cache-only, never triggers a
snapshot → can't drain PropLine). `GET /api/ticker` (public, merges
`TICKER_MANUAL` env pins).
- **GameCard swap:** the live Slate renders `vyndr/GameCard` (legacy GameCard kept
for TYPES only — `import type`). It overlays snapshot grades onto each game's
odds-derived props via `slateAdapter.buildPlayerStripsFromProps` (player name
once + archetype + locked grade + line-delta sub-line). Ungraded → "Awaiting
next scan", NO Read button. `StatStrip` renders the gradedAt/delta sub-line when
a prop carries `gradedAt`/`delta`/`awaiting` (snapshot mode), else the inline chip.
- **Ticker** (`vyndr/Ticker`) polls `/api/ticker` every 30s; the passed items are
the initial + graceful fallback (never blanks on fetch failure).
- **NBA/WNBA stats:** `espnStatsAdapter` is the FREE fallback when the Python
nba_api service is offline. `parseAthleteStats` is DEFENSIVE (null on any shape
it doesn't recognize → found:false). Its live ESPN shape may need prod tuning.
- **Env:** PROPLINE_API_KEY_1/2/3, VYNDR_INTERNAL_KEY, SNAPSHOT_CRON=1,
SNAPSHOT_HOURS_UTC (optional), TICKER_MANUAL (JSON array).
## Grade Intel + Name Norm + Pitchers (Session 46 — non-obvious)
- **Grade-card intel root cause:** `buildIntelFields` reads l5_avg/l20_avg/
opp_rank_stat/rest_days from the feature vector. `gameLogService.getGameLogs`
is NBA/WNBA-ONLY (offline Python service) → MLB props had NO recent/season
averages → intel always empty. FIX: `featureCache.gameLogFeatures` has an MLB
branch using `mlbStatsAdapter.getPlayerStats` + the pure `mlbGameLogFeatures`
(MLB stat_type→game-log field via `MLB_LOG_FIELD`). If you add an MLB stat
type, add it to `MLB_LOG_FIELD` or its intel won't compute. `buildIntelFields`
also takes `{ playerStats, projection }` fallbacks — don't remove the resilience.
- **Player name normalization:** `src/utils/playerName.js` is the source of truth
(frontend copy at `web/src/lib/playerName.js` — keep them identical; a test
cross-checks). `normalizeName(raw)→{display,key}`: display strips periods +
de-dots suffix (keeps accents); key accent-folds + suffix-strips for comparison.
Used in snapshotService grouping, slateAdapter grade-index + player-strip
merge, and playerIntelService. `sanitizePlayerName` now returns the de-dotted
display ("A.J. Ewing"→"AJ Ewing") — tests that asserted the dotted form were
updated.
- **MLB pitchers:** the ESPN `/api/schedule` has NO probable pitchers. They come
from `GET /api/schedule/:sport/pitchers` (MLB) → `probablePitchers` service →
`mlbStatsAdapter.getScheduleWithPitchers`. The Slate matches them to games by
team (full name OR mascot via `slateAdapter.buildPitcherMap`/`pitchersForGameTeams`).
ERA is best-effort (season stats per pitcher id, cached).
## Name Norm + Intel + Ticker (Session 47 — non-obvious)
- **Name normalization is now complete:** `playerName.js` (both copies, kept
identical) strips parenthetical team tags ("(STL)"), de-dots, suffix-strips,
accent-folds the key, AND resolves first-name nicknames via the `NICKNAMES`
table ("matt"→"matthew"). `nameKey` does the nickname resolution; `normalizeName`
does display/key. To add a nickname, edit BOTH copies. The SLATE displays the
normalized de-dotted name (`buildPlayerStripsFromProps` → `normalizeName().display`),
not raw PropLine — that's why "AJ Ewing" shows, not "A.J. Ewing".
- **MLB VYNDR INTELLIGENCE fields** come from `mlbGameLogFeatures`: `rest_days`
(gap-1 between the two latest game dates; 0 = B2B), `ab_per_game` (usage). If a
field is missing from the card, check that `mlbGameLogFeatures` produced it and
`buildIntelFields` has a branch (usage reads usage_rate→minutes→ab_per_game;
matchup reads opp_rank_stat→bvp_advantage).
- **Ticker SCAN dedup:** `pushTickerItems` keeps one SCAN per sport (via the
`sport` field on the event, or parsed from the text prefix for legacy items).
MOVE/GRADE are time-specific and never deduped.
- **BOMBER threshold is prorated for mid-season** (`hr>=15` strong / `hr>=10`
moderate). If you re-tune archetype thresholds, remember season totals are
partial mid-season — don't use full-season cutoffs.
## Normalization Chokepoints (Session 48 — non-obvious)
- **The snapshot is the normalization SOURCE.** `snapshotService.runSnapshot`
normalizes every grade's player to `normalizeName().display` AND dedupes to one
grade per `nameKey|stat_type` (highest confidence) before writing
`grades:{sport}` + `snapshot:{sport}:latest`. So GameCard overlay, Explore,
leaders, and profile activeProps ALL inherit clean, merged names — don't add
per-consumer normalization, fix it here.
- **Three paths that needed it (all fixed):** snapshot grades (above);
`buildPlayerStripsFromProps` dedupes a player's props by stat (graded > awaiting);
scan `tonightsPlayers` groups by `nameKey`. If a NEW surface lists players,
group by `nameKey` + display `normalizeName().display`.
- **TWO intel renderers — don't confuse them:** the GRADE CARD (scan) uses
`analyzeViaEngine1.buildIntelFields(features)`; the PLAYER PROFILE uses
`playerIntelService.buildIntel(stats)`. The "+0%"/"—" bug was the PROFILE's
defaults — fixed by `resolvePlayerStats` attaching real `usage` (AB/G) + `rest`
and `buildIntel` reading them. The grade card already worked (the full feature
merge carries ab_per_game/rest_days; `FEATURE_NAMES` is meta bookkeeping only,
NOT a whitelist that filters the vector).
