Diagnosis (why 500/500 went unpaged): the only regular odds-api burner was
futuresService, which called axios DIRECTLY — bypassing the gateway, so it
never hit recordCall (the ONE place the WARN/BLOCK pager fires) and never
respected the 95% block. It only syncFromHeaders, which updated the counter's
number SILENTLY. oddsService (which does go through the gateway) only touches
odds-api when PropLine fails, so recordCall for odds-api effectively never ran.
Result: the counter could reach 100% with neither pager firing.
Fixes (a silent drain is now impossible, not just guarded):
- futuresService routes through gateway.fetch('odds-api', …) → counted, blocked
at 95%, and reserve-gated. Closes the raw-axios bypass.
- Reserve floor in the gateway: a DISCRETIONARY call (futures/soccer) passes
reserve=ODDS_API_RESERVE (default 50) and is refused while remaining <= reserve.
The ESSENTIAL MLB prop-backup passes no reserve and may spend to the 95% block.
→ a futures/soccer drain can NEVER starve MLB's backup path.
- quotaTracker.syncFromHeaders (the AUTHORITATIVE number) now fires the same
once-per-period WARN/BLOCK alert on a crossing — extracted fireThresholdAlert
shared with recordCall. The header-only drain now pages.
- POST /api/internal/quota/test-alert (internal-key) test-fires the pager
end-to-end so ntfy delivery is verifiable on demand.
Also (reality-corrected cadence): WNBA restored to the full grid. 2026-07-15
had two AFTERNOON WNBA games finished before the 22 UTC slot — 14 UTC (10am ET)
is the only slot early enough for a 1pm ET game's props, and on PropLine the
extra slots cost a rounding error. Soccer stays the only trimmed sport (the
real odds-api discipline). Assumption corrected by observed data.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Every ACTIVE sport was graded at all five MLB slots (14/19/22/1/3 UTC). Sports
post lines on different clocks, so that inheritance was wasteful both ways:
WNBA props aren't posted at 14:00 UTC (10am ET) → that slot always graded 0
(the audit's "wnba:0"); soccer odds come from the 500/MONTH odds-api key, so
five slots/day is a third of the budget for 1-2 matches.
New src/config/sportCadence.js is the single source of truth (config-over-
constants). Mapped from reality + quota headroom (PropLine 9k/day abundant,
odds-api 500/mo scarce):
mlb 14/19/22/1/3 intraday (full grid — games+props all day)
nba 14/19/22/1/3 intraday (in-season fits; off-season self-skips empty)
wnba 19/22/1 intraday (afternoon→evening ET; drops the 14/3 waste)
soccer 14/19 NO intraday (WC live; 2 lean odds-api reads, key-protected)
The scheduler still fires at HOURS_UTC and the missed-cron watchdog still
references MLB (which runs every grid hour) — each slot now grades only
sportsForHour(h), and only intradaySports() get the 20-min refresh. Every
sport's hours are kept a subset of the firing grid (a boot-time guard + a test
warn if that's ever violated). Retune a sport by editing one table row.
Adaptive, not constant: near-zero when a sport is quiet, protecting the scarce
odds-api quota from being drained by noon.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
The "SIGNAL LIVE vs STALE 8h" contradiction was a field mismatch, not a dead
pipeline. updated_at is the grade-LOCK time (advances only on a full snapshot,
5×/day — grades never change in-game, so it is intentionally stable). The
SYNC badge measured the 20-min intraday cadence (expected_interval_s=1200)
against that 5×/day field → structurally guaranteed STALE between slots even
when intraday refreshes lines perfectly.
- snapshotService: full snapshot now seeds refreshed_at at lock time
- intradayRefresh already bumps refreshed_at every ~20 min (unchanged)
- /api/snapshot/summary + GET /:sport now expose refreshed_at (was written to
Redis but never serialized → no public liveness signal existed)
- LiveLayer SYNC badge measures freshness from refreshed_at (fallback updated_at)
Exposing refreshed_at also gives a public heartbeat probe: it advances every
intraday slot, so pipeline liveness is verifiable without container logs.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Wave 0 shipped NBA/WNBA grading off ESPN per-athlete gamelogs, but name→id
resolution went only through the v2 /search endpoint, which is unreliable at
the edges. Live probing surfaced the real coverage gap: search actually
resolves the right id for most names, but dual-league athletes (WNBA + NCAA —
e.g. Napheesa Collier, Brionna Jones) get a filters-only gamelog until a
`?season=` is supplied, so they silently returned insufficient_data despite a
full season of games.
Two fixes:
1. buildAthleteRosterIndex(sport) — aggregates every team roster for nba/wnba
into a complete { nameKey → {id, displayName, teamId} } map (canonical
accent-folded keys via playerName.nameKey). Bounded concurrency (6) over the
~15-30 team fetches, Redis `espnroster:{sport}` (24h) + in-memory mirror,
fully defensive (a failing team is skipped → partial index, never throws;
grouped OR flat athletes[] shapes handled; non-numeric ids dropped). This is
now the PRIMARY resolver in resolveAthleteId/getPlayerGameLog; the v2 search
stays as a backstop on a roster miss. A unique roster hit wins (S59 doctrine)
— a missing name beats guessing another player's id.
2. getPlayerGameLog retries the gamelog with candidate seasons (current +
previous calendar year) ONLY when the first parse comes back empty
(filters-only), unlocking the dual-league athletes. The common path is
untouched.
MLB path (statsapi) unchanged; settlement/snapshot/frontend untouched.
