builtbykev 37261260d1 report: over-side skew audit — champion over-CLV SURVIVES baseline (promising, not confirmed) ...

Read-only. Takeable MLB overs n=62. Mechanical baseline (no-edge) CLV +1.51pt
(n=20); high-edge +8.64pt (n=37); difference +7.14pt = real edge. Champion
p_win->CLV partial r=0.375 (SIG p~0.003) survives price control. Skew one-sided
(unders -7, over baseline +1.5). De-vig clean (same-book pairing, analyzeViaEngine1:539);
close well-defined (DK/MGM r=0.92). Greenlights building the takeable-edge grade
ON THE CHAMPION, not proj-v1.1. Flagged promising-not-confirmed: thin n, lock-time
multi-book staleness check BLOCKED (not retained), pinnacle ref n=8. No fix, no
promotion — diagnosis only.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VsztNChZ7vEvSR61AuMhD1

2026-07-29 02:28:21 -04:00

..

audit-data

S63 fingerprint: probability layer verified live (p_win/ev_pct/model_odds)

2026-07-19 18:58:12 -04:00

design-reference

Design bundle (2): current source of truth — Scanner States + blue-boundary law

2026-07-22 19:10:54 -04:00

a1-s3-affiliate-partner-plumbing.md

S3 (a1): affiliate + partner plumbing

2026-07-11 14:28:18 -04:00

a1-s9-slip-reader.md

S9 (a1): slip reader — zero-API OCR

2026-07-11 19:32:17 -04:00

a1-s10-public-profiles.md

S10 (a1): public ledger profiles v1

2026-07-11 19:32:22 -04:00

combat-intelligence.md

Combat intelligence spec (Wave 6): honest free v1, pinned archetype registry

2026-07-13 16:07:33 -04:00

DESIGN-SPEC.md

DESIGN-SPEC.md v2 — the raised standard (governs the design train)

2026-07-12 16:52:13 -04:00

feature-1-1-odds-api.md

Sessions 5-7a: 955 tests, deployment ready

2026-06-08 18:35:13 -04:00

feature-1-2-nba-api.md

feat: Feature 1.2 (NBA stats FastAPI service) + Feature 1.4 (database schema)

2026-03-21 10:58:58 -04:00

feature-1-3-prop-analysis.md

Sessions 5-7a: 955 tests, deployment ready

2026-06-08 18:35:13 -04:00

feature-1-4-database-schema.md

Sessions 5-7a: 955 tests, deployment ready

2026-06-08 18:35:13 -04:00

feature-1-5-bet-submission.md

Sessions 5-7a: 955 tests, deployment ready

2026-06-08 18:35:13 -04:00

feature-2-1-parlay-scan.md

Sessions 5-7a: 955 tests, deployment ready

2026-06-08 18:35:13 -04:00

feature-2-2-line-movement.md

feat: Feature 2.2 — Line Movement + Cascade Detection

2026-03-21 14:21:34 -04:00

feature-3-1-landing-page.md

Sessions 5-7a: 955 tests, deployment ready

2026-06-08 18:35:13 -04:00

feature-3-2-scan-ui.md

Sessions 5-7a: 955 tests, deployment ready

2026-06-08 18:35:13 -04:00

feature-3-3-bet-tracker.md

Sessions 5-7a: 955 tests, deployment ready

2026-06-08 18:35:13 -04:00

feature-3-4-stripe.md

Sessions 5-7a: 955 tests, deployment ready

2026-06-08 18:35:13 -04:00

feature-4-1-model-learning-loop.md

spec: Feature 4.1 — Model Learning Loop (Phase 4 backlog)

2026-03-22 10:32:59 -04:00

feature-a1-s7-newsletter.md

S7 (a1): newsletter — THE VYNDR REPORT

2026-07-11 14:29:22 -04:00

LIVE-TRACKING.md

S11 (a1): live tracking — the read locked, the game watched

2026-07-12 00:45:29 -04:00

model-train.md

Spec: metrics-engine north star + sourcing scope report (no code)

2026-07-19 21:43:59 -04:00

phase-0-kill-the-lies.md

Session 57: Phase 0 — Kill the Lies (2309 tests)

2026-07-10 20:17:49 -04:00

phase-1-truth-infrastructure.md

Session 58: Phase 1 spec + ledger_entries migration (pre-apply commit)

2026-07-10 20:49:28 -04:00

propline-audit.md

Session 56: Full audit — PropLine + boxscore + pipeline + sport coverage (2289 tests)

2026-07-10 17:00:29 -04:00

ROW-GRAMMAR.md

S11 (a1): live tracking — the read locked, the game watched

2026-07-12 00:45:29 -04:00

session55-self-learning.md

Session 55: Self-learning loop + real-time layer (2274 tests)

2026-07-10 15:39:13 -04:00

session-8-ops-watch.md

S8 (a1): ops — the product watches itself

2026-07-11 14:34:45 -04:00

snapshot-retention.md

Phase 2 (a) report + (b) retention design — REPORT-FIRST, nothing built

2026-07-19 22:40:43 -04:00

STATE.md

report: over-side skew audit — champion over-CLV SURVIVES baseline (promising, not confirmed)

2026-07-29 02:28:21 -04:00

truth-everywhere-train.md

Truth-train decisions locked: futures (quota-disciplined), soccer deferred, ESPN gamelog verified

2026-07-13 18:23:25 -04:00

VOICE.md

A1 board: commit NORTH STAR v1.1 + VOICE v1.1 to /specs

2026-07-11 11:21:20 -04:00

VYNDR-NORTH-STAR.md

A1 board: commit NORTH STAR v1.1 + VOICE v1.1 to /specs

2026-07-11 11:21:20 -04:00

vyndr-roadmap.md

S9 (a1): slip reader — zero-API OCR

2026-07-11 19:32:17 -04:00

wiring-data-train.md

NexaPay purge: VYNDR is Stripe-only — remove all NexaPay traces

2026-07-27 16:51:59 -04:00