## Onboarding Flow (Session 49 — non-obvious)
- **Preferences live in Supabase `user_metadata.preferences`** (NO table/migration).
`src/routes/preferences.js` GET/POST behind `requireAuth`, read/written via the
service client's `auth.admin.getUserById`/`updateUserById`. POST is a PARTIAL
merge (only body keys change) + sanitized (valid sports only, ≤12 books, clamped
limit). Shape: `{ sports[], books[], weekly_limit, onboarding_complete }`.
- **Redirect reads FRESH from the API, not session metadata.** The dashboard
fetches `/api/preferences` on mount and redirects new+incomplete users to
`/onboarding`. Don't rely on `session.user.user_metadata` for this — it's stale
after a backend write (admin API doesn't refresh the client session).
- **Existing users are exempt** via a `created_at >= ONBOARDING_CUTOFF`
(2026-06-19) check. The redirect effect also early-returns while `authLoading`
(else it bounces unauthenticated users to onboarding instead of login).
- **Dashboard personalization:** Slate `initialTab = prefs.sports[0]`; preferred
books highlight in the card lines grid via `lib/books.js isPreferredBook`
(matches DK/draftkings/DraftKings), threaded dashboard → Slate → vyndr/GameCard.
- **Settings** has a PREFERENCES section (GET to load, POST to save) — the same
sports/books/limit the onboarding collects.
- **Name micro-fix:** `playerName.js` `collapseInitials` merges "J C" → "JC"
(display + key) so space-separated initials dedupe.
## Name Edge Cases + Audit Polish (Session 54 — non-obvious)
- `normalizeName` now also **strips hyphens** to spaces ("Jung-hoo" → "Jung hoo")
in display+key; `nameKey` **strips single-letter MIDDLE tokens** ("Josh H Smith"
→ "josh smith") — keeps first (may be a collapsed initial like "jc") + last, so
real middle names ("Juan Carlos Smith") and first initials are NOT dropped.
`richie: 'richard'` added to NICKNAMES. Both copies kept identical.
- **Accent-keep dedup** (`snapshotService`): the variant-grade collapse keeps the
highest-CONFIDENCE grade but the richest DISPLAY (prefers accented "José" over
"Jose", then longer). That's why prop rows now match the accented pitcher line.
`hasAccent` uses a charCode>127 check (NOT a regex with literal control bytes).
- **Team Hub names** are normalized in `teamService.getTeamHub` (the source), not
the page — every `/api/team/:abbr` consumer gets `normalizeName().display`.
## Parlay Lab (Session 50 — non-obvious)
- **Correlation model** lives in `src/services/parlayService.js` (ADDED to the
S28 categorical matrix — both coexist). `correlationScore(l1,l2)` is numeric +
GAME-aware (0.7 same-player/game, 0.4 same-team/game, 0.2 same-game, 0.0 diff-
game). `combinedGrade` penalizes the leg-grade avg by `avgCorrelation*0.5`;
`estimatedPayout` = Πfair-odds × (1avgCorr) discount. `gradeParlay` is the
bundle the route returns. Leg shape: `{ player, team, game, stat, grade }`.
- **POST /api/parlay/grade** (`src/routes/parlay.js`) — public, 26 legs, returns
`{ combined, correlation, payout, legs }`. The Next proxy was pointed at the
WRONG upstream (`/api/scan/parlay`); it now forwards to `/api/parlay/grade`.
- **ParlayContext auto-grades** the slip (debounced 250ms) via that endpoint
whenever legs change (≥2). `combined`/`correlation`/`payout` are live on the
context — don't call the endpoint from components, read the context.
- **Leg cap is tier-aware via the context.** `maxLegs` defaults 6; `ParlayPanel`
sets it from `useAuth().tier` (free 2 / analyst 4 / desk 6). `addLeg` reads a
ref so it stays a stable callback. The "+" buttons no-op at the cap.
- **"+" wiring:** `StatStrip` takes `onAddLeg`/`isLegActive`; `vyndr/GameCard`
provides them via `useParlay` (it owns the game id + team). `legKey` =
`player|stat|line|direction` is the dedupe key (exported from the context).
- **ParlayPanel** (mounted in layout, REPLACED `ParlayTray` which called a
then-missing `/grade` endpoint). Floating badge bottom-right when closed; free
tier blurs the payout with a `window.__goPaywall` upsell.
## Team Hub (Session 51 — non-obvious)
- **`teamService.getTeamHub(sport, abbr)`** is the single payload builder for
`/team/:abbr`. MLB is the real path: `mlbStatsAdapter.resolveTeam` (abbr→id via
the cached `/teams` list) → `getTeamRoster` → per-player `getSeasonAverages(id)`
(bounded concurrency 8, reuses `playerIntelService._internals` mappers) →
archetype (the snapshot grade's locked archetype, else `classify`) → graded
props from `grades:{sport}`. The whole hub is cached 15 min (`teamhub:{sport}:
{abbr}`); each player's season stats cache 6h. NBA/WNBA have no free roster
feed → it returns a partial roster built from tonight's graded players + a note.
All deps injectable for tests.
- **To add a sport's roster**, add a real roster source in `getTeamHub` (the MLB
branch is the template); abbr→id mapping is fetched live from statsapi (no
hardcoded team table to maintain).
- **`GET /api/team/:abbr`** (public, cached) 404s an unknown MLB team. Browser
must use the Next proxy `app/api/team/[abbr]`.