Live probe: WNBA roster index = 206 players (Collier id 3917450 / Lynx team 8,
Brionna Jones id 3058895 present); NBA index = 544. Collier now resolves
end-to-end with 20 gamelog rows (was NOT FOUND); Brionna Jones likewise; all
previously-working players (A'ja Wilson, Ionescu, Clark, Stewart, Plum) still
resolve. NBA hyphen names (Gilgeous-Alexander) resolve via nameKey folding.
Tests: tests/unit/espnRosterIndex.test.js (9, fail-then-pass on base adapter).
Full backend suite 3183 green; web build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
FREE ESPN news wire + championship-winner futures for the never-dark
offseason hub. Both graceful/empty, never fabricate a market value.
- newsService (mirrors injuryService): per-sport ESPN /news FEEDS, pure
parseNews → { sport, items:[{id,headline,description,published,type,
athlete?{name,key},team?,href}] }; athlete/team from categories[] only
(absent when not present). Cache 15m, injectable, offline-tested.
- oddsNormalizer.normalizeOutrights: NEW branch — outrights outcomes are
{name,price} with no point, so normalizeProps drops them; keeps them with
best-price-across-allowed-books per selection. + americanToDecimal.
- oddsService.FUTURES_KEYS: separate map (mlb/nba/wnba championship winner),
OUT of the daily SPORT_KEYS/snapshot budget.
- futuresService: getFutures(sport,deps) → { sport, updated_at, markets:
[{key,title,selections:[{name,price,prevPrice?,move?}]}] }. One outrights
call per 12h TTL (quota-disciplined), FUTURES_ENABLED gate. Price-move
(shortening/drifting/flat) mirrors computeLineDeltas SHAPE on odds not
line; prev prices persisted inside the futures:{sport} value (no new key).
linkNewsToMoves pure causal-tie helper.
- Routes /api/news/:sport + /api/futures/:sport (registered) + Next proxies.
- Tests: newsService, futuresService, oddsNormalizerOutrights (fail→pass,
no network). Full suite green.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Unblocks the self-learning loop for basketball. Once an NBA/WNBA grade
exists (Wave 0), it now settles against the FREE ESPN per-game log
(espnStatsAdapter.getPlayerGameLog) — the same {found, last10:[{date,stat}]}
contract MLB settlement already consumes. accuracy:{sport} + by_tier
calibration + the Wave-3 TierRecord light up automatically.
- outcomeService/ledgerService: defaultGetPlayerStats routes nba/wnba to
espnStatsAdapter.getPlayerGameLog; MLB stays on mlbStatsAdapter.
- outcomeService: sport-aware statValue + a SEPARATE NBA_BOX_KEY/NBA_COMBO
map (S11 three-map-split kept — never merged with MLB_LOG_FIELD). Combos
(pts_reb_ast, reb_ast, stl_blk, …) sum components; a missing component
never fabricates a total.
- logRowOnDate: ESPN gamelog rows carry a FULL ISO timestamp (a late tip
rolls past UTC midnight), so basketball date-matches on UTC OR ET date;
MLB keeps exact YYYY-MM-DD compare. Outcome `date` is normalized to the
ET calendar day so the accuracy window filter + idempotency key behave
identically across sports.
- Final-honesty guard: never settle a basketball row whose ET date is
today (an in-progress partial box). MLB is final-only + settles same-day,
so the guard is scoped to basketball. The ledger path is already guarded
(.lt('game_date', today)) for all sports.
- opsWatch: nba/wnba added to SETTLEABLE_SPORTS; zeroSettleAlarm gates them
behind a real-finals probe (finalsBySport) so an offseason/off-day's
stale pendings never false-page "settled 0". snapshotScheduler counts
yesterday's ESPN state==='post' events and feeds the map; MLB unchanged.
- snapshotScheduler: boot announce per settleable sport
([settle:mlb] [settle:nba] [settle:wnba]). Thrown-error paging already
covers the new sports (settleAll* loop every sport).
Tests: tests/unit/nbaSettlement.test.js (16) — WNBA hit/miss/push, combo
pra, idempotent re-run, unplayed/today game does NOT settle, accuracy:wnba
+ byGrade + by_tier populate, ledger WNBA settle. opsWatch (+5) — finals
off-day no page, finals present DOES page. MLB suites unregressed.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
The Python nba_api service (gameLogService) is offline in prod, so
featureCache's non-MLB branch produced no l5/l20 averages →
projectionFor returned null → the ENTIRE NBA/WNBA slate refused
(insufficient_data). Only MLB actually graded.
Fix (free, no-auth, verified live):
- espnStatsAdapter.getPlayerGameLog(name, sport) — resolves name→ESPN
numeric athlete id via the v2 search (the v3 /search now returns
count:0; the v2 uid carries a:<id>, defaultLeagueSlug disambiguates
league), fetches the per-athlete gamelog, and parses per-game rows
keyed by VYNDR stat names (points/rebounds/assists/threes/steals/
blocks/turnovers + computed pra). Columns are indexed by the
response's own names[] array (NBA and WNBA orders DIFFER), never
positionally. Most-recent first, defensive (null on unrecognized
shape, never throws), cached (espngamelog:{sport}:{id} 4h + memory).
- featureCache.gameLogFeatures — falls back to the ESPN gamelog for
nba/wnba when the Python source returns null/empty, producing
l5/l10/l20 + rest_days + minutes_per_game via a new local
NBA_LOG_FIELD map + pure nbaGameLogFeatures (S11 three-map-split:
separate from MLB_LOG_FIELD).
