builtbykev b8ee216c62 docs: CLV instrument repair + the straight finding (unders lag the close)
closing_prob 59 -> 406 (MLB 248, WNBA 158). Root cause was attachClosingProb's
truncated read + write-once market_unavailable, not capture or the join. CLV
measured: MLB unders lag the close (mean -9.1 prob-pts, 74% lose), MLB overs
+2.0, WNBA flat -> the +4.57% MLB-C and over/under asymmetry are substantially
stale-line artifacts. Unblocks the proj-v1.1 proof order.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VsztNChZ7vEvSR61AuMhD1
2026-07-28 19:04:50 -04:00
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