- **Page split:** `team/[abbr]/page.tsx` is a server wrapper (for
`generateMetadata`) rendering the `TeamHub` client component (sort/filter/parlay
are interactive). Player names → `playerHref`; team abbrs on game cards →
`vyndr/GameCard`'s `TeamLink` (stops propagation from the open-game handler).
The roster "+" reuses the Parlay Lab (`useParlay`/`legKey`).
## Infra Verification (Session 52 — non-obvious)
- **`GET /api/internal/snapshot/status`** (internal-key gated) is the post-deploy
health probe: `{ cron_armed, cron_hours_utc, last_snapshot, redis_keys,
ticker_count }`. Use it to confirm the snapshot pipeline is alive without
shelling into the container.
- **Scheduler logs both states** on start: armed (`[snapshotScheduler] armed —
SNAPSHOT_CRON=…`) and disarmed. If you see neither in container logs,
`startSnapshotScheduler()` isn't being called.
- **`SNAPSHOT_DEBUG=1`** turns on a per-run `[deltas]` log in `computeLineDeltas`
(off by default — it's a hot path). Confirms a previous snapshot exists to diff.
- **Redis persistence is NOT app-controlled.** ioredis connects via `REDIS_URL`;
AOF/RDB is a server-side Coolify config. Snapshot keys disappearing on restart
= the Redis instance has persistence off, not a code bug.
- **Push-to-Book is a TEASER only** — "BOOK IT ⟶" (StatStrip) + "PUSH-TO-BOOK ·
COMING SOON" (GradeResultCard) advertise an unbuilt feature. No backend.
## Social Preview / OG Image (Session 53 — non-obvious)
- The OG/Twitter image is **dynamically generated** by the file-based convention
`web/src/app/opengraph-image.tsx` (Twitter re-exports it). Do NOT re-add an
`images: ['/og-image.png']` to the `layout.tsx` metadata — that emits a second,
conflicting `og:image` tag. The legacy static `/og-image.png` still exists in
`public/` but is unreferenced.
- It uses **Node runtime, NOT `runtime = 'edge'`** — this is a self-hosted
`output: 'standalone'` build; edge runtime isn't available off Vercel and breaks
`next/og` here. Don't copy the edge example from Next docs.
- Social copy is intentionally jargon-free (no "Bayesian"/"kill conditions"/"xG
regression"). "kill conditions" is still legit IN-APP product copy (help/pricing/
scan) — only the social meta was cleaned.
## Self-Learning Loop + Real-Time Layer (Session 55 — non-obvious)
- **`outcomeService.settleSnapshot(sport, deps)`** is the self-learning loop:
reads `snapshot:{sport}:latest`, settles each locked grade vs the REAL result
from `mlbStatsAdapter.getPlayerStats().last10` (game-log row whose `date`
matches the graded date — UTC **or** ET, to cover late-game rollover), records
hit/miss/push, and writes `outcomes:{sport}:log` + `accuracy:{sport}` +
`accuracy:overall`. **Idempotent** — dedupe key is `nameKey|stat|line|side|date`;
re-running never double-counts. Presence of a game-log row ⇒ the game is FINAL
(no separate status check). NBA/WNBA have no free settled-result feed → they
stay `pending` (never throw). If you add an MLB stat_type, add it to
`MLB_LOG_FIELD` in outcomeService (a LOCAL copy — settlement is decoupled from
featureCache's map on purpose) or its props won't settle.
- **Accuracy pct EXCLUDES pushes** (`hits/(hits+misses)`); `sample` counts pushes.
Grade buckets: `A+` stands alone, then first-letter (`A-`/`A`→A, ``/`B`→B).
30-day trailing window keyed off each outcome's game `date`.
- **The cron settles BEFORE it grades** (`snapshotScheduler` tick): settle
yesterday's now-completed games, then grade today's fresh slate. Trigger
manually via internal `POST /api/internal/outcomes/all` (same key as snapshot).
- **`GET /api/accuracy`** (public, cached) + **`GET /api/ledger/accuracy`**
(buckets — the pre-existing Next `ledger/accuracy` proxy finally has a writer).
Browser reaches them via `web/src/app/api/accuracy/route.ts` (new proxy) — same
S25 rule.
- **`AccuracyBadge`** (`@/components/vyndr`) is HONEST: `< MIN_SAMPLE` (8 settled)
→ "MODEL · LEARNING" (amber), else "A-RATED · X% HIT · 30D" (green). Pass
`sport=` for a sport-specific record. Self-hides only when the fetch fails/empty.
- **Settled outcomes overlay the live slate:** `GET /api/snapshot/:sport` merges
`outcomes:{sport}:log` onto grades (`outcome:{result,actual}`), threaded through
`slateAdapter.buildPlayerStripsFromProps` → `StatStrip.OutcomeChip` (`✓ HIT (2)`
/ `✕ MISS`). A settled prop hides its "+parlay" / BOOK-IT chips (the bet is over).
- **Real-time Slate:** `fetchSlate(tab, silent=true)` polls every 60s WITHOUT the
skeleton flash and NEVER wipes a good view on a transient empty result (guard:
`if (silent && allGames.length===0) return`). The "SIGNAL LIVE · UPDATED Xs ago"
strip uses `lastRefreshed` + a 15s `nowTick`. Ticker has an anchored LIVE badge
that flashes on a new head event.
- **Founder pricing:** `stripeService` `FOUNDER_CODE_EXPIRY` default is now
`2026-12-31` (was `2026-06-30`, which had lapsed and disabled every founder code
+ the ClaimMeter pitch). That expiry lapsing — NOT a tier-limit change — was the
cause of the "4 stripe test failures." Operators override via `FOUNDER_CODE_EXPIRY`.