Grade gates already whitelist all 8 NBA/WNBA stat types in both Node
paths (analyze.js + scan.js); no gate change needed.
Tests (hermetic, no network): espnGameLog.test.js (parser/resolver/
adapter) + featureCacheNba.test.js (the UNLOCK proof — empty features
refuse, ESPN-derived features grade). 3098 tests green; next build
exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
The NBA/WNBA espnId was captured only from espnStatsAdapter (the offline-
Python fallback), unreliable in prod. Add espnAthleteIndex — a pure,
defensive harvester that builds { nameKey -> {espnId, headshotHref} } from
the ESPN schedule->summary/boxscore/leaders/injuries/roster feeds the
pipeline already calls (free, bounded mapLimit, cached, MLB->{}).
snapshotService now fills any player the primary stats-resolve left without
an espnId from this index, and stores a DIRECT headshotHref as headshotUrl
on the enriched grade (the exact URL, never 404s on a constructed path).
Threaded headshotUrl through slateAdapter.buildPlayerStripsFromProps ->
GameCard -> StatStrip -> PlayerAvatar/getHeadshotUrl (direct href wins over
the constructed one). MLB's MLBAM path is untouched. Soccer resolves only
via a direct href; absent -> honest monogram (API_FOOTBALL_KEY remains the
reliable soccer path, unwired).
getGameSummary now also passes through ESPN `rosters` (pre-game lineups
carry id + headshot). Everything graceful: any miss -> absent -> monogram.
Tests: tests/unit/espnHeadshotIndex.test.js (11) — fixture->index, snapshot
merge fallback, direct-href-wins, soccer honest monogram, malformed/cyclic
parse never throws. Full suite 3080 green; web next build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Reserved house handle (default 'vyndr', env HOUSE_HANDLE) resolves to the
PUBLIC model record — getModelAggregate() with no userId (user_id=NULL rows)
— WITHOUT a public_profiles row. It is the ONLY special case; every other
handle keeps the private-by-default, byte-identical-404 no-existence-leak
contract. The house profile is always public and never 404s (a fetch failure
degrades to an honest building state).
- src/routes/profiles.js: house short-circuit + sendHouseProfile (public
aggregate + by_tier + public settled entries), reserved before the publish
lookup so a user claim is shadowed.
- PublicProfile.tsx: house label 'VYNDR MODEL · PUBLIC RECORD' + hero/subtitle
off data.house; keeps the CLV-VERIFIED record hero + TierRecord calibration
+ recent settled reads (misses included).
- opengraph-image.tsx (1200x630): house-branded eyebrow/heading.
- portrait/route.tsx: new 1080x1350 share crop (real aggregate or tagline
fallback, never a fabricated number).
- Discoverability: 'VIEW AS PUBLIC PAGE ->' on the ledger MODEL header +
'VIEW PUBLIC RECORD ->' under the landing ModelRecord, both to /u/vyndr.
- tests/unit/houseProfile.test.js: house resolves to user_id=NULL aggregate
(no public_profiles row) + by_tier; unknown/unpublished user handles stay
byte-identical 404; page renders house label + TierRecord + portrait crop.
3019 tests green (3012 -> 3019); next build EXIT=0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Threads a REAL athlete id from the snapshot's per-player stats resolve (zero
new I/O) → enriched grade → grades:{sport} → slate strip → PlayerAvatar. Real
photo where an id resolves; team-colored monogram (never a gray silhouette,
never a broken image) where it can't. Ids are never fabricated.
Ingestion (Addition 1):
- espnStatsAdapter.getSeasonAverages now RETURNS the resolved ESPN athlete id
(was discarded) as espnId; non-numeric uid degrades to null.
- playerIntelService surfaces MLBAM playerId (MLB) / ESPN espnId (NBA/WNBA).
- snapshotService captures both per player and stores them on the enriched
grade beside archetype/team (null when unresolved → monogram path).
Thread → component:
- slateAdapter.buildPlayerStripsFromProps carries playerId/espnId onto each
strip; StatStrip → PlayerAvatar (accepts both ids; getHeadshotUrl routes by
sport: MLB→mlbstatic, NBA/WNBA→a.espncdn).
- Silhouette surfaces rewired to PlayerAvatar (branded monogram on null):
scan search dropdown (guarded MLBAM p.id) + tonight chips, SearchModal,
HotListPanel, GradeResultCard header. Scan grade card feeds the picked
MLBAM id through gradeAdapter.
- playerHeadshot pure URL logic extracted to CommonJS playerHeadshotUrl.js
(unit-testable; the .ts re-exports it). nfl/nhl added to ESPN_SPORT_PATH.
Tests: tests/unit/headshotThread.test.js (per-league URL + id thread + monogram
null path) + extended snapshotService/espnStatsAdapter suites. Full suite
241 suites / 2915 green; next build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
FIX 1 — Honest billing renewal render. VYNDR tiers are monthly, so a
`subscription_end` far in the future (the manually-seeded "RENEWS 6/9/2036"
founder row) is a comped/lifetime/seed value, not a renewal. New
web/src/lib/billingDisplay.js `classifyRenewal()` → date | none | lapsed |
unknown (strict Date.parse guard, MONTHLY_RENEWAL_MAX_DAYS=60). Profile page
renders the classified label for both the "Renews" stat and the
cancel-scheduled "Access ends" line — no raw far-future date. No DB row mutated.
