builtbykev
f2da9dd7e8
The champion (probabilityEstimator -> p_win) keeps serving and grading users, completely unchanged. The challenger is a second probability computed from the same inputs at the same instant, landing on the same ledger row so it joins to the same outcome and the same close. Identical conditions, one difference — the only clean A/B. NOTHING IS CLAIMED. Running a challenger is honest beta; asserting it is better before the settled ledger says so is not. Promotion stays a later decision gated on Brier and calibration over sufficient segmented volume. INTERPRETABLE, NOT A RE-ESTIMATION. The challenger is the champion's probability adjusted by the Layer-2 axes, applied in log-odds space so a nudge cannot push past 0 or 1 and means the same thing at p=0.5 as at p=0.9. Every deviation is attributable to a named axis and a signed nudge, stored as challenger_adjustments, and the total is capped at 0.45 log-odds — a lean on a real signal, never a re-forecast. Only mechanically obvious stat/axis relationships are mapped; a speculative mapping would be the same guessing this layer exists to replace. IDENTICAL WHERE THERE IS NO SIGNAL, by construction. An unremarkable player, a thin sample, an unmapped stat or a missing classification all return the champion's probability byte-for-byte with an empty adjustment list and a stated reason. The experiment therefore differs only where archetype-awareness could possibly help or hurt, with no dilution from rows the treatment never touched. Induced on real players. Judge home runs over: 0.42 -> 0.447, via BOMBER +0.22 and WHIFF RISK -0.11 — two real opposing signals netting positive. The same prop under mirrors it exactly to -0.027. Judge strikeouts: delta exactly 0, because WHIFF RISK and GRINDER cancel — an honest "no lean" with both signals still recorded. Skubal strikeouts over: 0.60 -> 0.702 via WHIFF, TRAPDOOR and CANNON all aligned; his hits-allowed goes the other way, 0.50 -> 0.392, because a strikeout arm makes hits less likely. Josh Bell and a 12-PA sample are untouched. Isolation is structural: adjust() is pure, the champion field is read and never written, the served snapshot payload is still the untouched champion object, and a challenger failure is caught so it can never break the pipeline it is measured inside. Statcast aggregates load once per snapshot run rather than per prop, so grade-time I/O stays at zero. Migration 034. Tests 3634 passed / 295 suites, web build exit 0. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VCNgGSt5qvcLxaeQqa7Zpj
2 lines
54 KiB
JavaScript
2 lines
54 KiB
JavaScript
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es{constructor(e,t){super(({request:a})=>{let s=e.getUrlsToPrecacheKeys();for(let r of function*(e,{directoryIndex:t="index.html",ignoreURLParametersMatching:a=[/^utm_/,/^fbclid$/],cleanURLs:s=!0,urlManipulation:r}={}){let i=new URL(e,location.href);i.hash="",yield i.href;let n=((e,t=[])=>{for(let a of[...e.searchParams.keys()])t.some(e=>e.test(a))&&e.searchParams.delete(a);return e})(i,a);if(yield n.href,t&&n.pathname.endsWith("/")){let e=new URL(n.href);e.pathname+=t,yield e.href}if(s){let e=new URL(n.href);e.pathname+=".html",yield e.href}if(r)for(let e of r({url:i}))yield e.href}(a.url,t)){let t=s.get(r);if(t)return{cacheKey:t,integrity:e.getIntegrityForPrecacheKey(t)}}},e.precacheStrategy)}},eb=class{_precacheController;constructor({precacheController:e}){this._precacheController=e}cacheKeyWillBeUsed=async({request:e,params:t})=>{let a=t?.cacheKey||this._precacheController.getPrecacheKeyForUrl(e.url);return a?new Request(a,{headers:e.headers}):e}},ev=class{_urlsToCacheKeys=new Map;_urlsToCacheModes=new Map;_cacheKeysToIntegrities=new Map;_concurrentPrecaching;_precacheStrategy;_routes;_defaultHandlerMap;_catchHandler;_requestRules;constructor({precacheEntries:e,precacheOptions:t,skipWaiting:a=!1,importScripts:s,navigationPreload:r=!1,cacheId:n,clientsClaim:o=!1,runtimeCaching:l,offlineAnalyticsConfig:h,disableDevLogs:u=!1,fallbacks:d,requestRules:f}={}){const{precacheStrategyOptions:p,precacheRouteOptions:m,precacheMiscOptions:w}=((e,t={})=>{let{cacheName:a,plugins:s=[],fetchOptions:r,matchOptions:i,fallbackToNetwork:n,directoryIndex:o,ignoreURLParametersMatching:l,cleanURLs:h,urlManipulation:u,cleanupOutdatedCaches:d,concurrency:f=10,navigateFallback:p,navigateFallbackAllowlist:m,navigateFallbackDenylist:w}=t??