## Data Audit + Pipeline Resilience (Session 56 — non-obvious)
- **`specs/propline-audit.md` + `specs/vyndr-roadmap.md` are the source of truth**
for data coverage + the session plan. Re-run `node scripts/propline-audit.js`
(writes raw JSON to stdout; live sections need network) to refresh.
- **A market only fully works if it's wired at FOUR layers:** requested in
`proplineAdapter.MARKETS`, mapped in `oddsNormalizer.MARKET_MAP`, whitelisted in
all three grade gates (`routes/analyze.js`, `routes/scan.js`,
`python/utils/validation.py`), AND (for MLB) present in `MLB_LOG_FIELD` in BOTH
`featureCache` and `outcomeService`. Miss the map → silent zero; miss the log
field → no features + no settlement. `batter_rbis` was mapped to `rbis` while
everything else keyed on `rbi` — a 4-layer desync that silently killed RBI
props. It's `rbi` now; a normalizer test locks it.
- **The streaks/hotlist path uses its own `rbis` key** built from raw MLB stats —
independent of the odds normalizer. Don't "unify" them; the split is intentional.
- **MLB is the ONLY end-to-end-live sport.** Outcome settlement is MLB-only
(WNBA/NBA/soccer grades never settle → `accuracy` reflects MLB only). Fixing
that (ESPN box-score settle path) is roadmap Session 57.
- **`src/utils/opsNotify.js`** pushes pipeline alerts to ntfy (`vyndr-pipeline-
kev2026`). It NEVER throws and is auto-disabled under `NODE_ENV==='test'` /
`PIPELINE_ALERTS=0` (inject `fetchImpl` to test it). `snapshotService` alerts on
success/stale/failure; `snapshotScheduler` has a per-minute missed-cron watchdog
(`isSnapshotOverdue`, exposed as `overdue` on the status probe).
- **Snapshot retry rule:** retry-once ONLY on a thrown/null odds response (a
transient provider blip). A successful-but-empty slate is NOT retried — that's a
legit off-hours empty slate, and retrying would waste quota + add 60s latency.
## Phase 0 — Kill the Lies (Session 57 — non-obvious)
Work-order Phase 0 (Jul 10 live audit): fabricated UI deleted/rewired. The
overhaul work order lives in `specs/phase-0-kill-the-lies.md` (+ the full
phased plan in the Session-57 conversation / BUILD-STATE Next section).
- **ESPN schedule is date-pinned now.** `fetchScheduleFromEspn(sport, date)`
sends `?dates=YYYYMMDD` AND filters events to the requested ET date (undated
events dropped). Without this, off-season ESPN returns the NEAREST slate —
the Jun 13 NYK@SA Finals game rendered as "tonight" all July. Don't remove
the defensive filter even though the param "should" be enough.
- **`liveTick` carries NO display data** — state is `{ tick }` only (1s
re-render pulse). Real header numbers come from `GET /api/snapshot/summary`
(public, cache-only; registered BEFORE `/:sport` in `routes/snapshot.js`).
`vyndrSystems.test.js` fails if fabricated counters reappear.
- **Ticker hides below 4 real items** (spec §3) and publishes `--ticker-h`
(32px/0px) on `<html>`. Layout main paddingTop = `calc(92px +
var(--ticker-h, 0px))`, Slate sticky top = `calc(90px + ...)`. If you change
header heights, update BOTH calc bases (they replace the old 124/122
constants). No hardcoded fallback ticker items — real exhaust or nothing.
- **/terminal redirects to /dashboard.** The old page's layouts (VVI cards,
injury wire, leaders) are preserved UNROUTED in
`web/src/components/intel/TerminalTemplates.tsx` as §12 content-engine
templates — every constant in there is SAMPLE data; never route it as-is.
BottomTabBar's 5 tabs are now Slate/Explore/Scan/Ledger/More.
- **Empty slates use `web/src/lib/emptyState.js`** (month-aware per-sport
copy). It's CommonJS + unit-tested; add sports there, not inline.
## Phase 1 — Truth Infrastructure (Session 58 — non-obvious)
- **DATA SEMANTICS RULE (system-wide):** VYNDR never generates lines/odds —
market values are REAL book numbers captured at a timestamp; only
`model_value`/grade/edge/confidence are model output, always labeled MODEL
in the UI. Any path that would fill in a market value must show an absent
state. `Number(null) === 0` is the classic fabrication bug — use
`numOrNull` (ledgerService) style strict parsing.
- **`ledger_entries`** (migration 019, APPLIED): user_id NULL rows = the
PUBLIC model record (pipeline-only — never write anon scans there!).
Dedupe = `UNIQUE NULLS NOT DISTINCT (user_id, player_key, stat, line,
side, game_id)`; upserts use `ignoreDuplicates: true` so re-runs never
overwrite the original lock. RLS: clients read own rows + public rows;
ALL writes via service role. player_key = `nameKey()`.
- **Write paths:** pipeline → `snapshotService` calls
`ledgerService.recordPipelineGrades` + `captureClosing` (best-effort,
never breaks the snapshot; no-op without SUPABASE env). User scans →
the NEXT `/api/scan` route (`writeLedgerEntry`), authed users only.
- **Closing/CLV:** captureClosing overwrites today's unsettled rows'
closing_line/odds on EVERY snapshot — last write before game start is the
close. CLV is SIGNED BY SIDE: over = locked closing (positive = market
moved toward the grade = 'beat'); under = inverse. Settlement
(`settleLedger`) runs in the scheduler's pre-grade settle pass and via
POST /api/internal/ledger/settle; idempotent (`.is('outcome', null)` guard).
- **Insufficient data (work-order 1.5):** `analyzeViaEngine1` REFUSES
(grade null + `insufficient_data: true`) when `projectionFor` finds no
model reference (l5→l20→`{stat}_per_90`→xG-for-goals). gradeSlateService
filters refusals out of the slate; parlay legs degrade to the F-stub; the
scan route writes nothing and doesn't burn a scan. If you add a sport,
make sure its feature extractor emits a projection field or every prop
refuses.