FIX 2 — MLB namesake collision (James Wood → "Chicago Cubs"). searchPlayer now
collects ALL exact-nameKey matches instead of first-`.find`; a ≥2 collision
resolves ONLY via a confident teamHint (the prop's game participants, matched
against the cached /teams list with ESPN↔statsapi abbr reconciliation), else
refuses (null) — never guesses. The hint threads getPlayerStats →
resolvePlayerStats → snapshotService (built from each prop's home/away team).
Join invariant: a single-exact player whose team isn't in the hinted game has
its team DROPPED (null), so streaks/rosterlogs never tag a foreign team. Full
teamHint recovery shipped (not just the refuse fallback).
FIX 3 — DeskShowcase headline "A $1M terminal." → deadpan value-showing copy
"Every grade, every alt line, live." Prices ($44.99 / $34.99) unchanged.
Tests: billingDisplay.test.js (7), mlbNamesakeResolve.test.js (12,
disambiguation + join invariant + pure helpers), ds5PricingStates updated to
assert the new headline and no "$1M". Full suite green (237 suites / 2863
tests); web `next build` exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Signal-green #00D4A0 now means exactly ONE thing (edge/active/A-tier/CTA),
locked by tests that fail on violation. Part 1 of DESIGN-SPEC v2.
- web/src/lib/colorContract.js — pure CommonJS helpers: edgeColor(value)
colors edge/CLV/delta by SIGN (neg=var(--miss), pos=var(--g-a), 0=neutral);
gradeTierColor() (A/A+ green, B blue, C amber, D/F red, in lockstep with
vyndrTokens.gradeColor); gradeGlows() (A/A+ only); deltaE()/isSignalGreen()
CIE76 gate so no archetype hue dilutes the signal.
- GradeResultCard: edge confidence-strip + EDGE row route through edgeColor
(a -33.3% edge was rendering GREEN — audit #3); grade-hero glow gated to
A/A+ via gradeGlows (a glowing C devalued the cue); VYNDR INTELLIGENCE
panel de-flooded (neutral border, Form/Rest neutral not green — #15).
- LiveHeroProp: negative edge now muted red, not neutral (sign completeness).
- Archetype dedup off signal-green (both archetypes.js + archetypeService.js,
kept matched): DUAL THREAT/MOTOR #00D4A0, MIRROR #34D399, ARTILLERY/RANGE/
GHOST/BLADE #2DD4BF, BRUSH #3DDC84 shifted to distinct non-green hues (all
ΔE>=44 from #00D4A0). Within-sport uniqueness preserved.
- tests/unit/colorContract.test.js — 21 tests: helper units + source-grep
violation locks + archetype-green-dedup. QA.20-22 kept green.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
ROOT CAUSE: the Dockerfile copied src/poller/scripts/supabase but NOT
content/. mediaEngine.js read content/stark-lines.json with an unguarded
module-load readFileSync; ENOENT in the image threw at require time, and
via app.js → routes/desk → deskService → mediaEngine that crashed the
ENTIRE API at boot. The Coolify healthcheck rolled back to the last
healthy image (4d2b27d), so every deploy since 219167e silently served a
14-hour-old build — S11 live tracking, S6 API code, the settlement boot
line, and SNAPSHOT_EXPECTED_INTERVAL were all merged but NOT running.
FIX (one train):
1. Dockerfile COPYs content/ into the runner image.
2. mediaEngine: stark-lines.json is OPTIONAL (garnish, never load-bearing)
— loadStark() try/catch → {} → posts render without the Stark kicker,
never a crash. Belt AND suspenders with #1.
3. src/preflight.js (§A4): boot prints '[preflight] OK' or 'DEGRADED'
naming exactly what content/env is missing — before the healthcheck
can fail silently. Run first in server.js.
4. Full fragility sweep: mediaEngine was the ONLY unguarded module-load
file read; coachSignals (config/coaches.json) was already lazy +
try/catch + copied. No others.
Verified: requiring app.js + deskService + mediaEngine with
stark-lines.json ABSENT now boots clean (reproduced the exact prod
failure). 2757 -> 2763 tests (tests/unit/bootResilience.test.js).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
MLB statsapi + WNBA ESPN live boxscores -> per-player current values
(live:{sport}:{date} TTL 90s, /api/live/:sport + Next proxy). Pure
propState math (HIT / ON PACE / NEEDS N / HOLDS / LINE PASSED — never
red in-progress), attachLiveProgress strip join on nameKey+statType,
proximity-to-hit slate float, StatStrip LiveTracker in the ROW-GRAMMAR
outcome slot (spec amended + lock test updated). Grades never change
in-game — tracking, labeled as such. 2698 -> 2757 tests, web build 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- specs/ROW-GRAMMAR.md: the row grammar law (slot order, color law, mark
law, mobile stacking, no-truncation), locked by tests/unit/rowGrammar.
StatStrip violations fixed: MovementChip before the grade (market
context before model output); ViabilityChips after the archetype
(identity is one contiguous run).
- Line-movement sparklines: intradayRefreshService.trackHistory captures
real {t,line} points per grade (seeded with the lock, deduped when
flat, capped 24) inside the snapshot write-back; StatStrip.LineSparkline
renders at >=3 points (green toward / amber against / dim flat).
- Last-10 dot strips: services/last10Dots (streaksService accessors) ->
/api/snapshot/:sport attaches last10_dots from rosterlogs:{sport};
StatStrip.DotStrip renders vs the LOCKED line, newest first.