{};return{precacheStrategyOptions:{cacheName:c(a),plugins:[...s,new 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a&&(i[e]=a)})(e)})({prefix:n}),a?self.skipWaiting():self.addEventListener("message",e=>{e.data&&"SKIP_WAITING"===e.data.type&&self.skipWaiting()}),o&&self.addEventListener("activate",()=>self.clients.claim()),e&&e.length>0&&this.addToPrecacheList(e),w.cleanupOutdatedCaches&&(e=>{self.addEventListener("activate",t=>{t.waitUntil(g(c(e)).then(e=>{}))})})(p.cacheName),this.registerRoute(new e_(this,m)),w.navigateFallback&&this.registerRoute(new ei(this.createHandlerBoundToUrl(w.navigateFallback),{allowlist:w.navigateFallbackAllowlist,denylist:w.navigateFallbackDenylist})),void 0!==h&&("boolean"==typeof h?h&&ew({serwist:this}):ew({...h,serwist:this})),void 0!==l){if(void 0!==d){const e=new eg({fallbackUrls:d.entries,serwist:this});l.forEach(t=>{t.handler instanceof Z&&!t.handler.plugins.some(e=>"handlerDidError"in e)&&t.handler.plugins.push(e)})}for(const e of l)this.registerCapture(e.matcher,e.handler,e.method)}u&&(self.__WB_DISABLE_DEV_LOGS=!0)}get precacheStrategy(){return this._precacheStrategy}get routes(){return this._routes}addEventListeners(){self.addEventListener("install",this.handleInstall),self.addEventListener("activate",this.handleActivate),self.addEventListener("fetch",this.handleFetch),self.addEventListener("message",this.handleCache)}addToPrecacheList(e){let t=[];for(let a of e){"string"==typeof a?t.push(a):a&&!a.integrity&&void 0===a.revision&&t.push(a.url);let{cacheKey:e,url:s}=ec(a),r="string"!=typeof a&&a.revision?"reload":"default";if(this._urlsToCacheKeys.has(s)&&this._urlsToCacheKeys.get(s)!==e)throw new l("add-to-cache-list-conflicting-entries",{firstEntry:this._urlsToCacheKeys.get(s),secondEntry:e});if("string"!=typeof a&&a.integrity){if(this._cacheKeysToIntegrities.has(e)&&this._cacheKeysToIntegrities.get(e)!==a.integrity)throw new l("add-to-cache-list-conflicting-integrities",{url:s});this._cacheKeysToIntegrities.set(e,a.integrity)}this._urlsToCacheKeys.set(s,e),this._urlsToCacheModes.set(s,r)}t.length>0&&console.warn(`Serwist is precaching URLs without revision info: ${t.join(", ")}
|
|
This is generally NOT safe. Learn more at https://bit.ly/wb-precache`)}handleInstall(e){return this.registerRequestRules(e),y(e,async()=>{let t=new eo;this.precacheStrategy.plugins.push(t),await el(this._concurrentPrecaching,Array.from(this._urlsToCacheKeys.entries()),async([t,a])=>{let s=this._cacheKeysToIntegrities.get(a),r=this._urlsToCacheModes.get(t),i=new Request(t,{integrity:s,cache:r,credentials:"same-origin"});await Promise.all(this.precacheStrategy.handleAll({event:e,request:i,url:new URL(i.url),params:{cacheKey:a}}))});let{updatedURLs:a,notUpdatedURLs:s}=t;return{updatedURLs:a,notUpdatedURLs:s}})}async registerRequestRules(e){if(this._requestRules&&e?.addRoutes)try{await e.addRoutes(this._requestRules),this._requestRules=void 0}catch(e){throw e}}handleActivate(e){return y(e,async()=>{let e=await self.caches.open(this.precacheStrategy.cacheName),t=await e.keys(),a=new Set(this._urlsToCacheKeys.values()),s=[];for(let r of t)a.has(r.url)||(await e.delete(r),s.push(r.url));return{deletedCacheRequests:s}})}handleFetch(e){let{request:t}=e,a=this.handleRequest({request:t,event:e});a&&e.respondWith(a)}handleCache(e){if(e.data&&"CACHE_URLS"===e.data.type){let{payload:t}=e.data,a=Promise.all(t.urlsToCache.map(t=>{let a;return a="string"==typeof t?new Request(t):new Request(...t),this.handleRequest({request:a,event:e})}));e.waitUntil(a),e.ports?.[0]&&a.then(()=>e.ports[0].postMessage(!0))}}setDefaultHandler(e,t="GET"){this._defaultHandlerMap.set(t,ea(e))}setCatchHandler(e){this._catchHandler=ea(e)}registerCapture(e,t,a){let s=((e,t,a)=>{if("string"==typeof e){let s=new URL(e,location.href);return new es(({url:e})=>e.href===s.href,t,a)}if(e instanceof RegExp)return new en(e,t,a);if("function"==typeof e)return new es(e,t,a);if(e instanceof es)return e;throw new l("unsupported-route-type",{moduleName:"serwist",funcName:"parseRoute",paramName:"capture"})})(e,t,a);return 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