- **n≥20 rule:** `getModelAggregate` returns `hit_pct`/`beat_close_pct` as
NULL under 20 settles; every surface (ledger MODEL tab, `ModelRecord`)
renders "RECORD BUILDING" instead. Never render a % on a small sample.
- **SYNC thresholds** come from `SNAPSHOT_EXPECTED_INTERVAL` (s; default
18000) via /api/snapshot/summary `expected_interval_s`. Phase 2.5 drops
the value to the intraday cadence — no UI change needed.
## Player Keys + Slate Join + Mobile Nav (Session 59 — non-obvious)
- **`mlbStatsAdapter.searchPlayer` resolves via `nameKey`** (canonical,
accent-folded). NEVER reintroduce substring matching — it returned the
WRONG player's id on a near-miss (the audit's mismatched last-10 bug).
Fallback is unique last-name+first-initial or null: a missing profile
beats another player's log.
- **The slate JOIN INVARIANT** lives in `buildPlayerStripsFromProps(…,
gameTeams)`: a graded prop whose player's real team (snapshot `team`,
from the stats resolve) isn't a game participant is DROPPED. Props with
no team info are kept (can't verify ≠ wrong). Tests in
slateAdapterStrips lock it.
- **grades:{sport} is written with SNAP_TTL (6h), NOT 2h** — the 2h TTL
expired between 5h-apart cron runs and blanked /team + Explore mid-day.
- **Sport tabs are THE filter** (?sport= URL param, history.replaceState).
The dashboard has NO second tablist — legacy sections subscribe via
Slate's `onTabChange`. Don't re-add a duplicate tab row.
- **`lib/pipelineSchedule.js` mirrors SNAPSHOT_HOURS_UTC** (14,19,22,1,3)
for "Grades post ~X ET" waiting states; a test cross-checks it against
snapshotScheduler.HOURS_UTC. Change the cron → change both.
- **BottomTabBar shows on '/'** — hiding it there left anon phones with
ZERO navigation (desktop links hide <768, hamburger retired). HIDE_ON is
auth flows only.
- **GameCard collapse**: 6 graded props max (sorted A+→F), "ALL N READS →"
expands in place; GAME LINES <640px = `.gl-summary` best-line row +
expander revealing `.gl-full.gl-expanded`.
## Night-2 Board (Session 60 — non-obvious)
- **SNAP_TTL is 24h ON PURPOSE** (was 6h): the overnight cron gap is 11h;
a shorter TTL silently kills the morning accuracy settle. AUTONOMY.md is
the zero-touch trace — update it when the loop's shape changes.
- **The snapshot pipeline FEEDS the aggregator**: `mergeRosterLogs` writes
`rosterlogs:{sport}` (72h TTL, cap 300) from the same stats resolve that
classifies archetypes. Streaks/hot-lists starve if you remove it — the
external prefetch (n8n/tank01) was never armed.
- **THE LENS RULE**: no raw streak renders alone — `streakLens.applyLens`
attaches built-vs / tonight's matchup (+opposing SP ERA for MLB batters)
/ difficulty / one-line read. Absent context = say less, never invent.
Streaks are FREE for every tier; hot lists keep the free top-3 gate.
- **Phase 2.5 lives in `intradayRefreshService`**: signed delta vs the
GRADED side; STEAM never re-grades; ≥1.0 against re-grades THAT prop at
the real current line; a dropped grade sets `revised_from_grade` ONCE
(the original letter is forever). `applyRevision` only touches unsettled
public rows. Scheduler skips full-snapshot slots; INTRADAY_REFRESH=0
kills it. After deploy set SNAPSHOT_EXPECTED_INTERVAL=1200.
- **/api/players/search is the canonical resolver** (nameKey fuzzy; MLB =
statsapi list, others = cached names). The Python service is a fallback
only. Never reintroduce raw-substring matching.
- **Landing renders instantly for anon**: `hasStoredSession()` sync
localStorage gate — do NOT re-block the marketing render on
`useAuth().loading`; that was the 34s LOADING THE SLATE bug.
- **QA.2022 in vyndrParityQA** lock the night's color semantics (STEAM
amber / VALUE green / red = STALE-or-miss only), mono data surfaces, and
schedule-derived waiting copy. Keep them green.
## Affiliate + Partner Plumbing (A1 S3 — non-obvious)
- **Every sportsbook link goes through `web/src/lib/bookLinks.js`**
(`buildBookLink` → `{url, tracking}`; unknown book → null). The affiliate
layer is `web/src/lib/affiliateConfig.js` — ALL books `enabled:false` (no
program approved); flipping a book + filling params produces tracked URLs
with NO component changes. Empty param values are SKIPPED (a half-filled
config degrades to organic, never a fabricated id). Anchors MUST render
`rel={BOOK_LINK_REL}` ("sponsored noopener noreferrer") — tests assert it.
- **Best-price dot honesty rule:** `slateAdapter.detectBestBook(rows, side,
refLine)` returns a book ONLY when ≥2 books post the SAME line for the side
and prices differ — never compare odds across different lines, never mark a
lone price "best". The per-book rows reach the browser as `lines[]` on each
grouped prop; `Slate.groupByGame` now threads them as `books` on PropRowProp
(pickLine still picks the single displayed line).