- CLV distribution: getModelAggregate emits clv_distribution (7 signed
buckets, outliers clamped) only past the centralized n>=20 gate;
ledger MODEL header renders the bar strip.
- Global search: SearchModal (cmd-K via GlobalHosts + window.__search),
players via /api/players/search per sport + static lib/teams.js
(soccer deliberately absent); Nav search icon + Search first in the
mobile More sheet. Explore tab untouched.
- Landing LCP: fade-up floored at opacity .6 (hero h1 contentful on
first frame, S33 visible-floor rule) + IBM Plex Mono preload:false
(4 decorative font files off the slow-4G critical path).
2654 -> 2698 tests (226 suites) green; web build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- lineupService: statsapi hydrate=lineups (live shape verified) →
CONFIRMED (batting slot) / NOT_IN (team posted without the player) /
PROJECTED (not posted). 10-min cache, pure parser, injectable.
- NOT_IN visibly KILLS the grade on the slate: struck through + NOT IN
LINEUP chip, parlay/book actions suppressed. The locked ledger read is
untouched — honesty is showing the read is dead, not deleting it.
- injuryService: ESPN injuries feed → OUT/GTD/PROB chips (unknown status
→ no chip, never invented). Chips on slate strips via ViabilityChips.
- Date navigation on the Slate: YESTERDAY (results surface — finals +
THE SETTLE panel of that date's settled reads w/ outcome + CLV chips,
via new ?date= filter on /api/ledger/model) / TODAY / TOMORROW
(schedule until lines post). Odds/grades/pitcher layers are TODAY's
and never fake other dates; 60s poll only refreshes today.
- Routes /api/schedule/:sport/lineups + /injuries + Next proxies.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
tesseract.js (self-hosted WASM, Apache-2.0) + pure per-book layout
parsers (DK/FD/MGM/Caesars) with per-field confidence and needs_review
honesty — the reader never guesses. POST /api/slips/parse (auth, free
1/day paid 10/day, 4MB cap) + Next proxy. Gated /slip page: upload or
paste, manual-correct UI, per-leg grades through the normal engine
(refusals render honestly), add-all to Parlay Lab, share card. Vision
model upgrade logged post-revenue. 2574 -> 2608 tests.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
4a VOICE v1.1 committed (board start); lint is EXECUTABLE — banned list +
no-exclamation law enforced in the engine (throws in test, drops in
prod) and locked by tests. Curly-apostrophe variants covered.
4b mediaEngine: deterministic templates (MORNING WIRE, SIGNAL, STREAK
WATCH, THE SETTLE, RECEIPTS, ARCHETYPE WATCH, LINE DISPATCH) filled
ONLY from snapshot/ledger/streaks JSON. Record percentages never render
under n>=20 (counts + 'Record building' below). Stark layer = curated
committed library (content/stark-lines.json), day-rotated selection —
selected, never generated.
4c /desk (founder-only: requireAuth + DESK_OWNERS email allowlist,
deny-by-default): all formats as text + <=280-char pre-segmented tweets
with per-tweet copy buttons + char counts, wire/numbers-only variants,
DATA BRIEF block (structured day numbers) with copy-for-claude.ai.
ntfy ping after the day's first snapshot: 'Desk pack ready'.
4d ghostPublisher: DRAFTS ONLY (status:'draft' test-locked), env-gated
no-op, HS256 JWT via node crypto (zero new deps). POST
/api/internal/ghost/drafts saves slate preview + settle drafts.
Nothing anywhere auto-posts.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Email capture + daily report assembly + operator-triggered Listmonk send.
- NewsletterCapture (dark terminal, mono) on landing (below FAQ) + /welcome
(the real signup success surface); double-opt-in note; 'Signups open soon'
when Listmonk env is unset.
- POST /api/newsletter/subscribe: public, 10/min IP limit, honeypot,
server-side email validation, forwards to Listmonk subscribers API with
preconfirm_subscriptions:false (Listmonk sends the confirmation).
No env -> calm 200 { ok:false, reason:'not configured' }. Next proxy
web/src/app/api/newsletter/subscribe/route.ts (S25 rule).
- newsletterService.buildDailyReport: signals from snapshot:{sport}:latest,
STREAK WATCH via rosterLogs -> streaksService -> streakLens, THE RECORD via
ledgerService.getModelAggregate (percentage only when hit_pct != null —
n>=20 gate — else 'RECORD BUILDING · N pending'). RG footer (21+,
1-800-GAMBLER, Listmonk-native {{ UnsubscribeURL }}) in html + text.
VOICE v1.1 lint locked by tests: no '!', no banned vocabulary, numbers
only from injected pipeline data.
- sendDailyReport: creates + starts a Listmonk campaign; env-gated no-op;
refuses an empty report. Deliberately UNSCHEDULED — only
POST /api/internal/newsletter/send (internal key) triggers it.
- docs/NEWSLETTER.md: box-side Listmonk runbook (install, double-opt-in
list, API user, Coolify env, test-send).
- Spec: specs/feature-a1-s7-newsletter.md.
Tests 2398 -> 2429 (207 suites, all green); next build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
PROMISE-AUDIT.md: every /pricing claim → verified/built/reworded.
