builtbykev e96b0dbb6d proj-v1: book-implied from book_odds (grades carry odds, not fair_prob)
The live fingerprint showed proj_book_implied null on every real row: grades
carry book_odds/locked_odds (e.g. -264) but NOT a de-vigged fair_prob, so keying
the book comparison off fair_prob yielded null. The book ODDS are exactly "the
book's implied probability" the handicapper test needs. Now proj_book_implied +
the traded rung's book_implied derive from americanToImplied(book_odds),
expressed on the OVER basis (under props → 1 - implied) so it's directly
comparable to our P(≥rung). Vigged (a known offset the ledger measures both
sides of). proj-v1 suites 24/24.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VCNgGSt5qvcLxaeQqa7Zpj
2026-07-23 04:14:04 -04:00
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