- **Partner attribution:** `?ref=CODE` → `vyndr_ref` cookie (90d, FIRST-touch,
`lib/partnerRef.js` + `PartnerRefCapture` in layout) → `signUp` metadata
`partner_ref` → internal `GET /api/partners/report/:code`. The
`user_profiles.partner_ref` column does NOT exist yet — the endpoint returns
zeros + note until the TODO migration in `docs/PARTNERS.md` runs (metadata
lands in auth.users.raw_user_meta_data, which PostgREST can't query). OAuth
signups carry no metadata (known gap). Partner code == Stripe promotion code,
verbatim (docs/PARTNERS.md §3).
- **Worktree build gotcha:** `web/node_modules` isn't shared into git worktrees
and Turbopack REJECTS a symlink pointing outside the project root — use
`cp -al` (hardlink copy) from the main repo's web/node_modules.
## Newsletter — THE VYNDR REPORT (Session S7, a1 — non-obvious)
- **`newsletterService`** is the whole layer: `buildDailyReport(sports, deps)`
(deterministic VOICE v1.1 template over snapshot grades + streak lens +
`getModelAggregate`; every dep injectable), `subscribe(email)` and
`sendDailyReport(opts)` (Listmonk, self-hosted, zero out-of-pocket). ALL
Listmonk paths are env-gated on `LISTMONK_URL/USER/TOKEN/LIST_ID` — any
missing → `{ ok:false, reason:'not configured' }`, and the capture UI shows
"Signups open soon". Auth is the API-user scheme `Authorization: token
user:token`, NOT basic auth.
- **Double opt-in is Listmonk's job:** subscribe sends
`preconfirm_subscriptions:false`; the list itself must be created as
double-opt-in (runbook: `docs/NEWSLETTER.md`). The email template embeds the
LITERAL `{{ UnsubscribeURL }}` — Listmonk substitutes per-recipient; never
"fix" it. A 409 (already subscribed) is returned as ok — no enumeration.
- **The send is deliberately unscheduled.** Only `POST
/api/internal/newsletter/send` (internal key) triggers it; an empty report
(0 signals AND 0 streaks) refuses to send. The record line renders a
percentage ONLY when `hit_pct != null` (n≥20 gate upstream in
`getModelAggregate`), else "RECORD BUILDING · N pending".
- **VOICE lint is executable:** `tests/unit/newsletterService.test.js` fails on
any `!`, banned vocabulary (word-boundary regex), or hype emoji in
subject/html/text. The RG disclaimer says "No outcome is promised" — the word
"guarantee" trips the lint even in a disclaimer, keep it out.
- **Capture placement:** the signup "done" card auto-redirects after 1.5s
(`setTimeout(router.replace)`) — useless for a form. The free-signup success
surface is `/welcome`. Landing capture sits below FAQ. Subscribe route is
10/min IP-limited → keep `tests/integration/newsletterRoute.test.js` under 10
subscribe requests (same lesson as analyze.test.js).
## Ops Self-Watch (Session 8, A1 board — non-obvious)
- **Pure alarm logic lives in `src/services/opsWatch.js`** (failure tracker,
zero-settle signal, quota daily check, pulse assembly) + `src/services/
systemHealth.js` (statfs/os, injectable). `snapshotScheduler` only WIRES
them — keep new alarm logic in opsWatch so it stays unit-testable.
- **Zero-settle signal = the ledger settle's own return values** (Postgres
`game_date < today AND outcome IS NULL`), NOT `snapshot:{sport}:previous` —
the snapshot key expires in exactly the failure mode the alarm exists to
catch (the S60 SNAP_TTL bug). Scoped to `SETTLEABLE_SPORTS` (mlb);
NBA/WNBA rows legitimately stay pending and must not page daily. Morning
slot only (`morningHourUtc` = first configured hour ≥ 06 UTC).
- **Failure pager pages ONCE per losing streak** (exactly at count 3), not
once per failing slot; `status:'skipped', reason:'no grades'` is NOT a
failure (props arrived, grader refused) and resets the counter.
- **Daily pulse** fires at `PULSE_HOUR_UTC` (default 13 = 9 AM EDT), one
notification, dual dedupe (in-process date + Redis `ops:pulse:{date}`).
Missing data renders 'n/a' — a pulse never fabricates a zero (Data
Semantics Rule applies to ops copy). All alert copy: no exclamation
points, ever (VOICE v1.1) — tests lint for it.
- **Single-suite jest runs of scheduler tests can hang at exit** when redis
is down (ioredis reconnect timer keeps the process alive) — PRE-EXISTING
at baseline, full-suite runs are unaffected. Don't chase it as a leak in
new code; inject cacheGet/cacheSet in tests to avoid creating a client.
- Box-side ops (Uptime Kuma, Coolify deploy-failure webhook, ntfy phone
setup) = `docs/OPS-RUNBOOK.md`.
## Slip Reader (Session 9, A1 board — non-obvious)
- **`src/services/slipReader.js`** — PURE per-book OCR-text layout parsers
(DK/FD/MGM/Caesars) + `detectBook` + `parseSlipText(text, bookHint)`. The
NEVER-GUESS contract: every field carries a confidence; below
`CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD` (0.6) the field is NULL + the leg `needs_review:true`.
Values are USER-SLIP values (`source:'user_slip'`) — never written to any
market cache. Stat labels normalize via `STAT_ALIASES` → the scan-route
vocabulary (a unit test cross-checks every alias against VALID_STAT_TYPES);
players via `playerName` normalizeName/nameKey.
- **Caesars head split is alias-anchored:** "Pete Alonso Home Runs Over 0.5"
is regex-ambiguous (greedy name eats "Home" → stat "runs" = WRONG-stat
fabrication). `splitPlayerStat` matches the LONGEST known stat alias the
head ENDS with; no alias → stat null AND player low-confidence (boundary
unknowable). BetMGM legs carry "@ -115" — don't pre-filter its lines with
the game-row `@` heuristic; the Over/Under grammar is the filter.