BUILT (was vapor): alt line ladder + edge ranking (same-features regrade
at shifted lines, Desk-gated at the API), quarter-Kelly (engine quantile
P(win) x real captured odds — either missing → no sizing), free-tier
kill-condition locked previews. FIXED (was false): analyst 15/day cap vs
the Founder 'Unlimited reads' promise → analyst unlimited; every '40+
factors' claim (real count: 22 named features) reworded truthfully in 7
files. VERIFIED: cascade alerts (real, wired), phi correlation,
leg history, cross-book comparison, WC soccer, real-time feed.
Locked by tests/unit/promiseAudit.test.js. Jest now ignores
.claude/worktrees (parallel agents' suites no longer leak into runs).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
1. [settlement] armed boot line — settlement WAS scheduled (the tick runs
settleAllOutcomes + settleAllLedgers FIRST at every snapshot slot,
src/snapshotScheduler.js) but was invisible at boot. Now verifiable
from logs forever.
2. Null locked_odds root cause (4 day-one rows, all betmgm SB unders):
genuinely absent in the DB — the first-seen book row carried no juice
for that side. indexOdds/indexProps now PREFER a book row with both
sides priced (still a real row, never synthesized). Display was
correct: absent beats wrong.
3. Verified retry-safe: 'Odds data temporarily unavailable' is the
odds-api quota gate (oddsService:423) — thrown BEFORE any spend or
cache write; runSnapshot errors write nothing; the next cron retries
fresh with PropLine first.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
6.1 FIRST-PAINT ROOT CAUSE: the landing blocked its ENTIRE render on
Supabase auth init ('loading || user') — anonymous visitors stared at
'LOADING THE SLATE' for the whole auth roundtrip (~3-4s). Now a
synchronous localStorage session check gates the suppression: only
visitors who actually hold a session (and will redirect) wait;
anonymous traffic paints the hero immediately. Full RSC conversion of
the hero is deferred and logged — the blocker itself is dead.
Proof Strip rules: top-3 by grade whatever they are; 'TONIGHT'S TOP
SIGNALS' only with >=1 A-tier, else 'TONIGHT'S BOARD'; nothing graded
yet → yesterday's SETTLED reads with outcome chips (misses included).
6.2 Content routes: /api/content/top-signals/:sport,
/streak-watch/:sport (the zero-grade daily format off the aggregator),
/daily-report/:sport — built but self-flagging do_not_post until the
record clears n>=20. Flag, don't fake.
6.3 Per-player OG images: app/player/[name]/opengraph-image.tsx (Node
runtime per the S53 rule) + server layout generateMetadata — every
shared player link unfurls as an intelligence card.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
5.1 Archetype defined on-page: one line from the archetype library under
ARCHETYPE DNA (BOMBER — elite raw power…); expander keeps the long form.
5.2 VYNDR-on-team live: getModelAggregate team scope (migration-020 column)
+ /api/ledger/model?team= + ModelRecord mounted on the Team Hub header.
5.3 WNBA/NBA profile parity: minutes-based usage (+MIN season cell) when
the feed carries minutes — absent beats invented.
5.4 Settings read meter: real rolling-24h usage from the SAME store the
limiter enforces (GET /api/user/scan-meter + proxy). Metered tiers see
'X of N reads today' + bar; unlimited tiers see nothing. Corrects the
stale '5 scans / month' copy.
5.5 Per-tier calibration on the MODEL tab: A+/A/B/C chips with hit% at
n>=20 PER TIER, 'building (n/20)' below — the separation between tiers
is the proof the grades mean something.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
4.1 ROOT CAUSE of 'Ohtani returns nothing': no backend
/api/players/search existed (MLB 404'd; NBA/WNBA hit the offline
Python service). New Express route + mlbStatsAdapter.matchPlayers —
canonical nameKey fuzzy match (exact > last-name prefix > folded
substring). LIVE-VERIFIED vs the real 1,299-player list: Ohtani /
Aaron Judge / Sánchez / sanchez / Chisholm Jr all resolve; accented
and unaccented return identical results. Non-MLB matches the
platform's cached names (rosterlogs + grades), cache-only.
4.2 Reveal choreography per §7: analyzing steps → DECLASSIFIED stamp →
90ms-staggered context panels (entrance floors visible per the
Phase-0 rule); prefers-reduced-motion skips straight to the card.
4.3 PRIOR READS chips on scan results — the model's public ledger
history for the player (deferred-render, outcomes + pending, never
invented). /api/ledger/model gains ?player= on entries.
4.4 Parlay Lab: humanized stat labels via the ONE shared formatter
(lib/gradeAdapter.statLabel); 1-leg provisional grade ('Leg grade:
B — add a leg for the combined read'); discoverable entry — Nav
'Parlay Lab' item opens the drawer via window.__openParlay, and the
open drawer now renders an honest empty state at 0 legs.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Odds-only refresh every 20 min during slate hours (noon–midnight ET),
in-process (INTRADAY_REFRESH=0 kill switch; skips full-snapshot slots):
- signed delta RELATIVE TO THE GRADED SIDE; direction is the signal.
- WITH the grade → STEAM badge, never a re-grade.
- AGAINST >=1.0 → re-grade THAT PROP ONLY at the real current line:
holds/refuses → VALUE (better entry, same read); drops → PUBLIC revision
(grade updates, revised_from_grade preserves the ORIGINAL forever, UI
strikethrough on slate strips + ledger cards).
- Every run recaptures closing_line/odds → the close is now refresh-
fidelity; SYNC goes live by dropping SNAPSHOT_EXPECTED_INTERVAL to 1200.
- Ticker MOVE events feed from the refresh (>=1.0 moves).
- QUOTA MATH: 36 runs/day/sport x 4 sports <= 144 PropLine calls/day vs
9,000/day free capacity (3 keys x 3,000). Re-grades are internal compute.
- POST /api/internal/refresh/all for manual runs.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- StreaksPanel renders THE LENS (interpreted read + tonight difficulty) +
snapshot grade letters; streaks are FREE for every tier per the product
definition (the picture is free, the read is paid) — only hot lists keep
the free top-3 gate.
- One stat selection now filters ALL layers: card props narrow together
with streaks + hot lists (Slate activeStat → slateGameToCardData).
- /explore = server SEO shell (daily-indexable: 'MLB Hit Streaks, Hot
Hitters & Stat Leaders') + ExploreHub client: leaders + full streaks +
hot lists, real-tier gated, defaults to the in-season sport.
- Landing teaser fixed: it pointed at NBA (off-season → self-hid forever);
now MLB top-3 through the lens — the anonymous-visitor hook actually
shows.
- Player dossier: ACTIVE STREAKS block (free, lens reads) via new
?player= filter on /api/streaks/:sport.
- Schedule layer already the Slate base (mergeSlate) — verified, no change.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
RESURRECT verdict: the Session-23 engine existed, was pure, tested, and
mounted — it starved because every producer was external and unarmed
(tank01-prefetch via n8n, offline Python flow). The snapshot pipeline is
now the producer: each run merges slate players' real game logs (already
fetched for archetypes — zero extra calls) into rosterlogs:{sport}.
- computeFormHeat: hot hitters (7d AVG), hot sluggers (SLG), hot shooters
(FG%) — correct sum/sum rate math, season baseline else prior stretch,
min-sample refusals, never extrapolated.
- streakLens: no raw streak renders alone — built-vs opponents, tonight's
matchup + opposing SP w/ ERA, step-up/step-down difficulty, one-line
read. Absent context = say less, never invent.
- /api/streaks/:sport: heat merged into the feed, lens applied from cached
schedule + pitchers (time-bounded, can never hang the route), snapshot
grade letters joined.
- ACCEPTANCE (live statsapi, real 2026 logs): 32 rows found — Turang
12-gm on-base, Reynolds 8-gm on-base, Pratt 7-gm on-base + 3-gm
multi-hit, Meidroth 5-gm on-base, Cortes 5-gm on-base.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The overnight cron gap (03→14 UTC) is 11h; a 6h snapshot TTL meant the
morning settle pass read an expired snapshot and the accuracy loop
silently settled nothing. Ledger (Postgres) settle was immune.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Overnight sprint for the Saturday 10 AM ET deploy gate — day one of the
public ledger record locks against freshly posted lines.
Task A — ledger team/opponent (migration 020, applied at 0 rows):
populated in both write paths from the real feed; opponent only when the
player's team matches a game participant (never guessed). Roadmap: Phase
4.5 WNBA ESPN-boxscore settlement (due ~Jul 24) + Phase 5 per-tier
calibration logged.
Task B — work-order 1.6 CLOSED (canonical player keys):
- searchPlayer resolves via nameKey; the old matcher deleted accents
("Sanchez" with acute -> "snchez") and substring-guessed onto the WRONG
player (the mismatched last-10 bug). Ambiguous -> null, never guess.
- Slate JOIN INVARIANT: a graded prop whose player's real team isn't in
the game is dropped (TB player can't render under MIL@PIT) — locked by
tests that fail the suite on regression.
- grades:{sport} TTL 2h -> 6h (expired between 5h cron gaps — the real
cause of /team "No active props" for slate players).
Task C — Phase 2 slate UX: tabs are THE filter (URL ?sport=, deep-linkable,
duplicate legacy tablist removed); cards cap at 6 graded props sorted
A+->F with ALL N READS in-place expander; waiting states show the real
next pipeline run ("Grades post ~6:00 PM ET").
Task D — Phase 3 mobile P0: root cause of vanished 390px nav was HIDE_ON
including '/' (landing had zero navigation) — fixed; html/body overflow-x
contained; GAME LINES collapses to best-line summary + "N BOOKS" expander
below 640px; venue drops before time/pitchers ever truncate.
Live verification: raw ESPN today STILL returns the Jun 13 NYK@SA Finals
game without a date pin; the pinned fetch returns 0 games, 0 off-date.
Backend 2327 -> 2352 tests (202 suites), web build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
ledger_entries is live (migration 019 applied to prod, RLS + NULLS NOT
DISTINCT dedupe verified against the real database). Every grade now
persists, settles against the real result, and carries closing-line value.
- ledgerService: pipeline pre-grade upserts (public model record, user_id
null, idempotent), closing capture on every snapshot (last write before
game start = the close), settlement with SIGNED CLV (over = locked -
closing; beat/faded/flat), 30d model aggregate with the hard n>=20 rule.
- Write paths: snapshotService -> ledger (priority path); Next /api/scan ->
ledger for authenticated users only (anon never touches the public
record). Refused reads write nothing and don't burn a scan.
- Honest refusal (work-order 1.5): no projection => insufficient_data,
grade null, "INSUFFICIENT DATA - no read" UI. The web gradeAdapter no
longer displays the line as the model projection (the audit's
model==line / +0% edge degenerate); the card renders absent states.
projectionFor is sport-aware (l5 -> l20 -> {stat}_per_90 -> xG).
- /ledger: MY READS | MODEL tabs; model header shows hit% + beat-close%
only at n>=20, else RECORD BUILDING + live pending count. ModelRecord
deferred-render strip on landing + player hero. CLV + outcome chips,
revised_from_grade strikethrough (Phase 2.5 ready).