- **OCR = tesseract.js v7 (Apache-2.0), lazy-required** in `recognizeImage`
so the parsers load without WASM. ~46MB on disk (core WASM); eng
traineddata (~11MB) downloads ONCE at first recognize and caches at
`TESSERACT_CACHE_PATH` (default `.tesseract-cache/`) — first prod OCR call
needs outbound network, then it's fully offline.
- **`POST /api/slips/parse`** (requireAuth): base64/data-URL image ≤4MB
decoded OR raw `text` (paste path, also what hermetic route tests use).
Daily quota `slips:{user}:{YYYY-MM-DD}` — free 1/day, paid 10/day; Redis
counter with in-memory mirror (max of both enforces). Validation runs
BEFORE the quota is burned. Injectable via `router.__internals.setDeps`.
Next proxy: `web/src/app/api/slips/parse/route.ts` (S25 rule).
- **`/slip` page** (added to GATED_ROUTES): upload/paste → editable leg rows
(nulled fields amber; editing clears the flag) → each leg graded via the
EXISTING `POST /api/scan` (refusals render "NO GRADE — insufficient data")
→ `useParlay().addLeg` per graded leg → share card is copy-text (no OG
plumbing). Sport selector is MLB/NBA/WNBA (ParlayLeg's sport union).
- **Vision-model upgrade is POST-REVENUE** (specs/vyndr-roadmap.md) — the
route contract is the stable interface; only the extraction engine swaps.
## Public Ledger Profiles v1 (Session 10, A1 board — non-obvious)
- **`public_profiles` (migration 022) is PRIVATE BY DEFAULT** — `published`
DEFAULT FALSE, one explicit toggle in Settings, service-role writes only.
`GET /api/profiles/:handle` returns the SAME 404 body for unknown AND
unpublished handles (no existence leak) — keep them byte-identical; a
test diffs the two responses. A malformed handle 404s WITHOUT a DB query.
- **`getModelAggregate({ userId })`** swaps `.is('user_id', null)` for
`.eq('user_id', uid)` on BOTH the settled and pending queries — the same
30d window + n≥20 gate over one user's ledger. The no-userId default is
the public model record and must stay untouched.
- **The user's public entries are SETTLED rows only** (`.not('outcome',
'is', null)`, newest 50, same columns as /api/ledger) — pending reads are
not public until they settle, and nothing is curated: misses included.
- **`/u` is in OPEN_ROUTES on purpose** — the share surface must load
anonymous; the privacy gate is the API's 404, never the router.
- **Jest from a worktree gotcha:** the repo config's `testPathIgnorePatterns`
includes `/.claude/`, which matches EVERY path inside
`.claude/worktrees/...` → "No tests found". Run with
`npx jest --testPathIgnorePatterns "/node_modules/"` from a worktree
(CLI replaces the config array).
## Row Grammar + Display Layer (Session S6, A1 board — non-obvious)
- **`specs/ROW-GRAMMAR.md` is LAW**, locked by `tests/unit/rowGrammar.test.js`
(source-order assertions on StatStrip). Prop-row slot order: identity →
viability → stat+line → market context (best dot, movement chip) → model
output (revision strike, grade) → outcome → actions → provenance. If you
reorder a StatStrip element, amend the spec + test in the same commit or
the suite fails. Red = settled-negative ONLY (miss/dead/stale/faded); the
line sparkline is green(toward)/amber(against)/dim(flat), never red.
- **Sparkline history is captured by `intradayRefreshService.trackHistory`**
— {t, line} on each grade, seeded with the LOCKED line, deduped when flat
(a point means the line MOVED), capped 24, persisted inside the snapshot
write-back (no new Redis keys). `StatStrip.LineSparkline` needs ≥3 points.
`Number(null) === 0` struck again here — all three S6 numeric paths
(trackHistory, last10Dots line, clvBucketIndex) use strict null guards.
- **`last10_dots` is attached at READ time** in `routes/snapshot.js` from
`rosterlogs:{sport}` via `services/last10Dots` (reuses streaksService
accessors — new MLB accessors runs/doubles/triples/outs live THERE, one
source of truth). Dots score vs the LOCKED line (gradedAt.line), not the
current line.
- **`clv_distribution` lives in `getModelAggregate`** behind the SAME n≥20
gate as hit_pct (null below) — never re-derive the gate in a consumer.
Buckets clamp outliers into the edges ([-2,-1) … (1,2]).
- **Global search** — `window.__search` + ⌘K registered in GlobalHosts;
SearchModal fans out to `/api/players/search` per sport (MLB/NBA/WNBA) +
static `web/src/lib/teams.js` (soccer deliberately ABSENT — no canonical
registry; add it with the soccer team hub, not before). BottomTabBar keeps
the Explore tab; Search is the first More-sheet item.
- **LCP mechanics:** `fade-up` now floors at opacity .6 — a 0-start entrance
animation makes the hero h1 a LATE LCP candidate (invisible content isn't
contentful). IBM Plex Mono is `preload:false` (decorative face; its 4
weight files competed with Inter + CSS on slow 4G). Measure before/after
via PageSpeed post-deploy — not runnable from the box.
## Live Tracking (Session S11, A1 board — non-obvious)
- **GRADES NEVER CHANGE IN-GAME.** `liveTrackingService` + `/api/live/:sport`
produce per-player CURRENT box values; `web/src/lib/liveProgress.js` turns
them into PROTO-OUTCOMES rendered in the ROW-GRAMMAR outcome slot
(`StatStrip.LiveTracker`). Spec = `specs/LIVE-TRACKING.md`; slot-6 + color
amendments are locked in `rowGrammar.test.js` — an in-progress prop is
NEVER red (green = hit/on-pace/holding, amber = needs/line-passed).