- SYNC (Task 5): thresholds vs SNAPSHOT_EXPECTED_INTERVAL (normal <1.5x,
amber >=1.5x, STALE red >=3x) via /api/snapshot/summary.
- Phase 2.5 logged in specs/vyndr-roadmap.md (build after Phase 3).
- Data-semantics hardening: strict null-safe numeric parsing everywhere a
market value is handled (Number(null)===0 would have fabricated lines).
Backend 2309 -> 2327 tests (201 suites), web build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Work-order Phase 0 (Jul 10 live audit): every fabricated UI element deleted
or rewired to real data. Deletion sprint — no new product features.
0.1 Fake NBA game: root cause was scheduleService fetching the ESPN
scoreboard with no ?dates= param or date filter — off-season ESPN
returns the NEAREST slate (Jun 13 NYK@SA Finals rendered as tonight).
Now pinned to the requested ET date + defensive filter; undated events
dropped. Honest month-aware per-sport empty states (lib/emptyState.js).
0.2 Fake header counters: liveTick stripped to a bare 1s pulse (the
auto-incrementing "247 graded", sin-driven brain-%, aPlus/cascades are
dead). New GET /api/snapshot/summary (cache-only, before /:sport) +
Next proxy; HeartbeatBar shows the real graded count and SYNC =
elapsed since the last pipeline run (amber past 5 min).
0.3 Ticker: hardcoded fallback items deleted (real snapshot exhaust only);
MOVE kept — computeLineDeltas is real movement. <4 real items → no
ticker; bar publishes --ticker-h so the fixed header collapses cleanly.
0.4 /terminal retired: route redirects to /dashboard; VVI/injury-wire/
leaders layouts preserved unrouted as §12 content-engine templates.
Nav PRIMARY = Slate/Scan/Ledger; BottomTabBar Terminal→Explore; PWA
shortcut Terminal→Ledger; #terminal alias → /dashboard.
0.5 ›Query nav pill deleted (duplicate /scan link).
Backend 2289 → 2309 tests (199 suites), web build exit 0.
Spec: specs/phase-0-kill-the-lies.md. Next: work-order Phase 1 (ledger
persistence + settlement).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Product overhaul core — the two transformative, differentiated systems:
Self-learning loop (Phase 2): outcomeService settles locked snapshot grades
against real MLB Stats API results → hit/miss/push, rolling accuracy by grade
tier (30d window). Idempotent, injectable, unit-tested. New GET /api/accuracy +
/api/ledger/accuracy + internal settle triggers + cron hook. AccuracyBadge
(dashboard/scan/landing) is honest — "LEARNING" below MIN_SAMPLE, never a fake
number. Settled HIT/MISS chips overlay the live slate.
Real-time layer (Phase 1): Slate silent 60s auto-refresh (no flash, no wipe on
transient blips) + "SIGNAL LIVE · UPDATED Xs ago" freshness strip; Ticker LIVE
badge that flashes on fresh events.
Landing (Phase 3): TopSignals shows tonight's real top-3 A-rated grades + live
accuracy — the product shown, not described.
Founder pricing: FOUNDER_CODE_EXPIRY default 2026-06-30 → 2026-12-31 (had
lapsed, disabling every founder code + the ClaimMeter pitch). That expiry — not
a tier change — was the real cause of the 4 stripe test failures.
Backend 2255 (4 failing) → 2274 (all green; +19 new, +4 fixed). Web build exit 0.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
P1 name edge cases (BOTH playerName.js copies, kept identical):
- normalizeName strips hyphens (display+key): "Jung-hoo Lee" === "Jung Hoo Lee".
- nameKey strips single-letter MIDDLE tokens: "Josh H Smith" === "Josh Smith"
(keeps first+last; real middle names + collapsed initials untouched).
- richie -> richard added to NICKNAMES.
P2 polish:
- Team Hub names normalized at the source (teamService.getTeamHub) so
"J.C. Escarra" renders as "JC Escarra" like the dashboard.
- snapshotService dedup keeps the highest-confidence GRADE but the richest
DISPLAY (accented "José" over "Jose") so prop rows match the pitcher line.
- correlationWarning names the game: "2 legs from the same game (NYY @ BOS)".
Backend 2246 -> 2255 tests (+9), 194 suites. Web build clean (exit 0).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Trace-first: the normalizer functions were correct (S47) but raw names still
flowed through paths that skipped them. Fixed each leaking path.
- 2a (source chokepoint): snapshotService.runSnapshot normalizes each grade's
player to the de-dotted display AND dedupes to one grade per nameKey|stat
(highest confidence) before writing grades:{sport} + snapshot:latest. Every
consumer (GameCard, Explore, leaders, profile) now gets clean merged names.
- 2b: buildPlayerStripsFromProps dedupes a player's props by stat (graded >
awaiting) → one row per stat (kills "Ks 5.5 AND Ks 3.5" variant dupes).
- 2c: scan tonightsPlayers grid groups by nameKey, displays normalized name.
- 3: profile VYNDR INTELLIGENCE "+0%"/"—" was buildIntel's defaults (separate
from the grade card's buildIntelFields, which already works). resolvePlayerStats
now attaches real usage (AB/G) + rest (B2B/Xd); buildIntel renders them; REST
default is now "—".
Backend 2149 -> 2156 tests (+7), 181 suites. Web build clean (exit 0).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
builtbykev