- **THREE MLB stat maps now exist on purpose** — do NOT merge them:
`featureCache.MLB_LOG_FIELD` (features), `outcomeService.MLB_LOG_FIELD`
(settlement, game-log rows pick ONE group by position), and
`liveTrackingService.LIVE_BOX_FIELD` (live boxscore carries BOTH
stats.batting AND stats.pitching per player → each stat names its group,
and innings_pitched parses in THIRDS: '5.2' = 5⅔ — parseFloat is wrong).
Adding an MLB stat_type = wire all three.
- **Absent beats zero, live edition:** a player not yet in the game has
EMPTY `stats.batting`/`stats.pitching` objects (MLB) or `didNotPlay`/empty
stats row (ESPN WNBA) → he is OMITTED from the live index. Never coerce to 0.
- **Quota shape:** `live:{sport}:{date}` TTL 90s is the shared window — 1
schedule (`hydrate=linescore`, so inning progress costs no extra call) + 1
boxscore per live game per 90s TOTAL across all users; zero boxscore calls
when nothing is live. The Slate polls `/api/live/{sport}` every 60s ONLY
while live mlb/wnba games are on screen. The route never fetches for
unwired sports (short-circuits before the service).
- **The strip join needs `statType`** — `buildPlayerStripsFromProps` now puts
the canonical lowercase stat key on every strip prop (`stat` is the short
display label like 'TB' and can't be joined on). attachLiveProgress only
touches graded, unsettled, non-dead props, and computes state vs the
LOCKED line (`gradedAt.line`). Under semantics are HOLDS-IF: an under is
never 'hit' until the settle pass; exceeded → amber LINE PASSED, not red.
- **Actions are suppressed while live** (`!p.live` on ParlayBtn/BookIt —
the pre-game market for a locked line closed at first pitch); the label
"TRACKING — READ LOCKED PRE-GAME" renders once per live card (GameCard,
dim — it's meta, not a caution signal).
## Probability Layer + Grade Range (Session 63 — non-obvious)
- **`gameLogService.getGameLogs` is a TRAP: it returns null for MLB by
construction** (`pythonPath` `default: return null`) and depends on the Python
service, which is OFFLINE in prod. Anything wired to it is dead. S46 fixed this
for FEATURES (`featureCache.gameLogFeatures` MLB branch) but NOT for the
estimator — so `meta.gameLogs` was `[]` for every sport and `p_win`, `ev_pct`,
`kelly`, `model_odds`, `value` were absent on 100% of live grades for months.
**`featureCache.getStatRows(player, sport, statType)` is now the one true source
of normalized per-game rows** (`[{date, [statType]: v}]`, MOST-RECENT-FIRST —
the estimator treats `slice(0,5)` as the recency window). Use it; never add a
new caller of `gameLogService` directly.
- **Hero v2 requires a finite `ev_pct`** — when EV was dead it matched nothing and
fell through to the recent-read fallback silently (`is_recent:true` was the
tell). A "working" endpoint returning data is not proof the intended rule ran.
- **`confidence` is NOT a probability.** engine1 picks a letter from an additive
factor index, then reads that letter's band MIDPOINT out of
`grade_thresholds.json` to make the number — so it carries zero information
beyond the letter and can never disagree with it. Payloads carry
`confidence_basis: 'grade_band'`. The real signal is `p_win`. Corollary:
mlb-grade-degradation.md's "25/25 grade<->confidence agreement" is a TAUTOLOGY,
not a validation (corrected in that file) — never cite it as grade quality.
- **`grade_thresholds.json` is NOT an input mapper in the JS path** — only the
Python side compares scores to it. In JS it is a confidence lookup table read
BACKWARDS from the already-chosen letter.
- **The grade is an integer index** (`GRADE_SCALE`, `NEUTRAL_INDEX` 3) moved by
flat +/-1.0 and +/-0.5 deltas. A needs sum >= +4.5, D needs <= -1.51. Six
factors were wired to features nothing populated, pinning the live range to
{C,B} — only TWO letters ever emitted across 604 ledger rows.
**`refreshTeamStats` had ZERO production callers**, so `opp_rank_stat` (a +/-1.0)
was permanently null; it is now called in `runSnapshot` (test-env no-op, the
opsNotify precedent). L20 was asymmetric (both branches +1.0 = no downside path)
and is now symmetric.
- **Consistency CV is scale-dependent — this is a live landmine.** The thresholds
are NBA-tuned (points ~20/gm). For a Poisson-ish stat `cv ~ 1/sqrt(mean)`, so
ANY stat with mean < 4 auto-classifies `boom_bust` (real: Alonso hits mean 0.60
-> cv 1.17). Reviving consistency without a guard stamps a blanket -1.0 on
nearly every MLB prop. Floored at `CONSISTENCY_MIN_MEAN` (4) -> `unknown` below.
The scale-free fix is an index-of-dispersion classifier (open item).
- **NEVER rescale thresholds to make A's appear** (founder ruling, permanent).
Minting A's without new information is a relabelled B sold as an A and it
corrupts an append-only ledger. Fix the grade on MERIT or don't claim the scale.
- **A-RATED copy is on hold** until a prod fingerprint shows real A grades.
`/api/ledger/accuracy` currently returns B and C buckets only, so AccuracyBadge
correctly falls through to "MODEL · X% HIT" and TopSignals self-hides.
- `scripts/verify-grade-range.js` replays live-board props through the real engine
on free feeds. It UNDERSTATES range locally (no Redis -> no `opp_rank_stat`).
Redis runs degraded locally, so the script must `process.exit(0)` — otherwise a
reconnect timer holds the process open and piped output is lost to SIGTERM.
## Active Skills
- vyndr-voice (all user-facing output)
- prop-analysis (grading methodology)
- monetization-system (scan-5 pitch, tier conversion)